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November 3, 2008

Electoral College: Obama 260 McCain 160

In the Electoral College projections, Rasmussen Reports now shows Obama leading 260 to 160. When states that are leaning in one way or the other are included, Obama leads 313 to 160. A total of 270 Electoral College votes are needed for victory.

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November 2, 2008

Beware of Exit Polls

Will they or won’t they – take a few minutes to take an exit poll, that is?

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November 2, 2008

The Unexpected Campaign Season That Was By Debra Saunders

The biggest loser in this 2008 election is obvious even before the first vote has been counted: conventional wisdom. Remember last year when Hillary Rodham Clinton was considered the shoo-in for the Democratic Party's presidential nomination, after which she was supposed to waltz into the Oval Office?

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November 1, 2008

New Rasmussen Reports Partisan Weighting Targets: 39.9% Democrat 33.4% Republican

Like all polling firms, Rasmussen Reports weights its data to reflect the population at large. Among other targets, Rasmussen Reports weights data by political party affiliation using a dynamic weighting process.

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November 1, 2008

What They Told Us: Reviewing Last Week’s Key Polls - Week of October 27, 2008

During the final full week of Election 2008, voters told us the same thing they’ve been saying since mid-September—Barack Obama has a modest but stable lead in the race for the White House.

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October 31, 2008

63% Say Obama More Likely to Restrict Gun Rights

Nearly two-thirds of U.S. voters (63%) say Barack Obama is more likely than John McCain to restrict an individual’s right to own a gun, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey.

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October 31, 2008

45% Missed All of Obama’s 30-Minute Ad

Forty-five percent (45%) of U.S. voters say they did not watch any of Barack Obama’s 30-minute television advertisement Wednesday night, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey.

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October 31, 2008

The Final Days By Susan Estrich

It is time for this election to be over. It is time because it has been going on for what feels like a lifetime, because the final days have been full of noise and fury and very little light, and because we need to start solving problems rather than just debating them.

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October 30, 2008

Democrats Lead by Seven in Generic Congressional Ballot

The Democrats have skipped to a seven-point lead in the final Election 2008 edition of the generic congressional ballot. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey found that, if given the choice, 47% of voters would choose their district’s Democratic candidate, while 40% would choose the Republican candidate.

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October 30, 2008

39% See Gas Below $2 per Gallon By Year’s End

Thirty-nine percent (39%) of Americans believe it is at least somewhat likely that gasoline will drop below $2 per gallon before the end of the year, but nearly as many (33%) say it will cost over $4 a gallon by then, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey.

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October 30, 2008

Just 34% Like One-Party Rule in Washington

As Election Day 2008 approaches with the prospect of a Democrat in the White House and Democratic control of the Congress, only one-third (34%) of U.S. voters think rule by one political party is better for the country.

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October 30, 2008

Newspaper Endorsements Still Count By Froma Harrop

Do newspaper endorsements influence voters? I refer to the candidate picks printed on the biodegradable news products that digital and cable commentators dismiss as "old media" but talk about nothing but.

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October 30, 2008

Questions about Obama By Debra J. Saunders

Barack Obama has waged a brilliant, disciplined campaign for the White House. To the extent that Obama's campaign demonstrates his strategic and organizational abilities, the junior Illinois senator has the potential to be a great leader.

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October 30, 2008

Sarah the Scapegoat By Joe Conason

Writing a post-mortem for John McCain's presidential candidacy would be premature. But if and when that moment comes next week, toxic staff infection will be listed as a primary cause of death.

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October 30, 2008

The Last Word--Almost By Larry Sabato

These are our 2008 election projections as of Thursday, October 30. We will make final adjustments and tweaks on Monday afternoon, November 3, and post them to the website. At that point, we will attempt to call the few remaining toss-ups.

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October 29, 2008

McCain Trusted More on Taxes and Economy

After several weeks of John McCain’s campaign attacks on Barack Obama’s tax plan and idea of “spreading the wealth around”, the latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds voters trust McCain more than Obama on taxes, 47% to 45%.

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October 29, 2008

87% Say Elections Important for Stock Market

Eighty-seven percent (87%) of U.S. voters say elections are important to the overall health of the stock market, but voters are evenly divided on the impact of either John McCain or Barack Obama winning on Tuesday.

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October 29, 2008

40% Say Hollywood Endorsements Turn Them Off

Now even Opie and the Fonz are for Barack Obama.

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October 29, 2008

Is Obama Secretly Sensible? Don't Bet on It By Tony Blankley

As Obama's election has seemed to become more likely in the past six weeks, a quiet but public debate has arisen among both Republicans and Democrats that wonders which Obama we might get.

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October 29, 2008

The Back Room By Susan Estrich

I have one word of advice for the fancy folks at the Republican National Committee who shelled out $75,000 at Neiman Marcus and $50,000 at Saks Fifth Avenue, among other places, to dress Sarah Palin and family: Loehmann's.