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November 5, 2012

New Hampshire Governor: Hassan (D) 50%, Lamontagne (R) 45%

Democrat Maggie Hassan has pulled ahead of Republican Ovide Lamontagne on the eve of New Hampshire’s gubernatorial election.  The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely New Hampshire Voters finds Hassan with 50% of the vote to Lamontagne’s 45%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update ? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

This New Hampshire survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted on November 4, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

November 5, 2012

New Hampshire: Obama 50%, Romney 48%

President Obama has a two-point edge over Mitt Romney in New Hampshire just before Election Day. 

The final Election 2012 Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely New Hampshire Voters finds Obama with 50% support to Romney’s 48%.  Two percent (2%) are still undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

This New Hampshire survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted on November 4, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

November 5, 2012

Generic Congressional Ballot: Republicans 46%, Democrats 46%

Republicans and Democrats are tied on the Generic Congressional Ballot for the week ending November 4, 2012.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 46% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Republican in their district’s congressional race if the election were held today, while another 46% would choose the Democrat instead.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook

The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports from October 29-November 4, 2012. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage point with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

November 5, 2012

Ohio Senate: Brown (D) 50%, Mandel (R) 48%

The U.S. Senate race in Ohio remains a near-tie on the eve of Election Day.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters shows Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown earning 50% and his Republican challenger Josh Mandel with 48% support. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and another one percent (1%) is still undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

How are you doing in the Rasmussen Challenge? Check the leaderboard .

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted on November 4, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is  conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

November 5, 2012

Ohio: Romney 49%, Obama 49%

The pivotal presidential state of Ohio remains all tied up on the eve of Election Day.

The final Election 2012 Rasmussen Reports survey of Likely Ohio Voters shows Mitt Romney and President Obama each earning 49% support. One percent (1%) favors some other candidate in the race, and another one percent (1%) is undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

How are you doing in the Rasmussen Challenge? Check the leaderboard.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted on November 4, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is  conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

November 5, 2012

Virginia Senate: Kaine (D) 49%, Allen (R) 47%

Democrat Tim Kaine holds a two-point lead over Republican George Allen in the closing hours of Virginia's U.S. Senate race.

The final Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Virginia Voters before Election Day shows Kaine with 49% of the vote to Allen’s 47%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Virginia was conducted on November 4, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

White letter R on blue background
November 5, 2012

Going Out on a Limb: Romney Beats Obama, Handily By Michael Barone

Fundamentals usually prevail in American elections. That's bad news for Barack Obama. True, Americans want to think well of their presidents, and many think it would be bad if Americans were perceived as rejecting the first black president.

November 5, 2012

Virginia: Romney 50%, Obama 48%

Mitt Romney still earns 50% support in Virginia just before Election Day.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Virginia Voters shows Romney with 50% of the vote to President Obama’s 48%. One percent (1%) likes another candidate, and another one percent (1%) is undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Virginia was conducted on November 4, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

White letter R on blue background
November 4, 2012

30% Say Election Is Causing More Stress In Their Family

One-in-four Americans (27%) say the upcoming election has negatively affected their personal relationship with a friend or family member, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey.

Forty-five percent (45%) say they have gotten into a heated argument with a friend or family member about the election. Most (52%) have not. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Perhaps, not surprisingly, men (53%) are more likely to have gotten in a heated argument than women (39%) are.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted on October 24-25, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

November 4, 2012

Montana: Romney 53%, Obama 43%

Mitt Romney leads President Obama by 10 points in Montana.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Montana Voters shows Romney with 53% of the vote to Obama’s 43%.  One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

This Montana survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 29, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

November 4, 2012

Indiana : Romney 52%, Obama 43%

Mitt Romney continues to hold a comfortable lead in Indiana as the presidential election nears. 

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Hoosier State shows Romney with 52% support to President Obama's 43%.  One percent (1%) likes some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 600 Likely Voters in Indiana was conducted on November 1, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is  conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

November 3, 2012

Rasmussen Employment Index Improves Slightly in October

The Rasmussen Employment Index which measures worker confidence inched up three points in October but remains slightly below the level measured for most of 2012.

At 79.9, the Employment Index has rebounded eight points from August’s 10-month low of 72.0 and is eight points above the level of confidence measured a year ago. Worker confidence is now a point below the level measured in January.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 8,810 working Americans was conducted in October 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

November 3, 2012

Ohio Senate: Brown (D) 48%, Mandel (R) 48%

The U.S. Senate race in Ohio remains a close one.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters shows Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown and his Republican challenger Josh Mandel each earning 48% support. Two percent (2%) like some other candidate, and another two percent (2%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted on November 1, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is  conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

November 3, 2012

What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls - Week Ending November 3, 2012

Too close to call: That’s where we’re at. With eight states, all carried by Barack Obama in 2008, likely to decide the winner.

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll finds President Obama and Mitt Romney tied nationally with 48% support each. 

Our Electoral College Projections show that the president can reasonably assume he has 237 votes locked up to Romney’s 206. The winner needs 270. Eight states, with a total of 95 Electoral College votes, remain toss-ups and will determine whose sworn in as president in January: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio, Virginia and Wisconsin.

November 2, 2012

Michigan: Obama 52%, Romney 47%

President Obama continues to earn over 50% of the vote in Michigan in the final days of the campaign, but his lead over Mitt Romney in the state is down to five points.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Michigan Voters shows Obama with 52% support to Romney's 47%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and another one percent (1%) is undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

This Michigan survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted on November 1, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

November 2, 2012

Indiana Senate: Donnelly (D) 45%, Mourdock (R) 42%

Democratic Congressman Joe Donnelly has a three-point lead over Republican Richard Mourdock in the closing days of Indiana’s U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Indiana Voters shows Donnelly with 45% support to Mourdock’s 42%. A surprisingly large number of voters either prefer another candidate in the race (6%) or remain undecided (6%). (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The Indiana survey of 600 Likely Voters was conducted November 1, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports.  The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.

November 2, 2012

Ohio: Obama 49%, Romney 49%

With four days to go, President Obama and Mitt Romney are tied in the critical battleground state of Ohio.   

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters finds Obama and Romney each with 49% support.  Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, while one percent (1%) is undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted on November 1, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is  conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

November 2, 2012

Montana Senate: Tester (D) 49%, Rehberg (R) 48%

The Montana Senate race remains a near tie as Election Day nears, with incumbent Democrat Jon Tester now ahead by one point.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Montana Voters finds Tester with 49% support to 48% for his Republican challenger, Congressman Denny Rehberg. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate in the race, and another two percent (2%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

This Montana survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 29, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

November 2, 2012

Wisconsin Senate: Thompson (R) 48%, Baldwin (D) 48%

Former Governor Tommy Thompson and Democratic Congresswoman Tammy Baldwin are tied in Wisconsin's U.S. Senate race.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Wisconsin Voters shows Thompson and Baldwin each earning 48%. One percent (1%) likes some other candidate, and two percent (2%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

This Wisconsin survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted on October 29, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

White letter R on blue background
November 2, 2012

An Unpredictable End to a Very Predictable Election By Scott Rasmussen

Election 2012 has had few surprises. So it's somewhat surprising that heading into the final weekend of the election season, we are unable to confidently project who is likely to win the White House.