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September 30, 2014

Illinois Governor: Quinn (D) 44%, Rauner (R) 42%

Incumbent Democrat Pat Quinn has edged ahead for the first time this year in Illinois’ gubernatorial race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Illinois Voters finds Quinn with 44% support to Republican challenger Bruce Rauner’s 42%. Six percent (6%) like some other candidate, and eight percent (8%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Illinois was conducted on September 24-25, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 30, 2014

Arkansas Governor: Hutchinson (R) 46%, Ross (D) 42%

Republican Asa Hutchinson has pulled slightly ahead of Democrat Mike Ross in the race for Arkansas’ next governor.

Hutchinson now picks up 46% of the vote to Ross’ 42% in the latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Arkansas Voters. Four percent (4%) like another candidate in the race, and eight percent (8%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Arkansas was conducted on September 24-25, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 30, 2014

Rasmussen Employment Index Slips A Point in September

The Rasmussen Employment Index which measures worker confidence fell slightly in September after reaching an all-time high in August.

At 100.3, worker confidence is down one point from 101.2 last month, the highest finding in six years of regular tracking. The index fell to a recent low of 81.2 last October but gained steadily after that. It stood at 82 in September of last year.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 9,284 working Americans was conducted in September 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

White letter R on blue background
September 30, 2014

Democrats Should Be Nicer to the South by Froma Harrop

MOBILE, Ala. -- It's been noticed by just about everyone except what we call the "liberal establishment" that of the eight Senate seats now up for grabs, four are in the South -- Arkansas, Kentucky, Louisiana and North Carolina. H. Brandt (Brandy) Ayers, the publisher of The Anniston Star in Alabama, has certainly noticed the neglect. And boy, is he frustrated.

Ayers is both a staunch liberal and Southern to the core. If the Democratic Party wants to establish a healthy dialogue in the Southern states, he told me, it has to first say, "We like you." Liberals can't just sigh at the troublesome region's sharp move right and say, "That's a Southern thing."

September 30, 2014

47% Think Holder More Interested in Politics Than in Justice

Voters think Eric Holder played politics as U.S. attorney general and hope President Obama picks someone who’s not like him to be the nation’s next top law enforcement officer. But those who view the Constitution as “a living document” are much more appreciative of his efforts than those who favor a strict interpretation of that document.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 47% of Likely U.S. Voters believe Holder was more interested in politics than in administering justice in a fair way. Just 28% disagree and think fair administration of justice was Holder’s chief interest. Nearly as many (25%) aren’t sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on September 27-28, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

White letter R on blue background
September 30, 2014

Obama Stands Aloof From America's Four Foreign Policy Traditions By Michael Barone

President Obama's speech at the United Nations last week was "an important turning point in American foreign policy -- and in his presidency." That's the verdict of Brookings Institution scholar and former Clinton White House aide William Galston, a Democrat who has not been an unqualified admirer of this Democratic president's foreign policy.

Whether Obama's decision to launch air strikes against the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria and Khorasan terrorists is a turning point, it was at least a move in the direction of a tradition in American foreign policy that has been conspicuously lacking in his administration.

September 30, 2014

Will “Yes Means Yes” Mean Fewer Sexual Assaults on College Campuses?

President Obama has pledged to combat the rising number of sexual assaults at colleges and universities, and California this week became the first state to pass a “yes means yes” bill which requires affirmative consent before sexual activity on state-funded campuses. But Americans aren’t sure new codes of sexual conduct will reduce the assault problem and question whether it's something the federal government should be involved in.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 71% of American Adults consider sexual violence at colleges and universities at least a somewhat serious problem, with 32% who think its Very Serious. Fourteen percent (14%) don’t consider sexual violence on college campuses a serious problem, but that includes just two percent (2%) who say it’s Not At All Serious. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Facebook.  

The national survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted on September 24-25, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 29, 2014

Illinois Senate: Durbin (D) 51%, Oberweis (R) 37%

The Illinois U.S. Senate seat up for grabs this fall is showing no signs of slipping away from Democrat Dick Durbin.

Illinois remains Safe Democrat in the Rasmussen Reports 2014 Senate Balance of Power rankings. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Illinois was conducted on September 24-25, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 29, 2014

Generic Congressional Ballot: Democrats 40%, Republicans 39%

Democrats have taken a one-point lead on the latest Generic Congressional Ballot.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey for the week ending September 28 finds that 40% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Democrat in their district’s congressional race if the election were held today, while 39% would choose the Republican.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook

The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports from September 22-28, 2014. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 29, 2014

Alaska Governor: Walker (I) 47%, Parnell (R) 42%

The Alaska governor’s race has a revised cast of characters and a new front-runner.

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Alaska Voters finds Independent candidate Bill Walker with a 47% to 42% lead over incumbent Republican Governor Sean Parnell. Five percent (5%) like some other candidate in the race, and six percent (6%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)\

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 713 Likely Voters in Alaska was conducted on September 23-24, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 29, 2014

Voters Favor More Action Against ISIS, but How Will Muslims Feel?

Voters are on board with President Obama's decision to step up action against the radical Islamic group ISIS in the Middle East and think involvement by Muslim nations increase the mission’s chances of success. But voters are less confident how this latest offensive will impact relations between the United States and the Muslim world.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 65% of Likely Voters agree with the president’s decision to increase the use of U.S. military force in the Middle East. Nineteen percent (19%) disagree, while 16% are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely U.S. Voters was conducted on September 25-26, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 29, 2014

Voters Still Vote ‘No’ on Obamacare

Views of Obamacare hold steady again this week, with over half of voters continuing to express an unfavorable opinion of the national health care law and overwhelming majorities still calling for choices in health insurance that the law doesn’t allow.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 42% of Likely U.S. Voters share a favorable view of the health care law, while 52% view it unfavorably. This includes 19% with a Very Favorable opinion and twice as many (37%) with a Very Unfavorable one. (To see survey question wording, click here)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on September 27-28, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 28, 2014

New Mexico Senate: Udall (D) 52%, Weh (R) 39%

The U.S. Senate race in New Mexico is a bit tighter than it was this summer, but Democratic incumbent Tom Udall still leads his Republican challenger by double digits.

In our first look at the race in late July, Udall held a 54% to 33% lead.

New Mexico is still rated Safe Democrat in the Rasmussen Reports 2014 Senate Balance of Power rankings. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 830 Likely Voters in New Mexico was conducted on September 22-23, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 28, 2014

Rhode Island Senate: Reed (D) 61%, Zaccaria (R) 26%

Democratic Senator Jack Reed has a better than two-to-one lead in his bid for a fourth term in Rhode Island.

Rhode Island is ranked Safe Democrat in the Rasmussen Reports 2014 Senate Balance of Power rankings. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Rhode Island was conducted on September 23-25, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 27, 2014

Rhode Island Governor: Raimondo (D) 42%, Fung (R) 37%

Democratic State Treasurer Gina Raimondo is running slightly ahead of Republican Allan Fung in the race to be Rhode Island’s next governor.

Raimondo picks up 42% support to Fung’s 37% in Rasmussen Reports’ first statewide telephone survey of Likely Rhode Island Voters. Eleven percent (11%) prefer some other candidate in the race, while another 11% are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Rhode Island was conducted on September 23-25, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 27, 2014

What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls: Week Ending September 27

What if they gave an election and nobody came? Voters are pretty fed up with the cast of characters now on the national political stage. 

September 26, 2014

New Mexico Governor: Martinez (R) 50%, King (D) 37%

Incumbent Republican Susana Martinez is back on track to be reelected governor of New Mexico.

New Mexico moves from a Toss-Up to Safe Republican on the Rasmussen Reports 2014 Gubernatorial Scorecard. Martinez, a former district attorney, was first elected governor in 2010 with 53% of the vote. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 830 Likely Voters in New Mexico was conducted on September 22-23, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 26, 2014

29% Owe More Money Than Last Year

Roughly a third of adults say they owe more money than a year ago, although only one-in-five say their interest rates have gone up in that same time.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 29% of American Adults now owe more money than they did a year ago, up three points from a month ago, but generally in line with earlier surveys. Thirty-three percent (33%) owe less than a year ago, while another 35% owe about the same amount. (To see survey questions wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 American Adults was conducted on September 18-19, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 26, 2014

Arkansas Senate: Cotton (R) 47%, Pryor (D) 40%

Republican challenger Tom Cotton has pulled to his largest lead yet over Democratic incumbent Mark Pryor in Arkansas’ race for U.S. Senate.

Cotton now picks up 47% of the vote to Pryor’s 40% in the latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Arkansas Voters. Five percent (5%) like some other candidate in the race, while eight percent (8%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Arkansas was conducted on September 24-25, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

September 26, 2014

Americans Have Their Doubts About College Campus Safety

Americans continue to question whether colleges and universities do enough to protect their students, particularly when it comes to underage drinking.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that just 40% of American Adults believe colleges and universities do enough to provide for the safety of their students. Just as many (39%) say they do not do enough, with 21% more who are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available onFacebook.  

The national survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted on September 24-25, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.