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September 29, 2012

80% Still Think Health Care Repeal Likely If Romney Wins

Most voters still think the health care law’s days are numbered if Mitt Romney wins the White House and Republicans gain control of both the House and Senate.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 80% of Likely U.S. Voters believe repeal of the law is likely if Romney is elected and Republicans take control of Congress. Only 12% think repeal is not likely in the event of a GOP victory. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This survey of 1,000 Likely Voters nationwide was conducted on September 25-26, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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September 29, 2012

The Tawdry Tycoon Who Hosted That '47 Percent' Party By Joe Conason

Amid the ongoing uproar over Mitt Romney's snooty remarks at a Florida fundraiser concerning the "47 percent" who pay no federal income taxes, the party's high-rolling host hasn't drawn quite as much attention as he deserves. As the head of private equity firm Sun Capital Partners, Marc Leder is a longtime associate of the Republican nominee -- and a practitioner of the same dubious behavior that has smudged Romney's reputation.     

September 29, 2012

What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls For The Week Ending September 29, 2012

The presidential race remains competitive even though voters still trust Mitt Romney slightly more than President Obama when it comes to handling economic matters. Will Wednesday night’s first presidential debate make a difference?

With a race this close, possibly but not likely, Scott Rasmussen argues in his latest weekly syndicated column. “Events in the real world matter more than debates,” Scott writes. “Only in the absence of other news could a slight change in the race coming out of the debates be decisive.”

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September 28, 2012

44% Think Fed Chairman Influenced by President

Belief among Americans that the Federal Reserve Board chairman has too much economic clout has softened a bit from previous years, but a plurality continues to feel the chairman of the independent agency is influenced in his decision making by the president.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of American Adults shows that 41% believe the chairman of the Federal Reserve has too much power over the economy. Six percent (6%) say the chairman does not have enough power, while 38% say the level is about right. Another 15% are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The national survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted on September 20-21, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 28, 2012

50% Predict More Than Three Years for Housing Market to Fully Recover

Most Americans still don't see a full recovery of the housing and stock markets in the next three years.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 50% of American Adults think it will take more than three years for housing prices to fully recover from the downturn that began in 2008. That's down slightly from 52% in August  and 57% in June, the most negative assessment of the housing market since regular tracking began in January 2009.

Just five percent (5%) think full recovery is likely to occur within the next year. Fifteen percent (15%) say recovery is three years away, while 10% say it's two years away.  Twenty percent (20%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted on September 22-23, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 28, 2012

Washington Governor: Inslee (D) 46%, McKenna (R) 45%

Rasmussen Reports' first look at the gubernatorial race in Washington shows Republican Rob McKenna and Democrat Jay Inslee running neck-and-neck.
 
The latest telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Evergreen State finds Inslee with 46% support to 45% for McKenna.  Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, while six percent (6%) are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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Sign up for The Rasmussen Reader, now just $24.95 for a 12-month subscription. Offer good through October 1, 2012. 

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

This Washington survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on September 26, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 28, 2012

51% Trust Romney More on Economy, 44% Trust Obama More

Mitt Romney continues to hold a seven-point lead in voter trust over President Obama when it comes to the economy, by far the number one voting issue. The candidates remain more closely divided in several other key issue areas, but voters are shifting toward Romney when it comes to national security.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 51% of Likely U.S. Voters trust Romney more when it comes to handling the economy. Forty-four percent (44%) trust the president more. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Sign up for The Rasmussen Reader, now just $24.95 for a 12-month subscription. Offer good through October 1, 2012. 

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

This survey of 1,000 Likely Voters nationwide was conducted on September 25-26, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 28, 2012

Maine: Obama 52%, Romney 40%

President Obama posts a 12-point lead over Mitt Romney in Maine.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Maine Voters finds Obama with 52% support to Romney’s 40%. Four percent (4%) favor some other candidate in the race, and another four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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Sign up for The Rasmussen Reader, now just $24.95 for a 12-month subscription. Offer good through October 1, 2012. 

This Maine survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on September 25, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 28, 2012

Debates Seldom Change the Dynamic By Scott Rasmussen

The presidential debate season is upon us with President Obama and his Republican challenger, Mitt Romney, scheduled to square off Wednesday night in the Political Class version of a cage match.

September 27, 2012

31% Think Government Should Help Troubled Mortgage Holders

More Americans than ever think that if someone can’t afford their mortgage payments, the government should help them.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 56% of American Adults still think that if someone can't afford to make their increased mortgage payments, it's better for them to sell their home and buy a less expensive one. But now 31% say the better option is for the government to assist them in making their mortgage payments. That's up from 22% in July. Thirteen percent (13%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 American Adults nationwide was conducted on September 16-17, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 27, 2012

Maine Senate: King (I) 45%, Summers (R) 33%, Dill (D) 14%

Independent Angus King is well ahead of Republican Charlie Summers and Democrat Cynthia Dill in Rasmussen Reports' first look at the U.S. Senate race in Maine.

A telephone survey of Likely Maine Voters shows King earning 45% support to Summers' 33% and 14% for Dill. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and seven percent (7%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Sign up for The Rasmussen Reader, now just $24.95 for a 12-month subscription. Offer good through October 1, 2012. 

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

This Maine survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on September 25, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 27, 2012

Arizona: Romney 52%, Obama 42%

Mitt Romney still holds a double-digit lead over President Obama in Arizona.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Arizona Voters shows Romney with 52% of the vote to Obama’s 42%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, while two percent (2%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

How did you do in this week’s Rasmussen Challenge? Check the leaderboard.   

Sign up for The Rasmussen Reader, now just $24.95 for a 12-month subscription. Offer good through October 1, 2012. 

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Arizona was conducted on September 25, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 27, 2012

43% Expect Better Economy if Romney Wins; 34% Say Same of Obama

Most voters still don't think the economy will get better no matter which candidate wins the White House and which party wins control of Congress in November. But they’re now a little more confident in economic gains if Mitt Romney and the Republicans come out ahead. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that only 34% of Likely U.S. Voters think the economy is likely to get better if President Obama is reelected and Democrats regain full control of Congress, marking little change from early July when the two sides ran nearly even. By comparison, 43% now believe the economy is likely to improve if Romney wins and the GOP is in charge of Congress. That’s up seven points from 36% in the previous survey.

Sixty-two percent (62%) are more pessimistic about the economic impact if the president and his party in Congress win the election, with 41% who expect the economy to get worse and 21% who say it will stay about the same.

Fifty-two percent (52%) paint a similar picture if the Republican challenger wins and the GOP takes over Congress, including 37% who think the economy is likely to worsen and 15% who feel it will stay about the same.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Sign up for The Rasmussen Reader, now just $24.95 for a 12-month subscription. Offer good through October 1, 2012. 

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

This survey of 1,000 Likely Voters nationwide was conducted on September 25-26, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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September 27, 2012

Tedious Attacks on 'Mainstream Media' By Froma Harrop

Last week, the most-read items on the RealClearPolitics website were complaints about the "mainstream media." Basically, it was Mitt Romney supporters claiming that their man was behind in polls because the so-called mainstream media were biased against conservatives. On the left, meanwhile, the beefs tend to focus on "what the media aren't reporting" -- most often plundering by big business. About 11 out of 10 times these commentators know "what the media aren't reporting" because they read about it ... where?

White letter R on blue background
September 27, 2012

Obama: Industrial Age Solutions to Information Age Challenges By Michael Barone

In 2008, voters under 30 preferred Barack Obama over John McCain by a 66 to 32 percent margin. Among older voters, Obama led McCain by 50 to 49 percent.

September 27, 2012

Americans Like Free Trade But Like Protective Tariffs Better

A sizable number of Americans still see free trade as a good thing for the country, but they’re evenly divided over whether it’s a job killer or a job creator. That helps explain why most favor protective tariffs on countries that pay their workers less than we do.

September 26, 2012

36% Say U.S. Heading in Right Direction

Thirty-six percent (36%) of Likely U.S. Voters now say the country is heading in the right direction, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey taken the week ending Sunday, September 23.

That’s up a point from 35% the week before and down just one point from 37% two weeks ago, the highest level of optimism since late June 2009.

From July 25 through December 11 of last year, voter confidence in the nation's current course resembled levels measured in the final months of the George W. Bush administration, remaining in the narrow range of 14% to 19%. That finding began climbing in early January of this year to a high of 34% in the second week of February and had been in the high 20s to low 30s in weekly tracking until three weeks ago.

Sign up for The Rasmussen Reader, now just $24.95 for a 12-month subscription. Offer good through October 1, 2012. 

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen September 17-23, 2012. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 26, 2012

Massachusetts: Obama 55%, Romney 40%

President Obama remains well ahead of Mitt Romney in Massachusetts.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Massachusetts Voters shows Obama with 55% support to Romney's 40%. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, while two percent (2%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Win an iPad: The Rasmussen Challenge! This week's entries will be accepted until 11:59pm ET tonight.

Sign up for The Rasmussen Reader, now just $24.95 for a 12-month subscription. Offer good through October 1, 2012.

This Massachusetts survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted September 24, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 26, 2012

Arizona Senate: Flake (R) 47%, Carmona (D) 41%

The U.S. Senate race in Arizona has grown tighter in the first Rasmussen Reports survey conducted since the party primaries in late August.

The latest statewide telephone survey of Likely Arizona Voters shows Republican Congressman Jeff Flake with 47% of the vote to Democrat Richard Carmona’s 41%. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and nine percent (9%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Arizona was conducted on September 25, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 26, 2012

45% Say U.S. and Allies are Winning War on Terror

As anger against America spreads in the Middle East, fewer voters believe the United States is winning the War on Terror and is safer today than before the 9/11 terrorist attacks.  Voter pessimism about the situation in Afghanistan also continues to grow. 

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 45% of Likely Voters believe the United States and its allies are winning the War on Terror, while 21% think the terrorists are winning that war.  Another 26% say neither side has the advantage.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Win an iPad: The Rasmussen Challenge! This week's entries will be accepted until 11:59pm ET tonight.

Sign up for The Rasmussen Reader, now just $24.95 for a 12-month subscription. Offer good through October 1, 2012.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on September 23-24, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.