Political Commentary

Most Recent Releases

February 8, 2024The Race for the House, Part Two By Kyle Kondik
Rating changes in 7 districts a mixed bag for each party; previewing the NY-3 special.KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— We are making 7 House rating changes this week, with 4 benefiting Democrats and 3 benefiting Republicans.
— Republicans continue to be closer to the magic number of 218 in our ratings than Democrats, but there are enough Toss-up races that we broadly consider the race for the House to be a Toss-up overall.
— The NY-3 special remains highly competitive less than a week before the election.

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                            February 7, 2024AI Is Coming for Your Job? By John Stossel
The media warn, "Artificial intelligence will replace millions of jobs."

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                            February 6, 2024Is Taylor Swift Trouble for Trump?  By Daniel McCarthy
   She's just won the Grammy for album of the year.

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                            February 6, 2024Biden's War Against the Internet By Stephen Moore
It's a miracle of private sector innovation and the magic of the free enterprise system that technologies that were only the playthings of the super-rich a generation ago are now available and affordable to almost all Americans.

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                            February 2, 2024Systemic Lying Corrodes Once-great Institutions By Michael Barone
The last six or seven months have been a couple of tough seasons for public policies based on lies. Two examples come to mind.

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                            February 2, 2024Lost Trust in Healthcare Experts – What Happened? By Brian Joondeph
Trust is foundational in relationships, whether between two individuals or between individuals and institutions.
A Gallup survey from last summer found, “Americans’ faith in major societal institutions hasn’t improved over the past year following a slump in public confidence in 2022."
February 1, 2024A Deeper Dig into the Granite By J. Miles Coleman and Kyle Kondik
The Trump, Haley, and Biden coalitions in the New Hampshire primary.KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE—With a lull in the primary calendar, we thought we’d take a closer look at last week’s New Hampshire primary.
—Nikki Haley’s town-level victories were confined almost exclusively to places that Joe Biden carried in the 2020 general election.
—Although Biden showed some weakness in a few of the state’s larger cities, he carried nearly every town in the state.
—The GOP primary saw the most raw votes cast of any New Hampshire primary contest, but that was driven in part by participation from voters who likely won’t be voting Republican for president in the fall.

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                            January 31, 2024A Libertarian President! By John Stossel
   Argentina actually elected a libertarian president.

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                            January 30, 2024The Gambling Industry Wants to Make Fantasy Sports Leagues Illegal By Stephen Moore
   Here's a sad and textbook case of how companies all too often use the strong-arm of government to destroy their competition.

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                            January 30, 2024Trump's Map to the White House By Daniel McCarthy
   In 2020, Joe Biden won three states by less than 1 point: Georgia, Arizona and Wisconsin.

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                            January 26, 2024DeSantis Withdrawal Paved the Way for Likely Trump-Biden Rematch By Michael Barone
What went wrong with Ron DeSantis' presidential campaign? You can list many arguable mistakes, as you can with any campaign, and you can add, as some reporters have, that the candidate was not likable or good at retail campaigning -- which mostly reflected reporters' personal dislike of DeSantis or resentment at his refusal to schmooze what he considered unfriendly press.
January 25, 2024The Fields Above the Graves: Louisiana 2024 Redistricting By J. Miles Coleman
In vintage Louisiana fashion, Democrats gain a second Louisiana seat.KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— Earlier this week, Gov. Jeff Landry (R-LA) signed a new House map that creates a second Black-majority seat in the state.
— The new district, stretching from Baton Rouge to Shreveport, would have favored Joe Biden by 20 points in 2020 and is Safe Democratic.
— Former Rep. Cleo Fields (D) seems to be a frontrunner for the new seat, and, if elected, would return to Congress after a nearly 30 year absence.
— Aside from its partisan implications, the new map could be interpreted as Landry’s attempt at punishing Rep. Garret Graves (R, LA-6).

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                            January 24, 2024The Most Dangerous Conservative By John Stossel
The New York Times put Charles Murray on the cover of its Sunday Magazine, calling him "The Most Dangerous Conservative."

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                            January 23, 2024Will 'Lawfare' Take Trump Off the Ballot? By Daniel McCarthy
The biggest threat to the Constitution in 2024 is the "lawfare" being waged against Donald Trump -- and the Supreme Court is as much its target as Trump is.
January 23, 2024The REAL Story of the Two Americas By Stephen Moore
For the past 30 years or so, the Left has invented a narrative that there are two Americas: a group of very super-rich people (the one-percenters) who have prospered over the past several decades, and everyone else who has gotten poorer. It's a fairy-tale narrative because almost all Americans have seen financial progress. The median household income adjusted for inflation rose by more than 40% since 1984.

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                            January 19, 2024No Gary Hart Bounce for DeSantis or Haley By Michael Barone
Forty years ago, when Walter Mondale won 49% in Iowa's Democratic caucuses, far ahead of Gary Hart's 16%, the media spotlight nonetheless immediately focused.
With the help of a brilliant spot by consultant Ray Strother showing him tossing a hatchet into a tree, Hart went on to win the New Hampshire primary eight days later, 37% to 28%, and he suddenly became the favorite.

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                            January 17, 2024Afraid to Speak By John Stossel
Before anyone was "canceled" for saying a "wrong" thing, actress Emily Blunt and I feared speaking.

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                            January 16, 2024New Bank Regulations Will Hurt Small Businesses and Middle-Class Borrowers the Most
   The rapid succession of bank failures last spring clearly spooked federal regulators at the FDIC, the Federal Reserve Board and bank depositors.
The bad decision-making at Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank and First Republic Bank caused the regulators to implement emergency life preserver measures to banks and conjured up memories of the 2008 financial crisis.

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                            January 12, 2024Democracy Not at Risk, but Not Operating Optimally By Michael Barone
Is democracy at risk this election year?

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                            January 11, 2024Migration or Invasion? By Brian Joondeph
Illegal migrants have been entering America through our southern border since the days of Ronald Reagan and before, even during the tenure of Donald “Build the Wall” Trump.
But in the past three years of the Biden presidency, the numbers have skyrocketed.