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October 23, 2012

Connecticut Senate: Murphy (D) 48%, McMahon (R) 47%

Democratic Congressman Chris Murphy and Republican businesswoman Linda McMahon are in a near tie following their final debate in Connecticut’s testy U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Connecticut Voters shows Murphy with 48% support to McMahon’s 47%. Two percent (2%) like some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

This race now moves back from Leans Democrat to a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Senate Balance of Power rankings.

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This Connecticut survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 21, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.  See methodology.

October 22, 2012

North Dakota: Romney 54%, Obama 40%

Mitt Romney maintains a comfortable lead over President Obama in North Dakota.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely North Dakota Voters shows Romney with 54% of the vote to Obama’s 40%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 600 Likely Voters in North Dakota was conducted on October 17-18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 22, 2012

North Dakota: Romney 54%, Obama 40%

Mitt Romney maintains a comfortable lead over President Obama in North Dakota.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely North Dakota Voters shows Romney with 54% of the vote to Obama’s 40%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 600 Likely Voters in North Dakota was conducted on October 17-18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 22, 2012

Generic Congressional Ballot: Republican 44%, Democrats 43%

Republicans have reclaimed the lead on the Generic Congressional Ballot, leading Democrats by one point for the week ending October 21, 2012.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 44% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Republican in their district’s congressional race if the election were held today, while 43% would choose the Democrat instead.

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The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports from October 15-21, 2012. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage point with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 22, 2012

47% See Better Economy With Romney, 35% With Obama

More voters than ever think the economy will get better if Mitt Romney is elected president. Nearly as many expect the economy to get worse if President Obama is reelected.  A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 47% of Likely U.S. Voters now believe that if Romney is elected president and the Republicans win control of Congress, the economy will get better. Thirty-two percent (32%) think it will get worse under Romney. If Obama is reelected and the Democrats regain control of Congress, 35% think the economy will improve, while 42% say it will get worse.

Roughly one-in-five voters think the economy will stay about the same, no matter which man is elected president. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on October 17-18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 22, 2012

Who Will Win? 51% Say Obama, 39% Romney

Fifty-one percent (51%) of Likely U.S. Voters still think President Obama is the likely winner of the presidential race, while 39% expect Mitt Romney to come out on top, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey.

Confidence in Romney has been inching up and is now at its highest level in surveys since late August. The 12-point gap between the candidates is the narrowest yet, down from 20 points just two weeks ago. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on October 19-20, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

White letter R on blue background
October 22, 2012

If Obama Wins, Will He Be Another Woodrow Wilson? By Michael Barone

How will this election be seen in history? Obviously, it depends on who wins. If Barack Obama is defeated, the irresistible comparison will be with Jimmy Carter. A one-term president was rejected after pursuing big government programs amid high energy prices and attacks on America in the Middle East.

White letter R on blue background
October 22, 2012

Colorado: Romney 50%, Obama 46%

Mitt Romney has now reached the 50% mark for the first time in Colorado and leads President Obama by four in the critical swing state.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Colorado Voters finds Romney with 50% support to Obama’s 46%. Two percent (2%) like some other candidate, and one percent (1%) remains undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Colorado was conducted on October 21, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is  conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 22, 2012

52% Favor Repeal of Health Care Law

A majority of U.S. voters still wants to repeal of the president’s health care law, but just as many don’t expect their own insurance coverage to change as a result of the law.  

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely Voters shows that 52% favor repeal of the law, while 42% are opposed. This includes 41% who Strongly Favor repeal and 33% who are Strongly Opposed to it. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on October 19-20, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 22, 2012

Wisconsin Senate: Thompson (R) 48%, Baldwin (D) 46%

Former Governor Tommy Thompson and Democratic Congresswoman Tammy Baldwin are in a near tie in Wisconsin’s down-to-the-wire U.S. Senate race.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Wisconsin Voters, taken the night of the candidates’ second debate, shows Thompson with 48% support to Baldwin’s 46%. Three percent (3%) like some other candidate, and another three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This Wisconsin survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

White letter R on blue background
October 21, 2012

Iowa: Obama 48%, Romney 48%

President Obama and Mitt Romney are now dead even in the battleground state of Iowa. 

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Iowa Voters finds Obama and Romney each earning 48% support.  One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, while two percent (2%) are still undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Iowa was conducted on October 21, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 21, 2012

Virginia Senate: Kaine (D) 49% Allen (R) 48%

The U.S. Senate race in Virginia remains a toss-up.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Virginia Voters shows Democrat Tim Kaine with 49% of the vote and Republican George Allen with 48%. Three percent (3%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Virginia was conducted on October 18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 21, 2012

Washington Senate: Cantwell (D) 52%, Baumgartner (R) 37%

Democratic incumbent Maria Cantwell continues to hold a commanding lead over Republican challenger Michael Baumgartner in Washington State’s U.S. Senate race. A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Washington Voters finds Cantwell earning 52% support, while Baumgartner, a state senator, draws 37% of the vote. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and nine percent (9%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This Washington survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 14, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 20, 2012

Florida Senate: Nelson (D) 48%, Mack (R) 43%

Following the candidates’ only face-to-face debate on Wednesday, incumbent Democrat Bill Nelson posts a five-point lead over Republican Connie Mack in Florida’s U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Florida Voters shows Nelson with 48% support to Mack’s 43%. Two percent (2%) like another candidate, and seven percent (7%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Florida was conducted on October 18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 20, 2012

North Carolina Governor: McCrory (R) 53%, Dalton (D) 42%

Republican Pat McCrory still earns over 50% of the vote in the race to be North Carolina's next governor.  

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely North Carolina Voters finds McCrory with 53% support, while his Democratic opponent, Lieutenant Governor Walter Dalton, earns 42% of the vote.  Four percent (4%) remain undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in North Carolina was conducted on October 17, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 20, 2012

What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls - Week Ending October 20, 20120

The countdown to Election Day continues. President Obama’s much-improved performance in Tuesday night’s debate seems to have stopped his downward trend in the polls but has not yet helped him regain lost ground. Republican hopes for a Senate takeover, on the other hand, are slipping away.

The daily Presidential Tracking Poll continues to show the race far too close to call, Romney has the edge in our daily Swing State survey, and the president still has a slight lead in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College projections. 

However, seven states with 66 Electoral Votes remain in the Toss-Up category and three states have just shifted from Toss-Up to Leans Romney.— In Florida Romney’s now up by five. In North Carolina, he’s ahead by six. And, the GOP hopeful has a double digit lead in Missouri.

October 19, 2012

Missouri Senate: McCaskill 51%, Akin 43%

Incumbent Democrat Claire McCaskill continues to lead Republican Congressman Todd Akin in Missouri’s U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Missouri Voters shows McCaskill with 51% of the vote to Akin’s 43%. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and another three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This Missouri survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 17, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.  See methodology.

October 19, 2012

Ohio Senate: Brown (D) 49%, Mandel (R) 44%

Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown has moved back into the lead in his bid for reelection in Ohio.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters shows Brown with 49% of the vote to Republican Josh Mandel’s 44%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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(Want a free daily e-mail update ? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted on October 17, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 19, 2012

Wisconsin: Obama 50%, Romney 48%

Wisconsin remains a two-point race following Tuesday night’s presidential debate.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Wisconsin Voters finds President Obama with 50% support, while Mitt Romney earns 48% of the vote. One percent (1%) likes another candidate in the race. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook

This Wisconsin survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 19, 2012

Missouri: Romney 54%, Obama 43%

Mitt Romney now has a double-digit lead in Missouri.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Missouri Voters, taken the night after the second presidential debate, finds Romney with 54% support to President Obama’s 43%. One percent (1%) favors some other candidate, and three percent (3%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted on October 17, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.