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January 12, 2012

'Tactical Voters' went to Romney in New Hampshire By Michael Barone

To win just under 40 percent of the vote in a primary with five
active candidates is pretty impressive, even for a candidate like Mitt
Romney, who started off with significant advantages in New Hampshire.   

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January 12, 2012

Ten Days to Stop Romney By Larry J. Sabato, Kyle Kondik and Geoffrey Skelley

Could Mitt Romney have scripted a better opening to campaign 2012?

First, he squeaked to victory by eight votes in Iowa -- or so the preliminary tally would suggest. Then he managed to meet expectations in New Hampshire with 39.3% and secured his preferred second place finisher, Ron Paul (23%). His main challenger in Iowa, Rick Santorum, finished far back at 9.4%.

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January 12, 2012

CREATORS SYNDICATE LAUNCHES RASMUSSEN REPORT COLUMN BY NOTED POLLSTER SCOTT RASMUSSEN

As the 2012 election season heats up, Creators Syndicate is launching the syndicated column The Rasmussen Report by noted political analyst, author, public speaker and independent public opinion pollster Scott Rasmussen. Each Thursday starting on January 12, The Rasmussen Report will offer the latest insight into today’s current events, underlying trends and the questions that Americans are curious about.

January 12, 2012

38% Favor Stricter Gun Control, 50% Oppose

Gun crimes remains a common feature in the news, but most Americans still don’t see a need for stronger gun control.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 38% of American Adults now think the United States needs stricter gun control laws, but that’s virtually unchanged in regular tracking back to February 2006. Fifty percent (50%) see no need for tougher anti-gun laws, while 11% are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.  

The survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted on January 6-7, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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January 11, 2012

24% Say U.S. Heading In Right Direction

Twenty-four percent (24%) of Likely U.S. Voters now say the country is heading in the right direction, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey taken the week ending Sunday, Jan. 8. That’s the highest level of confidence measured since the first week in July.

The latest finding is up two points from the previous week.  From July 25 through Dec. 11, the number of voters who were confident in the nation's current course had resembled levels measured in the final months of the Bush administration, with voter confidence remaining in the narrow range of 14% to 19%. But the finding has been in the low 20s since then.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The national telephone survey of 4,000 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports January 2-8, 2012. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage point with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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January 11, 2012

48% Still Blame Bush for Bad Economy; 45% Blame Obama’s Policies

Voters now blame President Bush only slightly more than President Obama for the continuing bad economy. It’s the narrowest gap between the two in nearly 18 months.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that a plurality (48%) of Likely U.S. Voters still say the nation’s current economic problems are caused more by the recession that began under Bush than by Obama’s policies. But now nearly as many (45%) blame Obama’s policies more. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on January 5-6, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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January 11, 2012

Election 2012: Obama 44%, Romney 41%

Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney, the first non-incumbent Republican to win both the Iowa caucuses and New Hampshire’s first-in-the nation primary, continues to run nearly even with President Obama in their latest hypothetical Election 2012 matchup.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds Obama earning 44% support to Romney’s 41%.  Seven percent (7%) prefer some other candidate, while eight percent (8%) are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.) 

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The national survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on January 9-10, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

January 11, 2012

46% Think Tea Party Will Hurt GOP in 2012 Elections, Most Republicans Disagree

More voters than ever dislike the Tea Party, and a sizable number thinks the grass roots movement will hurt Republicans in this year’s elections.  But most GOP voters don’t agree and see the Tea Party as good for them in November.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The national survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on January 9-10, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

January 11, 2012

89% Think Higher Gas Prices Likely Six Months From Now

Americans overwhelmingly believe that they will be paying more for gas six months from now, and most worry that increasing tensions with Iran will prompt a spike in prices at the pump.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 89% of American Adults think it is at least somewhat likely that they will be paying more for a gallon of gas six months from now, and that includes a whopping 72% who say it’s Very Likely. Just seven percent (7%) think an increase in gas prices is not very or Not At All Likely. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The survey of 1,000 Adults nationwide was conducted on January 6-7, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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January 10, 2012

Election 2012: Generic Republican 47%, Obama 43%

For the second week in a row, a generic Republican candidate holds a four-point lead over President Obama in an Election 2012 matchup, this time for the week ending Sunday, Jan. 8.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 47% of Likely U.S. Voters would support the generic Republican candidate if the presidential election were held today, while 43% would vote for Obama.  Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and seven percent (7%) are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The survey of 4,000 Likely Voters was conducted January 2-8, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

January 10, 2012

Video: Scott Rasmussen's Final Thoughts on Today's New Hampshire GOP Primary

The voting has begun in New Hampshire, America’s first-in-the-nation presidential primary, and many are the questions we won’t have answered until this evening.

January 10, 2012

Video: What Did Pollsters Miss in Predicting New Hampshire's 2008 Democratic Primary?

The voting has begun in New Hampshire, America’s first-in-the-nation presidential primary, and many are the questions we won’t have answered until this evening.

January 10, 2012

32% of New Hampshire Republicans Have Met At Least One of the Candidates

Every four years New Hampshire is invaded by politicians as the presidential nomination race of one or both parties begins to formally take off.  This year, only the Republicans are battling it out in the Granite State, and roughly one-in-three of New Hampshire’s Likely GOP Primary Voters have personally met at least one of the candidates.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds that the overwhelming majority of New Hampshire Republicans (68%) have not met any of the candidates. But 11% have personally met one; another 10% have met two of the candidates, while five percent (5%) have met three of the six men seeking the GOP nomination. Six percent (6%) have met more than three. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

This New Hampshire survey of 722 Likely Republican Primary Voters was conducted on January 8, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

January 10, 2012

Video: Does Retail Politics Really Matter in the 2012 Presidential Election?

The voting has begun in New Hampshire, America’s first-in-the-nation presidential primary, and many are the questions we won’t have answered until this evening.

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January 10, 2012

Election 2012: Obama 46%, Gingrich 38%

For the first time since early December, Newt Gingrich is within single digits of President Obama in an Election 2012 matchup.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds Obama earning 46% support to Gingrich’s 38%.  Ten percent (10%) prefer some other candidate, while six percent (6%) are not sure.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on January 5-6, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

January 10, 2012

Video: Will GOP Voters Ever Fall In Love with Mitt Romney?

The voting has begun in New Hampshire, America’s first-in-the-nation presidential primary, and many are the questions we won’t have answered until this evening.

January 10, 2012

Only 18% Like Iowa, New Hampshire Always Going First in Presidential Process

Very few voters like the fact that Iowa and New Hampshire always go first in the presidential selection process, and most prefer the idea of regional primaries instead.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that just 18% think it’s good for the presidential nomination process that the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire Primary are first every four years. Thirty-nine percent (39%) think it’s bad for the selection process, but a sizable 43% are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on January 7-8, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

January 10, 2012

Video: Looking Past New Hampshire, Who's Winning South Carolina?

The voting has begun in New Hampshire, America’s first-in-the-nation presidential primary, and many are the questions we won’t have answered until this evening.

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January 10, 2012

Consumer Bureau Protects the Prudent, as Well By Froma Harrop

Let's set aside the back-and-forth over the recess appointment of
Richard Cordray as chief watchdog at the new Consumer Financial Protection
Bureau. President Obama named the former Ohio attorney general to lead the
agency when the Senate was supposedly out of session, which he's allowed to
do.  

January 10, 2012

Video: In New Hampshire, Mitt Romney Viewed Most Favorably, Highest Electability

The voting has begun in New Hampshire, America’s first-in-the-nation presidential primary, and many are the questions we won’t have answered until this evening.