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August 12, 2013

Generic Congressional Ballot: Republicans 39%, Democrats 39%

Republicans and Democrats run even on the Generic Congressional Ballot for the week ending August 11.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 39% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Republican in their district’s congressional race if the election were held today, while another 39% would choose the Democrat instead. The week before, Republicans led by three -- 41% to 38%, the largest gap between the two parties since mid-April.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook

The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports from August 5-11, 2013. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage point with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

August 12, 2013

81% See Amber Alerts As Effective In Abduction Cases

Most Americans believe Amber Alerts are an effective way to respond to child abduction incidents but also feel cell phone owners should be able to opt out of receiving the alerts.

Eighty-one percent (81%) of American Adults believe that Amber Alerts are at least somewhat effective in abduction cases, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey. But that includes just 27% who say the alerts are Very Effective. Only 12%, however, feel Amber Alerts are not very or Not At All Effective. (To see survey question wording, click here.) 

Win an iPad: A new Rasmussen Challenge starts tomorrow

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.  

The survey of 1,000 American Adults was conducted on August 8-9, 2013 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

August 12, 2013

Just 11% Think NSA Less Likely Now to Monitor Phone Calls of Innocent Americans

President Obama in a press conference on Friday announced tighter restrictions on the National Security Agency’s domestic surveillance program, but most voters still don’t trust the government to protect their constitutional rights. Very few expect the program to cut back on monitoring the phone calls of innocent Americans. 

Despite the president’s pronouncement of greater “transparency,” only 11% of Likely U.S. Voters think it is now less likely that the federal government will monitor the private phone calls of ordinary Americans. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 30% believe it is more likely now that the government will monitor these calls, while 49% expect the level of surveillance to remain about the same. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Win an iPad: A new Rasmussen Challenge starts tomorrow!

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on August 9-10, 2013 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

August 12, 2013

53% Have Felt No Impact from Health Care Law

Most voters still have an unfavorable opinion of President Obama’s national health care law but acknowledge that it has had no impact on them.

Forty-one percent (41%) of Likely U.S. Voters share an at least somewhat favorable view of the health care law, while 53% view it unfavorably, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey. This includes 15% with a Very Favorable opinion of the law and 42% with a Very Unfavorable one. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on August 9-10, 2013 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

August 12, 2013

53% Think Health Care Law Will Increase Deficit

Most voters continue to have an unfavorable opinion of the health care law, and believe it will increase the nation’s deficit and drive up health care costs. 

Forty-one percent (41%) of Likely Voters have at least a somewhat favorable impression of the health care law, while 54% view it unfavorable, according to a new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey.  This includes 20% with a Very Favorable opinion of the law and 39% with a Very Unfavorable one.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on August 17-18, 2013 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

August 11, 2013

31% Think Internet Has Had Bad Influence on U.S. Politics

Americans are becoming even less enthused about the Internet’s influence on American culture, politics and journalism.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that just 31% now say the Internet’s impact on American culture overall has been good for the country, down from 37% in April.  Twenty-nine percent (29%) think the Internet’s impact on American culture has been bad for the nation, while 30% say neither. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

How did you do in this week’s Rasmussen Challenge?   Check the leaderboard.

 (Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter orFacebook.

The national survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted on August 6-7, 2013 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology. 

August 10, 2013

24% Think Americans Selfish For Putting Economy Ahead of Global Warming

Voters remain concerned about global warming, but they still express more urgency about the economy and don’t feel selfish for doing so.

When given a choice, 67% of Likely U.S. Voters say creating jobs is more important than taking steps to stop global warming, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey. Twenty-four percent (24%) say taking action on global warming is more important. (To see survey question wording, click here.) 

How did you do in the Rasmussen Challenge? Check the leaderboard

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on August 5-6, 2013 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

August 10, 2013

What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls - Week Ending August 9, 2013

Who’ll be the next in line?

Hillary Clinton is the overwhelming favorite among Democratic voters for their party’s presidential nomination in 2016. New Jersey Governor Chris Christie holds a narrow lead among Republicans for the 2016 GOP nomination. 

But not so fast. Clinton was also the clear favorite in August 2005, three years before the 2008 Democratic National Convention. She subsequently lost in the primaries to Illinois Senator Barack Obama. Meanwhile, GOP voters who say Christie is the candidate they least want to see nominated outnumber those who support him by 10 percentage points.

History has shown us time and again that 2016 is not likely to end up as a matchup of the current front-runners, Clinton and Christie, Scott Rasmussen says in his latest weekly newspaper column. 

August 9, 2013

35% Think Global Warming Is A Very Serious Problem

Most voters remain at least somewhat concerned about global warming, but they still have mixed opinions about what causes it. Most think scientists don't agree on the cause either.  

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 63% of Likely Voters believe global warming is at least a somewhat serious problem.  Thirty-four percent (34%) don’t agree.  This includes 35% who think global warming is a Very Serious issue and 11% who say it's Not At All Serious.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on August 5-6, 2013 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

August 9, 2013

24% Buy Print Copy of Their Local Paper Daily or Nearly Every Day

The news media was abuzz this week when it was announced that the longtime owners of The Washington Post had sold the newspaper to Amazon founder Jeff Bezos, a move seen by many as a no-confidence vote in the newspaper business. Fewer Americans than ever prefer reading a print newspaper to an online version, but there's also less confidence that online and other news sources can fill the void left by vanishing traditional papers.

Fifty-eight percent (58%) of Americans, when given the choice, prefer to read a printed version of a newspaper over the online version, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey. Twenty-nine percent (29%) prefer the online versions of papers, while 12% more are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

How did you do in the Rasmussen Challenge? Check the leaderboard.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The national survey of 1,000 Adults nationwide was conducted August 6-7, 2013 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

August 9, 2013

36% Think A New U.S.-Russia Cold War Likely in Next Few Years

Following President Obama’s decision to snub Russian President Vladimir Putin during an upcoming trip to Europe, U.S. voters’ views of Putin have worsened, but most think it’s unlikely the United States and Russia will reenter a Cold War period.

A plurality (49%) of Likely U.S. Voters, however, agrees that Russia’s decision to grant temporary asylum to National Security Agency leaker Edward Snowden is bad for U.S.-Russian relations. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that just four percent (4%) view granting asylum to Snowden as good for the relationship, while 31% believe it will have no impact. Fifteen percent (15%) are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

How did you do in this week’s Rasmussen Challenge? Check the leaderboard.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on August 7-8, 2013 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

White letter R on blue background
August 9, 2013

GOP of Two Minds, at Least, on Immigration By Froma Harrop

On immigration, the Republican Party is trapped in two trains of thought, each speeding along the wrong track. At the tea party end, there's absolute resistance to normalizing the status of illegal immigrants. On the cheap-labor side, there's this big push to admit as many unskilled immigrants as possible.

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August 9, 2013

Cheating Is Rife in Colleges -- by Admissions Officers By Michael Barone

What is the most intellectually dishonest profession around? My nomination: the admissions officers at highly selective colleges and universities.

August 9, 2013

2016 Will Not Feature Christie vs. Clinton By Scott Rasmussen

One of the sure signs that political activists have too much time on their hands is all the chatter about who will win the 2016 presidential nominations.

August 8, 2013

Molina, Cabrera Early Favorites For 2013 MLB MVP Awards

There’s still plenty of baseball left in the 2013 season, but fans already have an idea of which players are heading toward one of the league’s biggest annual awards.

Detroit Tigers slugger and last year’s winner Miguel Cabrera is well ahead of the pack of American League contenders with 39% of Major League Baseball fans who say he’s been the most valuable player this season. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that Baltimore’s Chris Davis, who is currently sitting on 40 homeruns, is in a distant second with 19% of the vote. Eight percent (8%) of fans think veteran David Ortiz of the Boston Red Sox has been this year’s MVP, while nearly as many (7%) say the same of Los Angeles Angels outfielder Mike Trout.

Ten percent (10%) think someone not named in the survey is the current MVP, while 12% more are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The field for the National League MVP is a little tighter and features two catchers in the top three. Veteran catcher Yadier Molina of the St. Louis Cardinals comes in first with 20% of the vote for MVP, while 13% prefer Colorado Rockies outfielder Carlos Gonzalez. San Francisco Giants catcher and last year’s MVP Buster Posey comes in at 10% while New York Mets pitching sensation Matt Harvey draws seven percent (7%) of the vote. Six percent (6%) believe Cincinnati Reds slugger Joey Votto has been the league’s MVP so far this season. One in five fans (19%) thinks someone else not named in the survey should win, while just as many are undecided.

Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright and Arizona Diamondbacks first baseman Paul Goldschmidt each receive less than five percent (5%) support.

How did you do in this week’s Rasmussen Challenge?  Check the leaderboard.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The national survey of 745 baseball fans was conducted on July 17-18, 2013 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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August 8, 2013

To Repair The Damage Done in NSA Blowup, Start With Clapper By Joe Conason

With the conviction of Bradley Manning and asylum granted to Edward Snowden in Russia, it may be time to turn attention away from the controversy over their actions and toward the government -- specifically, the intelligence community. Whatever ultimate judgment is leveled on Manning's or Snowden's actions, they have raised real questions about the ways that the United States gathers, uses and classifies information.

August 8, 2013

25% Think Mass Transit in U.S. Not As Safe as 10 Years Ago

Most Americans think mass transit in the United States is safe, but one-in-four think it's less safe than it was a decade ago.   

Seventy-four percent (74%) of American Adults say, generally speaking, mass transit services in the United States are at least somewhat safe, but only 23% think they are Very Safe.  A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey finds that 16% think public transportation is not very or Not At All Safe.  (To see survey question wording, click here.) 

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.  

The survey of 1,000 American Adults was conducted on August 2-3, 2013 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

August 8, 2013

62% Would Feel Safer If Their Child Attended A School With An Armed Guard

Arkansas’ state attorney general last week limited the ability of local school districts to have armed guards. But most Americans with school-age children continue to say they would feel safer if their child attended a school with an armed guard and think the decision to put armed guards in the schools should be made by local government officials.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 62% of Americans with children of elementary or secondary school age would feel safer if their child attended a school with an armed security guard. Just 24% say they would feel safer if their child went to a school where no adults were allowed to own a gun. Fifteen percent (15%) are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 American Adults nationwide was conducted on August 4-5, 2013 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

August 8, 2013

60% Think Muslims Are Not Treated Unfairly in America

Many Americans are suspicious of Muslims in this country, but most continue to believe that American Muslims are not treated unfairly here.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that just 19% of Likely U.S. Voters think American Muslims living in this country are treated unfairly because of their religion and ethnicity. Sixty percent (60%) disagree and say Muslims in the United States are not treated unfairly. Twenty-one percent (21%) are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

How did you do in this week’s Rasmussen Challenge? Check the leaderboard.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on August 5-6, 2013 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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August 8, 2013

Killing Giggles By John Stossel

Global average temperature has been flat for a decade. But frightening myths about global warming continue.

We're told there are more hurricanes now. We're told that hurricanes are stronger. But the National Hurricane Center says it isn't so. 

Meteorologist Maria Molina told me it's not surprising that climatologists assumed hurricanes would get worse. "Hurricanes need warm ocean waters," but it turns out that "hurricanes are a lot more complicated than just warm ocean waters."