The Wollman Rink episode, or, rather, the unduly optimistic conclusion I drew from it, explains a lot about Donald Trump's presidency and why he may not do as well against Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-Fla.) in the contest for the Republican nomination, as current poll numbers suggest.
By a 3-to-1 margin, Americans believe there are only two genders, and a majority support laws against transgender treatment for minors.
— In 2020, Donald Trump would have needed to flip 37 additional Electoral College votes to reach 269, thereby winning an effective majority in the Electoral College, thanks to a likely Republican advantage if the Electoral College produces a tied outcome.
— The 2024 Electoral College map will reflect the 2020 census’s reallocation of electoral votes. Using this new map, the GOP will need to flip 34 electoral votes (down from 37) to reach 269.
— Using 2020 presidential election results, we can map out the different paths that Trump had to winning 269 electoral votes. These routes give us a template for how presidential candidates might plan their strategies for next year’s election.
— Flipping Georgia, Arizona, and Wisconsin is likely the GOP’s best chance at winning back the presidency. But there are other viable routes to 269 as well that involve Pennsylvania, Nevada, and Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District.
Violent crime is still getting worse, most voters say, and nearly half rate President Joe Biden as doing a poor job of handling the issue.
In the wake of Russian claims to have captured Bakhmut, a plurality of American voters see the war in Ukraine as a stalemate.
As nearly every standardized test is showing, our schools are doing an abysmal job teaching kids how to read or do math. In some cases, kids graduating from high school can barely read their diplomas.
As Congress weighs whether to approve a compromise agreement to raise the federal debt limit, a majority of voters would prefer a government shutdown to higher spending.
Twenty-eight percent (28%) of Likely U.S. Voters think the country is heading in the right direction, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey for the week ending May 25, 2023.
As the nation celebrates a day honoring its military heroes, the importance of Memorial Day is rated higher than ever.
In surveys last week, this is what America told Rasmussen Reports...
With high school graduation season upon us, most Americans doubt that new graduates are prepared either to enter the job market or succeed in college.
A conservative, to paraphrase and slightly alter Irving Kristol's saying, is a liberal who has been mugged by reality -- especially by a reality that is plain to the vast bulk of ordinary people but remains inexplicably invisible to liberal intellectuals and politicians.
— The West Coast states have all been Democratic-leaning in nearly every recent presidential election.
— One exception was Oregon, which leaned slightly right of the nation in 2000, although it is now a solidly blue state.
— Looking nationally, Biden was the best-performing recent Democratic nominee in several Sun Belt states — many of which will be at the center of the 2024 campaign.
— Donald Trump, between his two elections as the GOP nominee, turned in the best recent Republican performances in half the states — this includes much of the electorally-critical Rust Belt.
The political influence of social media has grown in recent years, especially voters under 40.
A majority of voters want consequences for Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) officials who promoted false accusations of “Russian collusion” against former President Donald Trump.
Homelessness is a very serious problem that’s getting worse, according to a majority of Americans.
Recently, Gov. Ron DeSantis sat down with me for a one-hour interview.
The Rasmussen Reports Immigration Index for the week of May 14-18, 2023, decreased to 88.4, down more than three points from 91.5 two weeks earlier.
A majority of voters don’t trust the news they’re getting about politics, and still agree with former President Donald Trump’s denunciation of the news media as “the enemy of the people.”
