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August 7, 2012

48% Think Hillary Clinton Might Run for President in 2016

Will she or won’t she? Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has said she has no further political ambitions, but a sizable number of voters think she may run again for the presidency.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 48% of Likely U.S. Voters believe it is at least somewhat likely that Mrs. Clinton will run for president in 2016, but that includes just 17% who say it’s Very Likely. Thirty-six percent (36%) think she is unlikely to make a bid for the White House four years from now, but only seven percent (7%) feel it’s Not At All Likely. Seventeen percent (17%) are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The national survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on August 2-3, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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August 6, 2012

Generic Congressional Ballot: Republicans 42%, Democrats 39%

Republicans lead Democrats by three points on the Generic Congressional Ballot for the fifth week in a row, this time for the week ending Sunday, August 5.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 42% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Republican in their district’s congressional race if the election were held today, while 39% would choose the Democrat instead.

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August 6, 2012

Our View of the Third Party Option in Presidential Polling

Over the past couple of weeks, many people have asked why we're not including Gary Johnson by name in our tracking poll (we do include "some other candidate").

Some people believe that including Johnson will show a deep level of support for a third party candidate. Some even believe he could generate enough polling support to qualify for participation in the Presidential debates. Others say he could steal votes away from one of the leading candidates and ultimately impact who will win the race.

August 6, 2012

Most Americans Favor More School Spending Until The Price Tag Is Attached

Most Americans don't think the government spends enough on public education until they find out how much it really does spend on schools. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 29% of American Adults believe the government spends too much on public education.  Fifty-two percent (52%) disagree and feel the government doesn’t spend enough. Thirteen percent (13%) say the level of government spending is about right.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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August 6, 2012

Only 32% Think Bill Clinton, Obama See Eye-to-Eye on Economy

Bill Clinton will have a prominent role at the upcoming Democratic National Convention to give a boost to President Obama’s reelection campaign, but voters aren’t sure if the two men agree on how to fix the economy.

Just 32% of Likely U.S. Voters believe Clinton and Obama hold similar views on how to fix the economy, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey. Slightly more (39%) think they have differing views on what’s needed, and another 29% are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

August 6, 2012

The President's Monthly Approval Numbers Hold Steady In July

When tracking President Obama’s job approval on a daily basis, people sometimes get so caught up in the day-to-day fluctuations that they miss the bigger picture. To look at the longer-term trends, Rasmussen Reports compiles the numbers on a full-month basis, and the results can be seen in the graphics below.

For the month of July, the president's Total Job Approval Rating held steady at 47%.  Since the beginning of 2012, that finding has remained in the narrow range of 47% to 49%.  This time last year, the president had an approval rating of 46%.  In January 2009, however, 62% of voters approved of Obama's job performance.
 
 In July, 52% disapproved of the president's performance, also showing no change from the previous month. The number who disapproves of Obama's performance has stayed in the low to mid-50s since August 2009. When the president assumed office, only 34% disapproved.

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August 6, 2012

Supporters of Ted Cruz and Chick-fil-A Break News by Michael Barone

Americans keep behaving in ways that baffle the liberal mainstream media. Two examples figured prominently -- or should have -- in last week's news.

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August 6, 2012

Opposition to Repeal of Health Care Law Hits New High: 44%

Fifty percent (50%) of Likely U.S. Voters at least somewhat favor repeal of President Obama’s national health care law, while 44% are opposed, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey. That’s the highest level of opposition to repeal since the law was passed by Congress in March 2010.

The latest findings include 40% who Strongly Favor repeal and 35% who Strongly Oppose it. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on August 4-5, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

August 5, 2012

New High: 52% Are Pro-Choice

More voters than ever are now pro-choice when it comes to abortion, but just as many view it as morally wrong in most situations.

Overall, 52% of Likely U.S. Voters consider themselves pro-choice when it comes to abortion, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey. Forty-one percent (41%) say they are pro-life. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on July 31-August 1, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC . See methodology.

August 5, 2012

Romney Up Big in Indiana

Four years ago, President Obama became the first Democrat since 1964 to win Indiana. He looks unlikely to repeat that feat.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state finds challenger Mitt Romney picking up 51% of the vote while the president earns just 35%.  Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and 11% are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The Indiana survey of 400 Likely Voters was conducted July 31-August 1, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports.  The margin of sampling error is +/- 5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.

August 4, 2012

What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls -- For The Week Ending August 4, 2012

The frustration in America these days runs deep. Just 14% think today’s children will be better off than their parents. That’s the most pessimistic assessment ever and the number is even lower among those with children at home. Worker’s confidence in the jobs market has fallen to the lowest level of 2012. Long-term optimism about the economy is at the lowest level ever recorded. Just 40% believe the U.S. economy will be stronger in FIVE years. That’s down from 62% in January 2009.

August 3, 2012

28% Conservative on Both Fiscal, Social Issues

A plurality of U.S. voters considers themselves fiscal conservatives, but they are more evenly divided when it comes to social issues. 

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 43% of Likely Voters now define themselves as conservative when it comes to fiscal issues such as taxes, government spending and business regulation. Thirty-six percent (36%) characterize themselves as moderates in this area.  Just 14% are fiscal liberals.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

August 3, 2012

66% Say Formal Education Key to Success in Life, Not Street Smarts

With the start of school right around the corner, most Americans continue to believe that what you learn inside the classroom is more valuable than what’s learned on the outside.

Two-out-of-three (66%) American Adults say formal education is more important for success in life than street smarts, according to a new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey.  Twenty-one percent (21%) think street smarts are more valuable, while another 14% are not sure.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

August 3, 2012

Indiana Senate: Mourdock (R) 42%, Donnelly (D) 40%

The U.S. Senate race in Indiana remains a dead heat between Democratic Congressman Joe Donnelly and Tea Party-backed State Treasurer Richard Mourdock. 

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Hoosier State finds Mourdock earning 42% of the vote, while Donnelly draws support from 40%.  Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate in the race, but another 15% are still undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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August 3, 2012

'Kiss My Ass': Fear and Loathing in the Romney Campaign by Joe Conason

If Mitt Romney's purpose in traveling abroad this summer was to prove his credentials as a potential world leader, the verdict is mixed at best. Neither his tendency to utter bizarre insults nor his shallow, ideological approach to policy inspired much confidence, although he managed to garner support from Israel's right-wing prime minister and an eccentric former leader in Poland. (Our allies in the United Kingdom may never want to hear from him again.)

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August 3, 2012

Tight National Race Freezes Electoral College Map By Kyle Kondik and Larry J. Sabato

While no one enjoys dissecting the presidential swing states more than we do, we also recognize that swings in the states are oftentimes uniform -- as in, changes in the national polls will trickle down to the states.

August 3, 2012

The Heavy Burden of Government By Scott Rasmussen

In my hometown, everyone is required to have a landline telephone so local officials can reach us with a reverse 911 call.    

It's a nice idea, but it doesn't work. In my family, we never use the landline. We talk on cellphones. Occasionally, telemarketers call. So do people looking for someone named "Danny," but we no longer answer. So, if a call came from our local government, we'd never hear their message. But when you're building a house and need to pass inspection, it's easier to put in the phone than fight city hall.

August 2, 2012

45% Say Medicare is a Good Deal for Working Americans

Fewer voters now feel that Medicare is a good deal for working Americans today, and most are still not confident that they will receive all their promised benefits.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 45% of Likely U.S. Voters say Medicare is a good deal for working Americans today, down from an all-time high of 49% in June. Thirty percent (30%) say it is not a good deal, but another 24% are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on July 25-26, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

August 2, 2012

68% Are Confident About Nutritional Info on Restaurant Menus

A majority of Americans continue to trust the nutritional information they find in menus and on menu boards at restaurants across the country.

Sixty-eight percent (68%) of American Adults are at least somewhat confident about the accuracy of nutritional information published on menus, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey. Twenty-three percent (23%) are not confident in the accuracy of the nutrition information.

These findings include 20% who are Very Confident and just four percent (4%) who are Not At All Confident. They also show little change from January. (To see survey question wording, click here)

August 2, 2012

North Carolina: Romney 49%, Obama 44%

Mitt Romney has a five-point edge over President Obama in the battleground state of North Carolina. 

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Tar Heel State finds Romney with 49% support, while the president earns 44% of the vote.  Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and another four percent (4%) are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in North Carolina was conducted on August 1, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.