October 30, 2004
In Michigan, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows
Senator Kerry with 50% of the vote and President Bush with 47%. Four years ago, Al Gore won the state with a solid 51% to 46% margin of victory.
Kerry has been consistently ahead in our daily Michigan Tracking Poll provided to Premium Members. However, his lead has declined recently and been smaller than five percentage points for three consecutive days. As a result, Michigan moves back to "Toss-Up" status for our Electoral College projections.