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March 24, 2015

Gentry Liberals Have Increasing Clout in Chicago's Shrinking Electorate By Michael Barone

Rahm Emanuel heads into a runoff April 7 in his bid for a second term as mayor of Chicago. He's the favorite going in, having won 46 percent in the Feb. 24 first round against longtime local officeholder Chuy Garcia's 34 percent and topping 50 percent in recent polls.

Emanuel, President Obama's first White House chief of staff and architect of the Democrats' 2006 takeover of the House, is politically astute, energetic and profane. Given all that, it's surprising that his support is down from the 55 percent he won in the first round in February 2011.

March 24, 2015

Voters Put More Emphasis on Western Values in Schools

Voters still think U.S. public schools fall short when it comes to providing a world-class education and teaching Western values. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on March 8-9, 2015 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

March 23, 2015

27% Say U.S. Heading in the Right Direction

Twenty-seven percent (27%) of Likely U.S. Voters think the country is heading in the right direction, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey for the week ending March 19. 

This finding is down five points from the previous week and the lowest level of confidence this year. The number of voters who think the country is heading in the right direction has been 30% or higher every week but one since mid-December after being in the mid- to high 20s most weeks since mid-June 2013.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook

The national telephone survey of 2,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports from March 15-19, 2015. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Crosstabs and historical data are available to Platinum Members only.

March 23, 2015

Americans Say Cable, Satellite TV Too Expensive, Too Restrictive

Most Americans have cable or satellite TV and don’t like the service they get. As far as they’re concerned, it’s too expensive and doesn’t offer them enough flexibility. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook

The survey of 800 Adults was conducted on March 17-18, 2015 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

March 23, 2015

Voters Doubt America Is Safer Than It Was Pre-9/11

Voters are less pessimistic about U.S. efforts in fighting terrorism globally, but confidence that the homeland is safer than it was before 9/11 is at a multi-year low.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 33% of Likely U.S. Voters believe the United States and its allies are winning the War on Terror. That’s up from last month’s low of 19% and is the highest level of confidence measured since April of last year. Confidence in U.S. anti-terrorism efforts hit a high of 62% in February 2009 just after President Obama’s inauguration, then steadily deteriorated until the killing of Osama bin Laden in May 2011 when it rebounded into the 50s. But it had been trending steadily down for the past two years prior to the latest survey.

But just as many (33%) think the terrorists are winning the war, although that's down slightly from last month’s high of 37%. Twenty-seven percent (27%) say neither side is winning. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on March 18-19, 2015 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Additional information from this survey and a full demographic breakdown are available to Platinum Members only.

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March 23, 2015

Measuring the Moral Posture of Rand Paul By Joe Conason

Expecting morally serious debate from any would-be Republican presidential contender is like waiting for a check from a deadbeat. It could arrive someday, but don't count on it.

Yet listening to someone like Senator Rand Paul, R-Ky., feign outrage over a real moral question can still be amusing, if you know enough about him to laugh. The Kentucky Republican has seized on stories about millions of dollars donated by Saudi Arabian agencies and interests to the Clinton Foundation, demanding that the Clintons return those funds because of gender inequality under the Saudi version of Islam.

March 21, 2015

What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls - Week Ending March 21

Congress may not be voters’ favorite group of people, but when it comes to matters of war and peace, they want Congress to decide.

Voters aren’t happy with the letter 47 Republican senators sent to the Iranian government raising concerns about the nuclear deal the Obama administration is negotiating with Iran. But most believe that any deal the administration negotiates with the Iranians needs to be approved by Congress before it goes into effect.

March 20, 2015

Generic Congressional Ballot: Republicans 39%, Democrats 39%

Republicans and Democrats are tied on the latest Generic Congressional Ballot.

In the previous survey, Republicans were ahead by just a point – 39% to 38%. The week before, Republicans had a five-point lead - 41% to 36%, their biggest since December 2013. Prior to that, Democrats had been slightly ahead for most weeks this year. The gap between the parties has generally been two points or less most weeks for more than a year now.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook

The national telephone survey of 2,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports from March 15-19, 2015. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

March 20, 2015

Voters Are Less Supportive of Sending Troops to Fight ISIS

Voters tend to believe the radical Islamic State group (ISIS) is winning the war in Iraq but are much less supportive of putting U.S. combat troops in the fight than they were six weeks ago.

Just 25% of Likely U.S. Voters think the United States and its allies are winning the war in Iraq, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey. Thirty-eight percent (38%) believe ISIS is winning. Just as many (37%) are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on March 18-19, 2015 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Additional information from this survey and a full demographic breakdown are available to Platinum Members only.

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March 20, 2015

Will Hispanics fire up America? By Michael Barone

"Firing up America" is the cover line on the March 20 issue of The Economist, heralding a 16-page special report on America's Latinos. Its tone is resolutely upbeat -- perhaps a bit too much so.   

March 20, 2015

Parents Show Little Interest in Adding Muslim Holidays to School Calendar

While most parents of elementary and secondary school children agree with celebrating some religious holidays in the schools, they don't include the two Muslim holidays that Mayor Bill de Blasio recently added to the New York City public school calendar. Christmas and Easter far and away top the list of religious holidays parents think schools should recognize. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook

The survey of 800 Adults was conducted on March 11-12, 2015 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

March 19, 2015

Voters Think Tax, Spending Cuts Work Best for Economy

Slightly more voters would now vote for a candidate who would raise taxes on the wealthy over one who would oppose all tax increases, but voters still think cutting taxes and spending is the way to go. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely U.S. Voters was conducted on March 16-17, 2015 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

March 19, 2015

54% Think Democrats Should Run A Fresh Face in 2016

Most voters think the Democratic Party should look for a presidential newcomer in 2016, and over half of Democrats don't disagree.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 54% of Likely U.S. Voters believe Democrats should look for a fresh face to run for president in 2016 rather than promote a candidate who has already run in the past. Only 22% think Democrats should go with a candidate from the past. Just as many (23%) are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on March 16-17, 2015 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Additional information from this survey and a full demographic breakdown are available to Platinum Members only.

March 19, 2015

OK, You Tell Us: Whose Picture Is On the $1 Bill?

Hard to believe, or is it just a case of out of sight, out of mind? After all, over half of Americans now say they’ve gone an entire week without paying for anything with cash or coins.

But just 88% of Americans correctly recognize that a portrait of George Washington, the so-called Father of our Country, appears on the $1 bill. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook

The survey of 800 Adults was conducted on March 15-16, 2015 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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March 19, 2015

Half a Heart on Marijuana Better Than No Heart at All by Froma Harrop

Give thanks for the little things, they say. A bill that would stop the feds from going after medical marijuana users in states that permit such activity is something for which we should give thanks. But it is little.

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March 19, 2015

2016 PRESIDENT UPDATE: CLINTON ISN’T GOING ANYWHERE…YET By Geoffrey Skelley, Kyle Kondik, and Larry J. Sabato

Hillary Clinton went before cameras and reporters at the United Nations last week to address the ongoing controversy over her use of a private email system during her time as secretary of state. She was terse, combative, and essentially told the American people to “trust her” when she says that she didn’t do anything wrong and isn’t hiding anything. Clinton’s visceral dislike of the media was obvious and can be summed up by three words (“Go to Hell”), which was how Politico’s John Harris put it after Clinton’s presser.

March 18, 2015

Americans Say Clones Are Coming - But Not for Them

Most Americans see cloning of individual people as likely in the next 25 years but aren’t interested in bringing back a dead loved one.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 67% of American Adults believe it is at least somewhat likely that scientists will be able to clone genetically identical individuals in the laboratory in the next 25 years, including 30% who say it’s Very Likely. Just 26% say the cloning of people is unlikely in the next quarter century, with seven percent (7%) who feel it's Not At All Likely. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Facebook.

The survey of 800 American Adults was conducted on March 15-16, 2015 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Additional information from this survey and a full demographic breakdown are available to Platinum Members only.

March 18, 2015

60% Say Congress Needs to Sign Off on Any Iranian Nuke Deal

Voters remain lukewarm about the nuclear deal the Obama administration is negotiating with Iran, and most think it needs to be approved by Congress. But they aren’t happy with the letter 47 Republican senators sent to the Iranian government putting the current negotiations in question either. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on March 16-17, 2015 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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March 18, 2015

Chicago Fray By John Stossel

Rahm Emanuel, current mayor of my old hometown, Chicago, is not a gentle soul. But he's smarter than his big-spending predecessor, Richard M. Daley, and the union pawn, Jesus "Chuy" Garcia, who becomes the new mayor if he beats Emanuel in a run-off election April 7.

Emanuel was the tough Obama chief of staff who reportedly stabbed a table with a steak knife as he listed political enemies.

March 18, 2015

Most Voters Think Media Wrong on Race Shootings, Put Police At Risk

Following the shooting last week of two police officers in Ferguson, Missouri, most voters think the media is overemphasizing shootings by the police and making their jobs more dangerous. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that only 24% of Likely U.S. Voters think white police officers shooting innocent black people is a bigger problem in America today than blacks shooting each other. Sixty-two percent (62%) believe black people shooting other blacks is the bigger problem. Fourteen percent (14%) are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on March 12 and 15, 2015 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Additional information from this survey and a full demographic breakdown are available to Platinum Members only.