Before the Democrats settled on a candidate from the state next door, Maine was thought to be a battleground state for Election 2004. However, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds Senator John F. Kerry with a huge 54% to 35% lead in that state over President George W. Bush.
In South Carolina, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds President George W. Bush leading Senator John F. Kerry by a 49% to 39% margin.
In Minnesota, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds Senator John F. Kerry with 48% of the vote and President George W. Bush with 43%.
In Pennsylvania, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds President George W. Bush with 45% of the vote and Senator John F. Kerry with 44%. That's little changed from our March survey which found Kerry ahead by a single point.
Michigan, one of the key battleground states for Election 2004, is leaning towards Senator John F. Kerry early in the campaign season. Kerry has a 47% to 41% lead over President George W. Bush in the state.
In Virginia, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds President George W. Bush with 47% of the vote and Senator John F. Kerry with 45%.
In New Jersey, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds Senator John F. Kerry with 51% of the vote and President George W. Bush with 39%.
These results are the same as the April Rasmussen Reports survey in New Jersey. Four years ago, Bush lost the state by sixteen points to Al Gore, 56% to 40%.
In Georgia, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds President George W. Bush leading Senator John F. Kerry 51% to 39%.
In Illinois, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds Senator John F. Kerry leading President George W. Bush 54% to 38%
In Missouri, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds a race that is too close to call. President George W. Bush attracts 44% of the vote to 43% for Senator John F. Kerry.
In North Carolina, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds President George W. Bush with 48% of the vote and Senator John F. Kerry with 44%.
In Oregon, the race for the White House is too close to call. The latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds President George W. Bush with 46% of the vote and Senator John F. Kerry with 45%.
In California, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds Senator John F. Kerry with an 8-point lead over President George W. Bush, 49% to 41%. In Election 2000, Bush lost California to Al Gore by 11 points.
The latest Rasmussen Reports survey of Texas voters finds President George W. Bush leading Senator John F. Kerry 55% to 38%. That lead is very similar to the actual results of Election 2000 when Bush won his home state 59% to 38%.
The Hudson Employment Index in May declined to 104.8 from 107.1 the previous month. This is the Index's lowest reading this year, although it remains up nearly five percent over December 2003.
George W. Bush will be in New York to accept his party's nomination, but he won't be counting on the state's Electoral Votes this November.
The latest Rasmussen Reports survey of New York voters finds Senator John F. Kerry leading President George W. 57% to 34%. The poll's 23-point spread is close to the 25 percentage point victory for Al Gore over Bush in Election 2000.
In Ohio, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds President George W. Bush with 46% of the vote to 44% for Senator John F. Kerry. In Election 2000, Bush won Ohio by a margin of 50% to 46% over Al Gore.
Fifty-four percent (54%) of American voters say that they would consider voting for George W. Bush under certain circumstances. A Rasmussen Reports survey of 2,000 Likely Voters finds that 39% will not vote for the President under any circumstances.
As for Senator Kerry, 49% say they would consider voting for him while 39% definitely would not. Selected demographic breakdowns are available for RR Premium Members.
These results come at a time when the candidates have been locked in a dead heat for months. Ninety-one percent (91%) of those who would consider voting for Kerry already plan to vote for him. Just 3% of those who would consider Kerry are currently planning to vote for Bush.
However, just 81% of those who would consider voting for Bush are planning to vote for him at this time. Another 10% of these potential supporters are currently planning to vote for Kerry.
Twelve percent (12%) of America's Likely Voters say that they would consider voting for both George W. Bush and John F. Kerry. At a time when the campaign has been tied for months, these swing voters are vitally important to both campaigns.
Forty-two percent (42%) of American voters say that, in the long run, the U.S. mission in Iraq will be judged a success. A Rasmussen Reports survey found that nearly as many, 39%, believe it will be viewed as a failure.
