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October 11, 2024

What the Census Can Tell Us About Swing States By Michael Barone

Jonathan Draeger, reporter for RealClearPolitics, wrote Tuesday that "the 2024 presidential contest couldn't be tighter." Unless, of course, it turns out not to be nearly as close as this season's run of polls suggests it is.

October 10, 2024

Election 2024: Trump Keeps +2 Lead Over Harris

Less than a month until Election Day, there is no change in the race for the White House, as former President Donald Trump still holds a two-point lead over Vice President Kamala Harris.

White letter R on blue background
October 10, 2024

Places to Watch, Part Two: The Sun Belt By J. Miles Coleman

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

— In North Carolina, Kamala Harris seems likely to gain in suburban Cabarrus County but may have to watch rural counties like Wilson.

— While it is not the most likely case, two Georgia counties that have trended in the opposite direction, Fayette and Sumter, could both conceivably flip.

— While Phoenix’s Maricopa County dominates Arizona, raw vote margins in a trio of its other large counties have proved predictive.

— In Nevada, Las Vegas and Reno predominate.

October 9, 2024

Inflation: Americans Still Seeing Higher Grocery Prices

Four out of five Americans say they’re paying more at the grocery store, and most say inflation has changed how they eat.

October 9, 2024

The Cost of Free Money By John Stossel

Some politicians and activists are eager to give you "free" money.

October 9, 2024

More Gun Control? Most Voters Say ‘Yes’

A majority of voters want stricter gun control laws in America, including a ban on so-called “assault weapons.”

October 8, 2024

Climate Change Danger – Truth or Misinformation? By Brian C. Joondeph

Climate change continues to be a hot election issue, at least for Democrats.

At the recent vice-presidential debates, one of Republican J.D. Vance’s several debate opponents, CBS’s Norah O’Donnell, when asking about Hurricane Helen, started not with disaster relief, but the usual Democrat canard of climate change: “Scientists say climate change makes these hurricanes larger, stronger and more deadly because of the historic rainfall.”

Is this the important issue Democrats claim it to be?

Pew Research ranked climate change 10th on a list of 10 top issues for voters in the 2024 election.

October 8, 2024

Republicans Have Advantage on Corruption, Energy Issues

As Election Day nears, voters trust Republicans more than Democrats on the issues of government corruption and energy policy.

October 8, 2024

How Donald Trump Can Win the Popular Vote By Daniel McCarthy

Democrats should brace for a shock four weeks from now -- the possibility not just of a victory for former President Donald Trump but a win so big Trump even beats Vice President Kamala Harris in the popular vote.

October 7, 2024

34% Say U.S. Heading in Right Direction

Thirty-four percent (34%) of Likely U.S. Voters think the country is heading in the right direction, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey for the week ending October 3, 2024.

October 7, 2024

GOP Still Leads on Generic Congressional Ballot

Less than a month before Election Day, Republicans have a two-point lead in their battle to maintain their narrow House majority.

October 5, 2024

What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls - Week Ending October 5, 2024

In surveys last week, this is what America told Rasmussen Reports...

October 4, 2024

Rasmussen Real Unemployment Rate: Again, Double the Official Rate

National unemployment was 8.7% in this month’s Rasmussen Reports Real Unemployment update, up from 8.4% last month and significantly more than double the 4.1% rate officially reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics today. 

October 4, 2024

Who Will Win in November? Harris Voters Are More Confident, But …

Regardless of who they plan to vote for in November, slightly more voters expect former President Donald Trump to win, despite greater confidence among supporters of Vice President Kamala Harris.

October 4, 2024

The Vice Presidential Debate May Matter By Michael Barone

Vice presidential debates don't matter, we have been assured over and over. No one votes for vice president or a presidential nominee for her or his choice of running mate. You can go back and look at snap polls taken after past vice presidential debates and find basically zero correlation with the final election results.

October 3, 2024

Are Hurricanes Getting Worse?

Hurricane Helene wrought devastation across the South this week, but most Americans don’t believe this year’s hurricane season has been worse than usual.

October 3, 2024

Election 2024: Trump Still +2 Over Harris

The campaign for the White House remains close, as former President Donald Trump continues to hold a two-point lead over Vice President Kamala Harris.

White letter R on blue background
October 3, 2024

Abortion Rights, Elections, Criminal Justice, and Much More: The 2024 State Ballot Issues to Watch By Louis Jacobson

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

— This year, 41 states have at least one measure on the ballot for voters to weigh in on, and many have multiple measures.

— The highest-profile issue on the ballot this year—as was the case in 2022 and 2023—is abortion. In all, 10 states have pro-abortion rights measures on the ballot, including such purple and red states as Arizona, Florida, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, and South Dakota. Nebraska also has an anti-abortion measure on the ballot.

— Voters will also be asked about a wide range of election-related issues, including ranked-choice voting, redistricting and non-citizen voting. Other common topics involve proposals on criminal justice, raising the minimum wage, recreational marijuana, and education policy.

October 2, 2024

‘Protecting Democracy’ … From Whom?

Many voters believe the biggest job for the next president is protecting democracy, but they’re deeply divided over where the threat is coming from.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 23% of Likely U.S. Voters believe protecting democracy is the most important issue for the next president to solve. The issue ranks behind illegal immigration and rising prices (both viewed as more important by 29% of voters) but ahead of abortion rights (17%). (To see survey question wording, click here.)

October 1, 2024

Economic Optimism Rises Slightly

More Americans see economic opportunity than they did three years ago, but they’e still not as optimistic as they were when Donald Trump was president.