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March 16, 2008

Florida: McCain Leads Obama by Four, Clinton by Seven

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Florida shows John McCain holding a four-percentage point lead over Barack Obama and a seven- percentage point lead over Hillary Clinton.

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March 16, 2008

Generic Ballot: Democrats 44% Republicans 40%

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey found that, if the Congressional Election were held today, 44% of American voters say they would vote for the Democrat in their district and 40% would opt for the Republican.

March 16, 2008

New York: Both Democrats Lead McCain By Double Digits

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in New York shows Hillary Clinton leading John McCain 50% to 38%. Barack Obama leads the Republican nominee by a nearly identical margin, 51% to 38%.

March 15, 2008

Connecticut: Obama Leads McCain By 12

In Connecticut, Barack Obama currently leads John McCain by twelve percentage points, 50% to 38%. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey found that Hillary Clinton leads McCain by just three, 47% to 44%.

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March 15, 2008

The Importance of Fallon's Fall: By Michael Barone

The abrupt resignation of Adm. William Fallon as the head of Central Command almost got lost amid the breaking news of Barack Obama's victory in the Mississippi primary and Eliot Spitzer's resignation as governor of New York.

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March 15, 2008

Hillary Sends Ferraro After the Race Card: By Dick Morris

Geraldine Ferraro, a pioneer and trailblazer in American history, has done more to ruin a sterling reputation in the past few days than anybody but Eliot Spitzer.

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March 15, 2008

Governor Bloomberg? By Robert D. Novak

The disgraced Eliot Spitzer had hardly resigned as governor of New York when Republican strategists began calculating a return to power in Albany via New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg.

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March 14, 2008

Ohio: McCain Leads Both Clinton and Obama by Six

Hillary Clinton kept her hopes for winning the Democratic Presidential nomination alive with a big win in the Ohio Primary just over a week ago. But, the first general election poll conducted since that Primary shows John McCain has gained ground in the Buckeye State.

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March 14, 2008

37% Have Favorable Opinion of Ferraro

Just 37% of American voters have a favorable opinion of Geraldine Ferraro. A Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey found that 50% have an unfavorable opinion of the first woman nominated to run for Vice President of the United States.

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March 14, 2008

California: Obama Leads McCain by 15, Clinton Leads By 7

Democratic divisiveness may be hurting the party’s general election prospects in states like Michigan, Ohio, and Pennsylvania, but not in California.

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March 14, 2008

McCain Addendum: Are Stay-at-Home Conservatives a Threat to John McCain? By Alan I. Abramowitz

Several alert readers of last week's Crystal Ball article have contacted me in the past week to question my claim that the greatest threat to Republican unity in 2008 comes from moderates, not conservatives.

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March 14, 2008

The Democratic Dogfight: By Larry Sabato

When 2008 began, it was impossible to find a nonpartisan analyst who did not project a big year for the Democrats. George W. Bush barely scaled 30 percent in the polls, the Iraq War was deeply unpopular and the economy was weakening.

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March 14, 2008

The White Elephant in the Room: By Susan Estrich

Would Barack Obama be where he is if he weren't black? Would Hillary Clinton be where she is if she weren't a woman? Would Geraldine Ferraro be where she is if her name had been Gerald?

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March 14, 2008

Super Delegates Lining Up for Barack Obama: By Dick Morris

A funny thing is happening. While Hillary and Bill appeal to super delegates to override the will of the voters and back Hillary, the super delegates are doing just the opposite.

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March 13, 2008

Pennsylvania: Clinton 51% Obama 38%

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Pennsylvania shows Hillary Clinton leading Barack Obama 51% to 38%. Those numbers are little changed from a week ago.

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March 13, 2008

Pennsylvania: McCain 44% Obama 43%, McCain 46% Clinton 44%

In Pennsylvania, Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton will spend the next six weeks trying to win the state’s Democratic Presidential Primary.

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March 13, 2008

A Virtual Tie: Clinton, Obama Divide the Democratic Primary Vote: By Rhodes Cook

As the presidential campaigns of Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama approach the ides of March, they are virtually tied in the Democratic primary vote count.

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March 13, 2008

At Least Admire Spitzer for His Foes: by Froma Harrop

A few good words for Eliot Spitzer. The resigned New York governor could be brutish, vindictive and, when it comes to sexual rectitude, a grand hypocrite. But in going after the depredations of Wall Street, subprime lenders and corporate looters, he was a rare crusader.

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March 13, 2008

W.'s Gun Battle: by Robert Novak

Preparing to hear oral arguments Tuesday on the extent of gun rights guaranteed by the Constitution's Second Amendment, the U.S. Supreme Court has before it a brief signed by Vice President Cheney opposing the Bush administration's stance

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March 13, 2008

The Shame of Eliot Spitzer: by Joe Conason

When Eliot Spitzer stood before the stunned press corps on Monday to make a brief apology for his misconduct, he spoke of "real change," of trying to "uphold a vision of progressive politics that would rebuild New York and create opportunity for all," of "ideas, (and) the public good."