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August 27, 2024

Goodbye, JFK Democrats By Stephen Moore

   Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s exit from the Democratic Party (or was he booted out?) is only the latest sign that there are no more JFK Democrats left in positions of power in the Democratic Party.

August 27, 2024

Donald Trump Is Reagan's Heir By Daniel McCarthy

   As Donald Trump fights what now looks like an uphill battle against Kamala Harris, many Republicans find themselves thinking back to their high-school sweetheart.

August 26, 2024

34% Say U.S. Heading in Right Direction

Thirty-four percent (34%) of Likely U.S. Voters think the country is heading in the right direction, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey for the week ending August 22, 2024.

August 26, 2024

Most Voters Don’t Trust Polls a Lot

As the presidential election season enters its final ten weeks, many voters are skeptical of whether public polling accurately reflects the state of the campaign.

August 24, 2024

What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls - Week Ending August 24, 2024

In surveys last week, this is what America told Rasmussen Reports...

August 23, 2024

The White College Graduates' Party's Candidate Doesn't Know Economic History By Michael Barone

Learning isn't necessarily cumulative. Human experience over the centuries provides lessons, some clearer than others. But each generation has to learn lessons anew, and some do not.

August 23, 2024

‘Lock Him Up’? Most Doubt Trump Will Be Sentenced to Prison

Donald Trump is still scheduled for sentencing next month in New York City, but most voters don’t think Judge Juan Marchan will send the former president to prison.

August 22, 2024

Election 2024: Trump 49%, Harris 46%

Former President Donald Trump still leads Vice President Kamala Harris, but the Democrat continues closing the gap.

August 22, 2024

64% of Gun Owners Feel Safer

Americans who own firearms say gun ownership makes them feel safer.

White letter R on blue background
August 22, 2024

Time for Change Model Predicts Close Election with Slight Edge for Kamala Harris By Alan I. Abramowitz

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

—The Time for Change model suggests that presidential elections are largely determined by three factors: the popularity of the incumbent president, the state of the economy, and the number of terms that the president’s party has controlled the White House.

—Specifically, the “Time for Change” factor of this analysis is based on the post-World War II reality that a party often can win the White House two straight times, but has a harder time holding it for longer than that.

—This year’s version of the model shows Kamala Harris as a narrow favorite in both the popular vote and Electoral College, but her predicted margins are so small that the safest prediction we can make about the 2024 presidential election is that it is likely to be very close.

August 21, 2024

GOP Lead Holds Steady on Generic Congressional Ballot

With less than three months remaining before election day, Republicans have a five-point lead in their battle to maintain their narrow House majority.

August 20, 2024

When Should Kids Get Their Own Cell Phone?

A majority of Americans still don’t believe young people should have their own cell phones before age 15.

August 20, 2024

Is Kamala Harris The Best Democrats Could Do?

As Democrats gather for their convention to formally nominate Vice President Kamala Harris as their presidential candidate, many voters harbor doubts about how she was picked to replace President Joe Biden as the party’s nominee.

August 20, 2024

Will Voters Settle for Joe Biden's Understudy? By Daniel McCarthy

   This week's celebration of Kamala Harris in Chicago faces an embarrassing fact: Until now, Democrats themselves thought she was less cut out to be president than Joe Biden.

August 19, 2024

35% Say U.S. Heading in Right Direction

Thirty-five percent (35%) of Likely U.S. Voters think the country is heading in the right direction, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey for the week ending August 15, 2024.

August 19, 2024

‘Stolen Valor’? 45% Say Walz Accusations Won’t Make Much Difference

Most voters take seriously accusations that Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz exaggerated his military record, but a plurality say it won’t affect their vote in the presidential election.

August 17, 2024

What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls - Week Ending August 17, 2024

In surveys last week, this is what America told Rasmussen Reports...

August 16, 2024

Yellowstone: Voters Strongly Support Protecting Park

The wildlife and wilderness of Yellowstone National Park are a resource of global importance, according to an overwhelming majority of voters who see a duty to preserve America’s first national park.

August 16, 2024

Are the Media in the Tank for Harris?

A majority of voters believe most news reporters are biased and expect the media to keep helping Kamala Harris against Donald Trump in their coverage of the presidential campaign.

August 16, 2024

Who's for the First Amendment -- and Who's Against By Michael Barone

"There's a lot of opposition to just hearing what President Trump has to say," Elon Musk said at the beginning of his two-hour interview on X with the 45th and would-be 47th president.