January 30, 2025
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE
— Before the 2024 election, the Crystal Ball isolated several key counties in Toss-up states. We are circling back to see what the results in those counties said about the overall election.
— Several Democratic-trending suburban and touristy counties in the Industrial North continued to move left, although just not by the margins that Kamala Harris would have needed.
— In Pennsylvania, Donald Trump’s notable gains in the Scranton area played into his strong 2024 showing in the state.
— Sticking to the Industrial North generally, and in 2026 news, Sen. Gary Peters’s (D-MI) retirement opens up a Senate seat in Michigan for the second time in as many cycles.