White House Watch: Clinton 44%, Trump 39%

With Donald Trump under increasing criticism from leaders in his own party, Hillary Clinton has moved to a five-point lead in Rasmussen Reports’ latest weekly White House Watch survey.

A new national telephone and online survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds Clinton with 44% support to Trump’s 39%. Fourteen percent (14%) still prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Clinton moved to a 42% to 38% lead last week after wrapping up her party’s nomination by winning the California Democratic primary. The two had been in a virtual tie prior to that. Trump’s support has remained frozen around the 40% mark in surveys since late April.

Among voters who consider the mass murders in Orlando, Florida this past weekend primarily a terrorist attack, Trump leads Clinton 64% to 16%. Clinton posts an 83% to four percent (4%) lead among those who see the killings as chiefly a gun control issue.

(More below)

The former secretary of State now earns the support of 83% of her fellow Democrats, while Trump has the backing of 73% of Republicans. That’s a 10-point jump in Democratic support for Clinton from last week. Trump’s GOP support has not changed.

Among voters not affiliated with either major party, Clinton leads 36% to 31%, but one-third (34%) of these voters like someone else or are undecided.

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The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on June 14-15, 2016 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

With Clinton poised to become the first woman nominated by a major U.S. political party to be president, most voters still say they’re willing to vote for a woman president and are slightly more confident that those close to them will do the same.

Clinton now has a 15-point lead among women voters. Trump leads by six among men.

Those under 40 are the age group most enthusiastic for Clinton, but younger voters are also the most likely to be undecided.

Eighty-four percent (84%) of blacks support Clinton, while Trump holds modest leads among whites and other minority voters.

In terms of income level, Clinton’s support is strongest among those who earn the least and those who earn the most.

Rasmussen Reports will release new favorability numbers on the two candidates tomorrow morning.

In early May, voters continued to be lukewarm about President Obama's national security policies and expected more of the same if Clinton moves back into the White House next January. Trump, if elected, will definitely change things, voters said, but not necessarily for the best.

Generally speaking, when it comes to the economy and other major issues, voters expect Clinton to continue Obama's policies and Trump to change them, for better or worse.

Voters, especially men, would rather have a beer with Trump than with Clinton, but they're evenly divided over which of the major presidential candidates they would invite home for dinner.

Additional information from this survey and a full demographic breakdown are available to Platinum Members only.

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