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October 3, 2012

Missouri Senate: McCaskill (D) 51%, Akin (R) 45%

The deadline has passed for embattled Congressman Todd Akin to withdraw from Missouri’s U.S. Senate race, and incumbent Democratic Senator Claire McCaskill has now crossed the 50% mark for the first time.

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Missouri Likely Voters shows McCaskill with 51% of the vote to Akin’s 45%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This Missouri survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 2, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.  See methodology

October 3, 2012

Missouri Senate: McCaskill (D) 51%, Akin (R) 45%

The deadline has passed for embattled Congressman Todd Akin to withdraw from Missouri’s U.S. Senate race, and incumbent Democratic Senator Claire McCaskill has now crossed the 50% mark for the first time.

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Missouri Likely Voters shows McCaskill with 51% of the vote to Akin’s 45%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Win an iPad: The Rasmussen Challenge! This week's entries will be accepted until 11:59 pm ET tonight.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

This Missouri survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 2, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.  See methodology

October 3, 2012

North Carolina: Romney 51%, Obama 47%

The presidential race in North Carolina is tighter this month, but Mitt Romney still earns over 50% of the vote in the key battleground state.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely North Carolina Voters finds Romney with 51% support to President Obama’s 47%.  One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, while another one percent (1%) is still undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Win an iPad: The Rasmussen Challenge! This week's entries will be accepted until 11:59 pm ET tonight.

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in North Carolina was conducted on October 2, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 3, 2012

53% See Election As Referendum on Obama’s Agenda

Most voters view this year’s election as a referendum on the Obama presidency rather than one on his Republican challenger’s plans for the future. But independent voters don’t believe that as strongly as GOP voters and Democrats do.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 53% of Likely U.S. Voters consider this election as a referendum on President Obama’s agenda. Only 25% regard it as more about Mitt Romney’s agenda, but nearly as many voters (21%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Win an IPad: Take the Rasmussen Challenge. This week's entries will be accepted until 11:59pm ET tonight.

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The national survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on October 1-2, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC . See methodology.

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October 3, 2012

We Fund Dependency By John Stossel

"There are no jobs!" That is what people told me outside a government "jobs center" in New York City.

To check this out, I sent four researchers around the area. They quickly found 40 job openings. Twenty-four were entry-level positions. One restaurant owner told me he would hire 12 people if workers would just apply.

October 3, 2012

Just 17% View Debates as Very Important to How They Will Vote

Voters are attaching less significance to the outcome of tonight’s first presidential debate compared to the kick-off debate four years ago.

Eighty-seven percent (87%) of Likely U.S. Voters say they are likely to watch the presidential debates this year, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey. That includes 65% who are Very Likely to watch, but that’s down nine points from 74% in September 2008.

Still, just 12% say they are not very or Not At All Likely to watch the debates this year. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Win an iPad: The Rasmussen Challenge! This week's entries will be accepted until 11:59pm ET tonight.

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This survey of 1,000 Likely Voters nationwide was conducted on September 29-30, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 2, 2012

56% Say Schools Should Teach Both Sex Ed and Abstinence

When it comes to sex education in schools, the majority agrees that teaching both sex education and abstinence-only education is the best route for students.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that just 17% of American Adults think schools should only teach sex education, while 24% believe they should teach only abstinence education.  Fifty-six percent (56%) think schools should teach both. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This survey of 1,000 American Adults was conducted on September 28-29, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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October 2, 2012

September Employment Index Rebounds Slightly From Recent Low

After falling to a 10-month low in August, the Rasmussen Employment Index rebounded slightly in September. At 76.6, the Employment Index is up five points from a month ago  but still down four points from July. With the exception of the last month, this is the lowest level of confidence measured since October of last year.

Generally speaking, an increase in the Rasmussen Employment Index suggests the upcoming government reports on job creation will be stronger than the prior month’s report.

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The survey of 8,975 working Americans was conducted in September 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 2, 2012

Obama’s Monthly Approval Rating Is Up A Point in September

When tracking President Obama’s job approval on a daily basis, people sometimes get so caught up in the day-to-day fluctuations that they miss the bigger picture. To look at the longer-term trends, Rasmussen Reports compiles the numbers on a full-month basis, and the results can be seen in the graphics below.

For the month of September, the president's Total Job Approval Rating inched up a point to 49% from 48% in August. Since the beginning of 2012, that finding has remained in the narrow range of 47% to 49%.

October 2, 2012

55% See More Negative Political Ads On TV This Year

Most Americans are paying at least some attention to political advertising on TV this year and think it’s more negative than in previous years. But most also are less likely to vote for a candidate who runs a negative ad. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 55% of American Adults who watch television at least occasionally say they pay attention at least somewhat closely to political advertising. This includes 26% who follow the ads Very Closely. Forty-four percent (44%) aren’t following the televised ads, with 13% who don’t watch them at all. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted on September 26-27, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 2, 2012

New Mexico: Obama 51%, Romney 40%

President Obama still has a double-digit lead in New Mexico.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely New Mexico Voters finds the president with 51% support to Mitt Romney’s 40%. Six percent (6%) like another candidate, and two percent (2%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This New Mexico survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on September 27, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.  See methodology

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October 2, 2012

In Politics, Hate Can Backfire By Froma Harrop

Republicans were supposed to have an easy time of it in North Dakota's U.S. Senate race. The multi-term Democrat, Kent Conrad, wasn't running for re-election, and this region is supposed to be Republican in its conservative soul. Thus, according to the script, Republican Rep. Rick Berg should have had this Senate seat in the bag -- as his Democratic foe, Heidi Heitkamp, tried to crawl uphill with a heavy D on her back. Contrary to these expectations, the RealClearPolitics poll average rates this race a "tossup."

October 1, 2012

Generic Congressional Ballot: Republicans 45%, Democrats 41%

Republicans now lead Democrats by four points on the Generic Congressional Ballot for the week ending September 30, 2012.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 45% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Republican in their district’s congressional race if the election were held today, while 41% would choose the Democrat instead.

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The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports from September 24-30, 2012. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage point with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 1, 2012

58% Oppose Schools Giving Morning-After Pills to Students

More than 50 New York City public high schools are now giving out morning-after anti-pregnancy pills to students as young as 14, and most Americans disagree with that decision.

Just 29% of American Adults agree with the public schools' decision to dispense morning-after pills, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey. Fifty-eight percent (58%) disagree, with another 13% who are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This survey of 1,000 American Adults was conducted on September 28-29, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 1, 2012

New Mexico Senate: Heinrich (D) 52%, Wilson (R) 39%

Democratic Congressman Martin Heinrich has extended his lead over former Congresswoman Heather Wilson in New Mexico’s U.S. Senate race. 

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey finds that 52% of Likely New Mexico Voters support Heinrich, while Wilson receives 39% of the vote.  Three percent (3%) prefers some other candidate, and six percent (6%) are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This New Mexico survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on September 27, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.  See methodology

October 1, 2012

49% Think America Weaker Today Than It Was Four Years Ago

Most voters don't rate the United State stronger today than it was four years ago when it comes to race relations, opportunities for women and young people and America’s relationships overseas.

Forty-nine percent (49%) of Likely U.S. Voters, in fact, think America as a nation is weaker now than it was in late 2008. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that just 29% believe the country is stronger today, while 18% consider it about the same. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This survey of 1,000 Likely Voters nationwide was conducted on September 27-28, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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October 1, 2012

The Particulars of Polls By Michael Barone

As a recovering pollster (I worked for Democratic pollster Peter Hart from 1974 to 1981), let me weigh in on the controversy over whether the polls are accurate. Many conservatives are claiming that multiple polls have overly Democratic samples, and some charge that media pollsters are trying to discourage Republican voters.

October 1, 2012

52% Favor Repeal of Health Care Law

Voters remain closely divided over whether President Obama’s health care law will be good or bad for the country, but most still hope the law is repealed.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 52% of Likely U.S. Voters favor repeal, while 42% are opposed. This includes 43% who Strongly Favor repeal of the measure and 33% who Strongly Oppose it. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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Sign up for The Rasmussen Reader, now just $24.95 for a 12-month subscription. Today’s the last day for this discount offer.

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This survey of 1,000 Likely Voters nationwide was conducted on September 29-30, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 30, 2012

23% Believe Today's Children Will Be Better Off Than Their Parents

The good news is that the number of Americans who believe today’s children will be better off than their parents is at its highest level of 2012. The bad news is that three-out-of-four Americans don't agree or aren't sure.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of American Adults shows that 23% believe today’s children will be better off than their parents. Fifty-nine percent (59%) disagree, and 18% are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)    

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The survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted on September 22-23, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 30, 2012

Washington: Obama 52%, Romney 41%

President Obama holds a double-digit advantage over Mitt Romney in Washington State. 

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state shows Obama earning 52% of the vote, while Romney picks up 41% support. Three percent (3%) prefers some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Washington is Likely Obama in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Scoreboard. Obama carried the state over Republican John McCain by a 58% to 41% margin in 2008.

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Sign up for The Rasmussen Reader, now just $24.95 for a 12-month subscription. Offer good through October 1, 2012. 

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This Washington survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on September 26, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.