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July 12, 2008

Goodbye, Joe? By Robert Novak

Despite assurances to the contrary from Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, Democratic insiders are certain Sen. Joseph Lieberman next year will be kicked out of the party's caucus and lose his Senate chairmanship if he addresses the Republican National Convention in St. Paul, Minn., as planned.

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July 12, 2008

What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls for July 12, 2008

Over the past week, the Presidential race got a little closer, perceptions of Congress fell a little further, and there was plenty of talk about the economy.

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July 12, 2008

We're Not Leaving By Michael Barone

Sixty years ago this month, the top story in campaign year 1948 was not the big poll lead of Republican nominee Thomas Dewey or the plight of President Harry Truman. It was the Berlin airlift.

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July 11, 2008

Time to Change the Unit Rule By Larry Sabato

Want to fix an election? No, I'm not proposing any Election Day shenanigans, but rather some preventive maintenance for a very old machine.

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July 11, 2008

Is Time on John McCain's Side? By Alan I. Abramowitz

In a recent Crystal Ball article , Michael Baudinet of the University of Virginia Center for Politics argued that despite a very difficult national political environment for Republicans, John McCain has a good chance of winning the 2008 presidential election because he enjoys one key advantage over his Democratic rival, Barack Obama: McCain clinched his party's nomination three months earlier than Obama.

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July 11, 2008

Rasmussen Markets Show No Clear Favorites in Veepstakes

Rasmussen Markets data on Friday morning shows that Hillary Clinton is given a 16% chance of becoming her party’s Vice-Presidential nominee. Kansas Governor Kathleen Sebelius is a close second at 15% and Indiana Senator Evan Bayh is the only other Democrat to reach double digits at 12%.

July 11, 2008

Discover ® U.S. Spending Monitor (SM) Down Nearly a Point in June

The Discover U.S. Spending Monitor fell nearly a point in June to 85.9, as consumers struggled with rising prices for essentials and continued to lose confidence in the nation’s economy. Economic confidence hit a new Monitor low, falling in June to a level that is nearly 30 points lower than a year ago.

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July 10, 2008

Americans Favor Cutting Government Spending Over Balancing the Budget

Nearly three out of five Americans (58%) say cutting government spending is more important than balancing the budget, and 43% think such spending cuts will help the struggling U.S. economy.

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July 10, 2008

46% Support Military Response If Iran Attacks Israel

In the wake of recent missile tests, 71% of American voters say that Iran represents a serious threat to the United States and 82% believe that nation is a threat to Israel.

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July 10, 2008

The Map By Larry Sabato

Nobody now knows the exact contours of the November 4th Electoral College map. Nobody will know it until after the polls have closed. But except for the guessing game about the vice presidential nominations, there's no greater fun to be had in July.

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July 10, 2008

Obama's Liberal Shiver By Froma Harrop

Watching liberals grope for first aid as Barack Obama does an about-face on their most cherished issues, one recalls a scene from the 1950 movie "All About Eve."

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July 10, 2008

An "Underwhelming" Nominee By Robert D. Novak

"I would say he was pretty underwhelming," said Lawyer Gus several days after he and some 200 other big-money supporters of Hillary Clinton's failed presidential campaign met with the victor, Barack Obama, in Washington on June 26. Lawyer Gus is a longtime Democratic activist, who will support and contribute to Obama as the party's nominee, but will not be enthusiastic about it.

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July 10, 2008

Only 21% Support Federal Help for Those Facing Foreclosure

As the Senate inches toward passage of a $300 billion bill to help homeowners facing foreclosure, a new Rasmussen Reports national survey shows that only 21% of voters think the federal government should provide such assistance.

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July 9, 2008

Obama's New Strategy By Dick Morris

The list of issues on which Barack Obama has flipped now that the primaries are over is long and growing rapidly.

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July 9, 2008

Voters Reject Obama's call for Bilingualism

Barack Obama said yesterday that “instead of worrying about whether immigrants can learn English,” Americans “need to make sure your child can speak Spanish.” A national telephone survey conducted last month by Rasmussen Reports found that U.S. voters overwhelmingly disagree with the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee.

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July 9, 2008

Voters See Iraq as Biggest Difference Between Obama, McCain

Going strictly by the numbers, the biggest perceived difference between Barack Obama and John McCain can be found on the issue of Iraq.

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July 8, 2008

Democrats Hold onto Solid Lead in Generic Congressional Ballot

Democrats continue to lead Republicans by double-digits in the Rasmussen Reports generic congressional ballot. When given the choice, 47% of voters nationwide would vote for their district’s Democratic candidate, while 34% would choose their Republican candidate.

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July 8, 2008

Most Americans Say Balanced Budget Good for Economy but Question if McCain Can Achieve it by 2013

Seven out of 10 Americans (70%) think a balanced budget is good for the economy, but nearly as many (64%) believe it unlikely that John McCain can achieve such a budget by 2013 as he has promised.

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July 8, 2008

Voters Divided on Whether Tax Policy Should Support Growth or Fairness

Voters continue to believe that tax cuts are good for the economy and tax hikes are bad, but for many that’s not the most important aspect of tax policy.

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July 8, 2008

Congressional Approval Falls to Single Digits for First Time Ever

The percentage of voters who give Congress good or excellent ratings has fallen to single digits for the first time in Rasmussen Reports tracking history. This month, just 9% say Congress is doing a good or excellent job. Most voters (52%) say Congress is doing a poor job, which ties the record high in that dubious category.