March 25, 2021
Redistricting delays cloud the seat-by-seat picture, but midterm history suggests a Republican edge.
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE
— Delays in the redistricting process mean that we won’t be releasing Crystal Ball House district ratings for the foreseeable future.
— However, midterm history along with GOP advantages in redistricting make the Republicans clear, though not certain, favorites to win the House next year.
— Recent midterm history helps illustrate some of the Democratic vulnerabilities if this cycle breaks against the White House, as it did in the past four midterms.