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May 15, 2014

Notes on the State of Politics By Kyle Kondik

It’s become clear over the past few months that Sen. Mark Pryor (D-AR), despite the increasing Republican lean of his state, has been holding his own, or better, against Rep. Tom Cotton (R, AR-4). Several positive polls for the incumbent, including a too-optimistic 11-point lead from NBC/Marist earlier this week, moved the HuffPost Pollster average in the race to 45.2% Pryor, 42.7% Cotton.

May 14, 2014

29% Say U.S. is Heading in Right Direction

Twenty-nine (29%) of Likely U.S. Voters think the country is heading in the right direction, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey for the week ending May 10.

This is up two points from 27% the week before, the lowest level of optimism since early December. The number who say the country is heading in the right direction had been in the narrow range of 28% to 30% for 17 out of the 21 weeks since then.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
  
 The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on May 5-May 10, 2014. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

May 14, 2014

62% Look Forward to Going to Work

The number of employed Americans who put in more than 40 hours a week on the job has increased since a year ago, but most still say they look forward to going to work each day.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that just 28% of Working Americans say they work a 40-hour week. Thirty-eight percent (38%) work more than that, with 10% who work more than 50 hours a week.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update ? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 612 Working Americans was conducted on May 12-13, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

May 14, 2014

24% Support Warrantless Mobile Phone Searches By Police

The U.S. Supreme Court recently heard oral arguments on whether police must obtain a warrant to search data on the cell phone of a person under arrest. Most Americans oppose warrantless searches of mobile phones, and those who use their phone for financial transactions are even more firmly opposed. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that just 24% of American Adults believe that if police arrest someone for any offense, they should be allowed to search that individual’s mobile phone without a warrant. Sixty-seven percent (67%) disagree and don’t think police should be allowed to conduct a warrantless search of a suspect's phone. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.)

The survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted on May 8-9, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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May 14, 2014

Marriage: It's Complicated By John Stossel

It's wedding season! More Americans get married in June than in other months. Why June? The timing seems pretty arbitrary if you look up its history.

May 14, 2014

Only 28% Think Most College Graduates Have Enough Skills to Get A Job

Most Americans think the main reason for going to college is to improve one's job skills but don't think most graduates leave college with the skills to get a job. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 56% of American Adults think the primary purpose of attending college is to learn the skills needed to get a better job, down slightly from April of last year. Thirty-three percent (33%) don't see that as the main purpose of a college education. Eleven percent (11%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here).

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The national survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted on May 11, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

May 13, 2014

59% Favor Strict Sanctions on Those Who Employ Illegal Immigrants

While official Washington, D.C. debates the need for immigration reform, most voters continue to believe as they have for years that gaining control of the border is the most pressing need. They also remain strongly supportive of punishing those who hire illegal immigrants.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 58% of Likely U.S. Voters believe gaining control of the border is more important than legalizing the status of undocumented workers already living in this country. Thirty-four percent (34%) consider legalizing the status of existing illegal immigrants more important. (To see question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook. )

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on May 7-8, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

May 13, 2014

40% Think U.S. Should Do More to Rescue Nigerian Schoolgirls

The plight of the Nigerian schoolgirls kidnapped by Islamic terrorists has captured the attention of the American public, with voters much more supportive of helping rescue the girls than they are of further U.S. involvement in Ukraine or Syria.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 40% of Likely U.S. Voters think the U.S. government should do more to help rescue the nearly 300 schoolgirls kidnapped by the Islamic terror group Boko Haram in Nigeria. Twenty-seven percent (27%) oppose further U.S. involvement, while 33% are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on May 12, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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May 13, 2014

Monica Lewinsky, Grace in Humiliation By Froma Harrop

How refreshing to hear Monica Lewinsky recount the depth of her shame. When it was revealed in 1998 that she had provided then-President Clinton with oral sex, Lewinsky now writes in Vanity Fair, she "was arguably the most humiliated person in the world."

May 13, 2014

Support for Transgender Anti-Discrimination Laws Turns on Public Restroom Question

Americans generally favor laws like those recently passed in California and Maryland that ban discrimination against men and women who claim to be the opposite sex, but opposition increases dramatically when they are told these laws may allow biological men to freely use women's public bathrooms and vice versa. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 46% of American Adults favor a law that bans discrimination based on gender identity when it comes to employment, housing and public accommodations in their state. Thirty-four percent (34%) oppose such a law, but another 21% are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The national survey of 1,000 Adults nationwide was conducted May 11, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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May 13, 2014

Demographics May Be Destiny -- But Not One Political Direction by Michael Barone

Demography is destiny, we are often told, and rightly -- up to a point. The American electorate is made up of multiple identifiable segments, defined in various ways, by race and ethnicity, by age cohort, by region and religiosity (or lack thereof), by economic status and interest.

Over time, some segments become larger and some smaller. Some prove to be politically crucial, given the political alignments of the time. Others become irrelevant as they lose cohesion and identity.

Michael Barone, senior political analyst at the Washington Examiner, (www.washingtonexaminer.com), where this article first appeared, is a resident fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, a Fox News Channel contributor and a co-author of The Almanac of American Politics. To find out more about Michael Barone, and read features by other Creators writers and cartoonists, visit the Creators Syndicate Web page at www.creators.com.

COPYRIGHT 2014 THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER

DISTRIBUTED BY CREATORS.COM

May 13, 2014

51% Favor Raising Minimum Wage to $10.10 an Hour

Support for raising the minimum wage remains unchanged from earlier this year, with half of Americans continuing to favor President Obama's proposal to push it up to $10.10 an hour.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 51% of American Adults favor raising the federal minimum wage from $7.25 to $10.10. That’s essentially unchanged from late February but down from a high of 61% in July of last year. Thirty-nine percent (39%) still oppose raising the minimum wage to that level, also unchanged from February but up from 29% last summer. Nine percent (9%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 American Adults was conducted on May 6-7, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

May 12, 2014

Generic Congressional Ballot: Democrats 40%, Republicans 38%

Democrats lead Republicans by two points on the Generic Congressional Ballot for the week ending Sunday, May 11.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 40% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Democrat in their district’s congressional race if the election were held today, while 38% would choose the Republican instead.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook

The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports from May 5--May 11, 2014. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

May 12, 2014

Ohio Governor: Kasich (R) 45%, FitzGerald (D) 38%

Republican Governor John Kasich holds a seven-point lead over Democratic challenger Ed FitzGerald in Ohio’s 2014 gubernatorial contest.

A new Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters finds Kasich with 45% support to FitzGerald’s 38%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate in the race, and 13% are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

May 12, 2014

57% Favor Further Investigation of the IRS

Half of voters still believe the IRS broke the law when it targeted Tea Party and other conservative groups, and even more think the matter needs to be looked into further.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 57% of Likely U.S. Voters think the Obama administration’s handling of the IRS matter merits further investigation. Just half as many (28%) say the case should be closed. Fifteen percent (15%) are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on May 9-10, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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May 12, 2014

Bad Old Days: How Monica Lewinsky Deserves to Be Remembered By Joe Conason

Monica Lewinsky must be satisfied to learn that with a few stylish photographs and a few innocuous paragraphs, she can still discombobulate Maureen Dowd, Lynne Cheney and a swarm of demented figures in American politics and media. Few could resist the chance to reminisce about the tapes, the blue dress, the cigars, the salacious Starr Report and the drama of impeachment.

May 12, 2014

New High: 36% Expect Health Care System to Get Better Under Obamacare

Voters still give the U.S. health care system mixed reviews, but slightly more voters now think the system will improve under the new national health care law. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 33% of Likely Voters rate the current health care system as good or excellent. Thirty-one percent (31%) describe the system as poor. (To see survey question wording, click here).

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on April 19-20, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

May 11, 2014

93% Will Visit or Call Mom Today

Most mothers should expect a visit or phone call today, even though Mother’s Day has slipped in importance in recent years.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 93% of American Adults whose mothers are still alive will either visit or call them for Mother’s Day. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted on April 28-29, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

May 10, 2014

What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls - Week Ending May 10

“Put your money where your mouth is,” as the old saying goes. But Americans seem reluctant to open their wallets to fund some of the big projects they profess to believe in.

May 9, 2014

Most Still Think Government Workers Better Off Than Those in Private Sector

Americans still believe government workers not only earn more money than those in the private sector but also work less and have more job security. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 51% of American Adults think the average government employee earns more annually than the average private sector worker. Half as many (26%) disagree, but 23% are not sure. (To see survey questions, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted on April 30-May 1, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.