Presidential Expectations and the Race for the House By Kyle Kondik
That the public is less confident in Biden’s chances than the polls could have a down-ballot impact; 14 House rating changes.
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE
— Perceptions of the presidential race could have some impact down the ballot.
— Ticket-splitting is on the decline, but plenty of voters will vote for different parties for president and House, perhaps to the benefit of candidates from both parties.
— We are making 14 House rating changes, 10 in favor of Democrats and four in favor of Republicans. The changes don’t really impact our overall House assessment, which is that we are not expecting much net change in the makeup of the House.