How We Do Our Polls
Some people have questioned our findings reported Monday that Donald Trump has edged slightly ahead of Hillary Clinton among likely voters nationally. Given the margin of error, it’s more accurate to call the race a tie.
Public Content
Most Recent Releases
May 4, 2016
May 4, 2016
The Battle of the Negatives Is About to Begin
Barring an act of God, both major political parties now have their presidential nominees, and the mud’s about to fly.
May 3, 2016
Most GOPers Say Cruz, Kasich Should Quit; Dems Not So Eager to Lose Sanders
Even before the votes are counted in today’s Indiana primaries, most Republicans think Ted Cruz and John Kasich should quit the race for their party’s presidential nomination. Democrats, on the other hand, aren’t so eager for Bernie Sanders to drop out.
May 3, 2016
Republicans Should Have Adopted Democrats' Rules -- and Vice Versa by Michael Barone
The unexpected successes, forecast by almost no one 12 months ago, of Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders in winning 40 percent and 42 percent in Republican and Democratic primaries and caucuses is widely taken as evidence of raging discontent among American voters.
May 3, 2016
Random Thoughts By Thomas Sowell
Random thoughts on the passing scene:
One of the problems with being a pessimist is that you can never celebrate when you are proven right.
May 3, 2016
More Voters See U.S. Constitution As Subject to Change
Voters appear to be moving away from the idea that the U.S. Constitution should be interpreted as written and are now more likely to feel the nation's foundational document should change with the times.
May 3, 2016
Why Russia Resents Us By Patrick J. Buchanan
Friday, a Russian SU-27 did a barrel roll over a U.S. RC-135 over the Baltic, the second time in two weeks.
May 2, 2016
29% Say U.S. Heading in Right Direction
Twenty-nine percent (29%) of Likely U.S. Voters think the country is heading in the right direction, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey for the week ending April 29.
May 2, 2016
Trump 41%, Clinton 39%
Last week, Rasmussen Reports gave voters the option of staying home on Election Day if Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are the big party nominees, and six percent (6%) said that’s what they intend to do for now. Clinton and Trump were tied with 38% support each; 16% said they would vote for some other candidate, and two percent (2%) were undecided.
May 2, 2016
Americans Aren’t Overly Concerned About A ‘Brexit’
Like the British themselves, Americans have decidedly mixed feelings about Great Britain's potential withdrawal from the European Union.
April 30, 2016
What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls - Week Ending April 30, 2016
#NeverTrump forces are still counting on Indiana’s Republican primary on Tuesday to derail Donald Trump’s nomination by forcing a brokered convention. But for most voters, a Trump-Hillary Clinton contest this fall is all but inevitable.
April 29, 2016
Obama’s Full-Month Approval Index Remains At Three-Year High
When tracking President Obama’s job approval on a daily basis, people sometimes get so caught up in the day-to-day fluctuations that they miss the bigger picture. To look at the longer-term trends, Rasmussen Reports compiles the numbers on a full-month basis, and the results can be seen in the graphics below.
April 29, 2016
At Last, America First! By Pat Buchanan
Whether the establishment likes it or not, and it evidently does not, there is a revolution going on in America.
April 29, 2016
Trump 38%, Clinton 38%
Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are again tied up in a head-to-head matchup.
April 29, 2016
Trump Change: 89% of GOP Voters Now Say Trump Is Likely Nominee
Belief that Donald Trump is the likely Republican presidential nominee has soared to its highest level ever and matches perceptions that Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic standard-bearer in the fall.
April 29, 2016
Donald Trump Isn't the 'Presumptive Nominee' -- Not Yet, Anyway By Michael Barone
Donald Trump has declared himself, after following up his New York win April 19 with victories in five other Northeastern states Tuesday, the "presumptive nominee" of the Republican Party. Is it a done deal?
April 28, 2016
Politics, Race Influence Views of Michelle Obama
Most voters continue to have a generally favorable view of the first lady of the United States, but there remain wide political and racial differences of opinion.
April 28, 2016
24% Opt Out of a Clinton-Trump Race
Nearly one-in-four voters say they will stay home or vote third party if Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are the major party presidential candidates.
April 28, 2016
Voters Want More Military Spending, But Are They Willing to Pay For It?
Voters tend to believe President Obama has weakened the U.S. military, but that doesn't mean they're willing to pay more in taxes to turn the situation around.
April 28, 2016
Indiana: #Nevertrump’s Last Stand? By Kyle Kondik and Geoffrey Skelley
One could not be blamed for looking at the Republican primary results over the past 10 days and questioning how someone could stop Donald Trump from being the Republican nominee.
