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January 28, 2014

66% Pick Denver Broncos to Win Super Bowl XLVIII

With less than a week to go before the Denver Broncos and Seattle Seahawks battle it out in the frigid temperatures of New Jersey, Super Bowl viewers already have a clear favorite.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 66% of American Adults who plan to watch the Super Bowl believe the Broncos are the team most likely to win this year. Twenty-three percent (23%) think Seattle will emerge victorious. Eleven percent (11%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 595 Adults Who Will Watch the Super Bowl was conducted on January 22-23, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

January 27, 2014

Generic Congressional Ballot: Democrats 42%, Republicans 37%

Democrats hold a five-point lead over Republicans on the latest Generic Congressional Ballot.
 
 A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey for the week ending January 26 finds that 42% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Democrat in their district's congressional race if the election were held today. Thirty-seven percent (37%) would choose the Republican instead. Democrats led by six points the previous week, 41% to 35%: That was the GOP's lowest level of support in a year. The Democrats have now led for four weeks in a row.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook

The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports from January 20-26, 2014. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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January 27, 2014

59% Say Less Government, Not More, Would Help Close Income Gap

President Obama is expected to map out his agenda for reducing income inequality in his State of the Union speech tomorrow night. Most voters agree that income inequality is a serious problem in America today but don’t think government action is the best solution.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 69% of Likely U.S. Voters consider income inequality at least a somewhat serious problem in the United States today. That includes 45% who consider it a Very Serious problem. Twenty-eight percent (28%) don’t think income inequality is a serious problem, with 10% who say it’s Not At All Serious. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The surveys of 1,000 Likely Voters each were conducted on January 23-24, 2014 and January 11-12, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

January 27, 2014

North Carolina Senate: Tillis (R) 47%, Hagan (D) 40%

Incumbent Democrat Kay Hagan trails her two leading Republican challengers in Rasmussen Reports’ first look at the 2014 U.S. Senate race in North Carolina.

A new statewide survey of Likely North Carolina Voters shows Thom Tillis, the Republican speaker of the state House of Representatives, leading Hagan by seven points - 47% to 40%. Three percent (3%) like some other candidate, and 10% are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in North Carolina was conducted on January 22-23, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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January 27, 2014

To Roger Stone, Bridgegate 'Cover-up' Is Another Watergate -- And He Would Know - By Joe Conason

Very few Republican operatives knew the Nixon gang as intimately as Roger Stone, the legendary trickster whose back is adorned with an enormous Tricky Dick tattoo. And very few know New Jersey politics as well as Stone, who toiled among the party faithful in many campaigns since 1980, when he first ran the Garden State for Ronald Reagan.   

January 27, 2014

32% Say Health Insurance Changed Because of Obamacare

Nearly one-out-of-three voters now say their health insurance coverage has changed because of the new health care law, and most continue to view the law unfavorably.

Forty-three percent (43%) of Likely U.S. Voters have at least a somewhat favorable opinion of the health care law, while 52% regard it unfavorably, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey. This includes 18% who view the law Very Favorably and 38% who have a Very Unfavorable opinion of it. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on January 25-26, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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January 26, 2014

21% Think Federal Government Has Consent of the Governed

Just 21% of Likely U.S. Voters believe the federal government today has the consent of the governed, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey.

That's up four points from the all-time low of 17% last reached in August but is generally in keeping with regular surveying for the past four years. Sixty-three percent (63%) do not believe the federal government has the consent of the governed today, Sixteen percent (16%) are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on January 21-22, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology

January 25, 2014

What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls - Week Ending January 25, 2014

Voters are increasingly pessimistic about the War on Terror even as they continue to question the National Security Agency’s spying efforts to fight it.

January 24, 2014

41% Think School Performance Would Not Improve With More Funding

Voters continue to agree that taxpayers are not getting a good return on their investment in education and are not inclined to think spending more will make any difference. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that just eight percent (8%) of Likely Voters are aware the United States on average spends about $11,000 on education per student per year. Forty-five percent (45%) believe the country spends less than that amount, including 36% who believe it spends $7,000 or less. Another nine percent (9%) believe the country spends more than $13,000 per student per year. A sizable 38%, however, say they're not sure how much the nation spends on the average student. (To see survey question wording, click here).

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The national survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on January 15-16, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

January 24, 2014

51% Approve of Governor McAuliffe’s Performance in Virginia

Just over half of Virginia voters like the job Terry McAuliffe is doing so far, and the new Democratic governor is viewed slightly more favorably now than he was right before Election Day.

A new Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey finds that 51% of Likely Virginia Voters at least somewhat approve of McAuliffe’s job performance, with 24% who Strongly Approve. Thirty-six percent (36%) disapprove of how the governor is performing, including 18% who Strongly Disapprove. Fourteen percent (14%) are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a  free daily e-mail update ? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).   Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters in Virginia was conducted on January 20-21, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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January 24, 2014

Abortion Defines the Political Parties, 41 Years After Roe V. Wade By Michael Barone

It is 41 years since the Supreme Court handed down the Roe v. Wade decision, effectively legalizing abortion everywhere in the United States. Ever since, it has been a source of controversy -- and confusion.

January 24, 2014

30% Less Likely to Use Postal Service Because of Stamp Price Hike

The price of a first-class postage stamp will rise from 46 cents to 49 cents on Sunday to help the U.S. Postal Service fight its continuing budget losses, but a sizable number of Americans say the price hike is likely to reduce their use of the post office.

Forty-three percent (43%) of American Adults believe the cost of postal stamps is too high, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey. Just as many (44%) think the price of stamps is about right, while seven percent (7%) say it is too low. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The national survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted on January 20-21, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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January 24, 2014

Marriage Matters, in France and in Texas by Froma Harrop

There is a difference between being married and not being married. That difference has come into sharp focus in the romantic life of French President Francois Hollande, a sort of Socialist Sun King around whom women revolve. All of his female companions are reputedly strong, but none seems strong enough to tell him to scram.

January 24, 2014

24% Say Their Home is Worth Less Than When They Bought It

Most homeowners continue to believe their home is worth more now than when they bought it, but slightly more are now saying their home’s value has gone down.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 58% of American Homeowners believe their home is worth more today. That's down just one point from November and consistent with regular surveying for the past year. But one-in-four (24%) now say their home is worth less than when they purchased it, a five-point increase from November and the highest level of pessimism since June. Sixteen percent (16%) think their home's value hasn't changed much, down from 20% in the previous survey. (To see survey question wording, click here).

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 670 Adult Homeowners was conducted on January 16-17, 2013 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology

January 23, 2014

50% Still Expect Higher Interest Rates A Year From Now

Most Americans continue to say the interest rates they're paying haven't changed over the past year, but half expect those rates to rise over the coming year.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 62% of American Adults report paying about the same interest rates as they were a year ago. Twenty percent (20%) say they are paying higher interest rates now, up from 17% in November. Ten percent (10%) are paying lower interest rates than they were this time last year: That's down five points from two months ago and the lowest number who report paying less since April 2011. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 American Adults was conducted on January 14-15, 2013 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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January 23, 2014

24% Think Iran Should Be Part of Syria Peace Talks

U.S. voters aren’t very optimistic about the U.N.-sponsored peace talks begun this week between the government and opposition forces in Syria, but one-in-four think Iran should be part of the process.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that only 28% of Likely U.S. Voters think it is even somewhat likely that the negotiations between the Syrian government and the anti-government opposition will lead to a peaceful political transition in their country. Fifty-six percent (56%) consider a peaceful outcome unlikely. This includes eight percent (8%) who believe peaceful transition is Very Likely and 20% who say it is Not At All Likely. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update ? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on January 21-22, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

January 23, 2014

Virginia Senate: Warner (D) 51%, Gillespie (R) 37%

Incumbent Democrat Mark Warner holds a 14-point lead over Republican challenger Ed Gillespie in Rasmussen Reports’ first look at the likely 2014 U.S. Senate race in Virginia.

A new statewide telephone survey of Likely Virginia Voters finds that Warner earns 51% support to Gillespie’s 37%. Two percent (2%) like some other candidate in the race, while nine percent (9%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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January 23, 2014

Chill Out By John Stossel

The Hill, the newspaper that covers Congress, says this year, there will be a major policy battle over "climate change." Why?

January 23, 2014

34% Favor Legal Online Gambling In Their State

New Jersey legalized online gambling late last year, and eight other states have pending legislation to do the same. But opposition to Internet gambling is growing, and half of Americans don’t want it in their state.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 36% of American Adults think individuals should be allowed to gamble on the Internet. Forty-seven percent (47%) disagree and oppose Internet gambling. Seventeen percent (17%) are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The national survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted on January 20-21, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

January 22, 2014

30% Say U.S. Heading in Right Direction

Thirty percent (30%) of Likely U.S. Voters think the country is heading in the right direction, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey for the week ending January 19.

That's up one point from 29% the week before. A year ago, 35% said the country was heading in the right direction.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on January 13-19, 2014. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology