In the Electoral College projections, Rasmussen Reports now shows Obama leading 260 to 160. When states that are leaning in one way or the other are included, Obama leads 313 to 160. A total of 270 Electoral College votes are needed for victory.
In the Electoral College projections, Rasmussen Reports now shows Obama leading 260 to 160. When states that are leaning in one way or the other are included, Obama leads 313 to 160. A total of 270 Electoral College votes are needed for victory.
State polling released today has moved Florida from "Leans Democratic" to "Toss-Up" in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator.
In the Electoral College projections, Rasmussen Reports now shows Obama leading 260 to 160. When states that are leaning in one way or the other are included, Obama leads 286 to 160. A total of 270 Electoral College votes are needed for victory.
Seven states with 92 Electoral College votes remain in the Toss-Up category—
Florida
,
Indiana
,
Missouri
,
Montana
,
North Carolina
,
Nevada
, and
Ohio
. All seven of those states voted Republican four years ago.
Three states are only leaning in Obama’s direction at this time—
Colorado
,
New Hampshire
, and
Virginia
. Four years ago, New Hampshire voted Democratic while the other two voted Republican.
For McCain to get the 270 Electoral College votes needed to win the White House, he would need to win just about all of the Toss-Up states and those that are leaning to the Democrats. Polling from all ten states show potentially competitive races, but Obama is ahead in many and none show a clear lead for McCain.
This Balance of Power Calculator aggregates data from a variety of sources to provide a comprehensive assessment of the state-by-state race for the White
House
. Data inputs include
the latest Rasmussen Reports poll in a state
, an average of the latest polling from other firms (the “
538 Average
”),
Rasmussen Markets
data,
Intrade
market data, the aggregated rankings of selected analysts, the state’s voting history and national trends.
As a practical matter, all of the state-by-state changes are driven by the changes seen nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily
Presidential Tracking Poll
.
The table is updated daily. Recent changes include:
