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July 17, 2004

Tennessee: Bush 49% Kerry 41%

In Tennessee, a Rasmussen Reports survey finds President George W. Bush leading Senator John F. Kerry 49% to 41%.

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July 16, 2004

46% Say Kerry Will Win

Regardless of who they plan to vote for, 46% of all voters now believe the Kerry-Edward team will win while 45% say the Bush-Cheney ticket will be re-elected.

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July 13, 2004

Movies and Politics

Two surprising movies this year have drawn entirely different audiences to the theatre.

Fahrenheit 9-11, Michael Moore's entry into the election debate, has an audience that is 47% liberal, 26% moderate, and 25% conservative. The audience for Mel Gibson's Passion of Christ is 51% conservative, 27% moderate, and 21% liberal.

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July 12, 2004

Arkansas: Kerry 46% Bush 45%

In Arkansas, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 46% of the vote and President Bush with 45%.

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July 12, 2004

South Carolina: Bush 53% Kerry 36%

In South Carolina, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows President Bush with 53% of the vote and Senator Kerry with 36%.

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July 12, 2004

Washington: Kerry 50% Bush 41%

In Washington, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 50% of the vote and President Bush with 41%. Four years ago, Bush lost Washington's Electoral College votes to Al Gore by five percentage points.

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July 12, 2004

Minnesota: Kerry 50% Bush 41%

In Minnesota, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows of the vote and Senator Kerry with 50% and President Bush with 41%. This 9 point lead is considerably more comfortable for the Senator than Al Gore's 2 point margin of victory in the state four years ago.

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July 12, 2004

New York: Kerry 58% Bush 30%

In New York, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 58% of the vote and President Bush with 30%. Four years ago, Al Gore defeated Bush to carry New York by a 25 point margin.

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July 12, 2004

Oklahoma: Bush 63% Kerry 31%

In Oklahoma, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows President Bush with 63% of the vote and Senator Kerry with 31%. In Election 2000, Bush won Oklahoma by twenty-two percentage points, beating Al Gore 60% to 38%.

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July 12, 2004

Oregon: Kerry 50% Bush 42%

In Oregon, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 50% of the vote and President Bush with 42%. Four years ago, Bush lost Oregon's 7 Electoral College votes to Al Gore by less than one percent of all votes cast.

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July 11, 2004

GA: Bush 52% Kerry 41%

In Georgia, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows President Bush with 52% of the vote and Senator Kerry with 41%.

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July 11, 2004

Alabama: Bush 52% Kerry 38%

In Alabama, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows President Bush leading by 14 percentage points over Senator Kerry.

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July 11, 2004

Illinois: Kerry 53% Bush 37%

In Illinois, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 53% of the vote and President Bush with 37%. This is essentially unchanged from a month ago when Kerry was ahead 54% to 37%.

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July 10, 2004

Michigan: Kerry 46% Bush 44%

In Michigan, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows President Bush with 44% of the vote and Senator Kerry with 46%. Four years ago, Al Gore defeated Bush to carry Michigan by a 51% to 46% margin.

Last month, it was Bush 47% Kerry 41% in our Michigan poll. However, our mid-month update for Premium Members found Kerry leading by a smaller margin, 46% to 42%. At that time, we moved Michigan from "Leans Kerry" to "Toss-up" category for our Electoral College projections (we require a five point lead before moving a state from Toss-Up status).

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July 10, 2004

Virginia: Bush 48% Kerry 45%

In Virginia, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows President Bush with 48% of the vote and Senator Kerry with 45%. In Election 2000, Bush won Virginia by nine percentage points, beating Al Gore 53% to 44%.

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July 9, 2004

Pennsylvania: Kerry 48% Bush 43%

In Pennsylvania, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows Senator Kerry with 48% of the vote and President Bush with 43%. Four years ago, Bush lost Pennsylvania's 21 Electoral College votes to Al Gore by five percentage points.

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July 8, 2004

Maine: Kerry 46% Bush 45%

In Maine, the race for the White House is as close as it can be. The latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds Senator Kerry with 46% of the vote and President Bush with 45%. Four years ago, Al Gore defeated Bush to carry Maine by a 49% to 44% margin.

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July 8, 2004

46% Say Bush Will Win

Regardless of who they plan to vote for, 46% of all voters now believe the Bush-Cheney ticket will be re-elected while 44% say the Kerry-Edward team will win.

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July 8, 2004

Edwards Viewed More Favorably Than Cheney

Initial reaction to John Edwards shows that 46% of Likely Voters have a favorable opinion of the Democrat's Vice-Presidential candidate.