Political Commentary

Most Recent Releases

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                
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                            July 12, 2024Our Monarchical Presidency By Michael Barone
   Fourteen days after his disastrous debate, President Joe Biden is still in the race for reelection. Multiple elected Democrats, New York Times editorial writers and columnists, and Democratic Party megadonors -- "elites," sneers the perceptive David Dayen -- have called on him to step aside. A secret ballot of congressional Democrats, the procedure under which they choose their own party leaders, would surely go against Biden, probably by a wide margin.
July 11, 2024How Current Presidential Polling May Impact House Races By J. Miles Coleman
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— On Monday, Rep. Angie Craig (D, MN-2) became the first House Democrat from a marginal district to call for President Joe Biden to drop his reelection effort.
— With Biden intent on continuing his campaign, we thought it would be worth examining how his current polling could impact the House playing field.
— If the national popular vote were tied, we would expect Donald Trump to carry 10 additional House seats, compared to his 2020 result.
— If Trump won the popular vote by closer to three points, about where national polling suggests he is now, he could be positioned to flip about two-dozen previously Biden-won districts.
— It is possible that, even though the practice has been on the decline for some time, ticket-splitting may make something of a comeback in 2024.

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                            July 10, 2024Destructive Ideas By John Stossel
Joe Biden and Donald Trump fight about everything.

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                            July 9, 2024Joe Biden Faces Richard Nixon's Choice By Daniel McCarthy
   Joe Biden has come to the same dead end Richard Nixon arrived at half a century ago.

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                            July 9, 2024The Case for Draining the Swamp Is Stronger Than Ever By Stephen Moore
   The latest official employment report finds once again that the federal government and state-local hiring spree is still in full gear. Over the past year, health care and government hiring has outpaced every private sector industry. It isn't just the IRS bringing on thousands of new workers. The bloat is everywhere.

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                            July 3, 2024Government and Freedom By John Stossel
   Last week, presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. asked me to moderate what he called "The Real Debate."
   Kennedy was angry with CNN because it wouldn't let him join its Trump-Biden debate.
   His people persuaded Elon Musk to carry his Real Debate on Twitter. They asked me to give RFK Jr. the same questions, with the same time limits.

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                            July 2, 2024Should President Biden Drop Out -- or Resign? By Daniel McCarthy
   If Joe Biden is unfit to run for president, how can he be fit to continue serving as president?

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                            July 2, 2024Save the Cows By Stephen Moore
   Enjoy your cheeseburgers and steaks when you fire up the grill this Fourth of July weekend, because they may not be available much longer.

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                            June 28, 2024COVID-19: Another Fail-Safe Institution Proves Not So Safe By Michael Barone
Between 1998 and 2003, the budget of the National Institutes of Health was doubled. This was an extraordinary enterprise after the multi-year, post-Cold War decline in defense spending and at a time when government agency budgets tended to be increased marginally or carried over from previous years.
June 27, 2024The ‘Somewhats’ Election: Soft Biden Disapprovers Key for Both Candidates By Dan Guild
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— Despite an overall job approval rating hovering around just 40% in polling averages, President Biden retains a path to victory.
— This is because of his unusual competitiveness among voters who just “somewhat” disapprove of his job performance, a group among whom Democrats performed relatively strongly in the 2022 midterm and where polling shows Biden holding up reasonably well in 2024.
— Relatively similar numbers of voters strongly disapprove of Biden’s job performance and hold a strongly unfavorable view of Donald Trump. Biden’s “strong” approval is fairly low, though, compared to recent incumbents who ran for reelection.
— The “somewhat disapprovers” skew younger and nonwhite, which presents Biden with both an opportunity and a challenge.

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                            June 26, 2024A Candidate Who Cares About Freedom  By John Stossel
   Former President Donald Trump spoke at the Libertarian Party convention, asking delegates to vote for him, promising, "I will put a libertarian in my Cabinet!"

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                            June 26, 2024Climate Change Movement Goes to Court -- Will Judges Ban Fossil Fuels? By Stephen Moore
   Things aren't going well at all for the global warming crusaders. Despite hundreds of billions of tax dollars spent on green energy over the past decade, the world and America used more fossil fuels than ever before in history last year.

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                            June 25, 2024Separate Sexual Identity and State By Daniel McCarthy
A new crime wave has gripped the country, and this time progressives are calling for harsh penalties, even charging teenagers with felonies.

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                            June 24, 2024The Question Trump Needs to Ask Repeatedly Until November 5 By Brian Joondeph
The upcoming election is unique in that both current candidates have a record to run on. Not as a senator or governor, but as the U.S. President, each having served a term in the White House.

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                            June 21, 2024The Numbers Show Voters Don't Want an Eight-Year Presidency By Michael Barone
Four weeks after former President Donald Trump's conviction in a much-criticized Manhattan prosecution and a week before the first and earliest-ever scheduled post-primary presidential debate, it's a good time to look at how these two unusually elderly and oft-reviled candidates stand in the contest.

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                            June 19, 2024You Owe $100,000! By John Stossel
America is now almost $35 trillion in debt. That means every American owes $100,000.

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                            June 18, 2024Nigel Farage Makes the Trump Moment Permanent By Daniel McCarthy
   First came Brexit, then came Trump -- and now it's happening again.

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                            June 18, 2024Some 40 Years Later: A Nation STILL at Risk By Stephen Moore
   School's out for the summer, so now it is time to examine the state of our education system.

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                            June 14, 2024European 'Far Right' Issues a Stinging Rebuke to Elites By Michael Barone
"The far right made big gains in European elections," reads the Associated Press headline on last week's European Parliament elections. Lest you wonder why you should dread gains by the "far right," the lead sentence of the article notes that the EU has "roots in the defeat of Nazi Germany and fascist Italy."
June 13, 2024Electoral College Rating Changes: Half-Dozen Moves Toward Republicans in What Remains a Toss-up Race By Kyle Kondik
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— We are making six Electoral College rating changes this week, all in favor of Republicans.
— However, we don’t really see a clear favorite in a presidential race with many confounding factors.
— We consider Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin to all be must-wins for the Democrats. While one can hypothetically come up with paths to 270 electoral votes for Democrats without them, we don’t find those paths to be compelling.
— Sen. Bob Casey (D-PA) remains a favorite in our ratings, but our shift of Pennsylvania to Toss-up in the presidential race prompts a concurrent change in his race, from Likely to Leans Democratic.