Toplines - PTFO March 2025

Survey of 1,021 US Likely Voters
Conducted March 26-27, 2025, By Rasmussen Reports and Pablo Torre Finds Out

 

1.     Generally speaking, do you feel things in this country are going in the right direction, or have they gotten off on the wrong track?

47% Right Direction

47% Wrong Track

  6% Not sure

 

2.     In the 2024 presidential election, who did you vote for, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump or some other candidate? Or did you not vote in the 2024 presidential election?

46% Harris

47% Trump

  4% Other

  3% Didn't vote

  1% Not sure

 

3.     Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of President Donald Trump?

38% Very favorable

15% Somewhat favorable

  6% Somewhat unfavorable

39% Very unfavorable

  3% Not sure

 

4.     Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of Vice President Kamala Harris?

28% Very favorable

21% Somewhat favorable

10% Somewhat unfavorable

37% Very unfavorable

  3% Not sure

 

5.     Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of California Governor Gavin Newsom?

14% Very favorable

23% Somewhat favorable

11% Somewhat unfavorable

30% Very unfavorable

23% Not sure

 

6.     Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of sports media personality Stephen A. Smith?

11% Very favorable

22% Somewhat favorable

14% Somewhat unfavorable

10% Very unfavorable

44% Not sure

 

7.     Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez?

22% Very favorable

18% Somewhat favorable

11% Somewhat unfavorable

30% Very unfavorable

19% Not sure

 

8.     When thinking about the 2028 presidential election, would you prefer the Democratic nominee to be an experienced politician, or someone who has never been a politician before?

 

50% Experienced politician

25% Never been a politician before

25% Not sure

 

9.     How familiar are you with sports media personality Stephen A. Smith?

 

21% Very familiar

27% Somewhat familiar

18% Not very familiar

25% Not at all familiar

10% Not sure

 

10.  Knowing what you currently know, who has a better vision for America, Donald Trump, or Stephen A. Smith?

 

46% Donald Trump

26% Stephen A. Smith

28% Not sure

 

11.  Who would you consider a stronger Democratic candidate for President, Stephen A. Smith in 2028, or Joe Biden in 2024?

 

36% Smith in 2028

27% Biden in 2024

37% Not sure

 

12.  Who would you consider a stronger Democratic candidate for President, Stephen A. Smith in 2028, or Hillary Clinton in 2016?

 

34% Smith in 2028

36% Clinton in 2016

30% Not sure

 

13.  When thinking about potential 2028 Democratic candidates, would Stephen A. Smith be more in touch with the needs of voters, less in touch with the needs of voters, or about the same as other Democratic candidates?

 

25% More in touch

18% Less in touch

29% About the same

28% Not sure

 

14.  If Stephen A. Smith were the Democratic candidate for 2028, would you be more likely to vote Democrat, less likely to vote Democrat, or will it make no difference?

 

22% More likely

24% Less likely

39% No difference

15% Not sure

 

15.  If the Democratic 2028 presidential candidate were to name Stephen A. Smith as their running mate, would you be more likely to vote Democrat, less likely to vote Democrat, or will it make no difference?

 

22% More likely

22% Less likely

42% No difference

14% Not sure

 

16.  How likely is it that you will vote in the 2028 Democratic Presidential Primary?

 

52% Very likely

12% Somewhat likely

12% Not very likely

17% Not at all likely

  7% Not sure

 

Answered by the 654 respondents who said they would likely vote in the 2028 Democrat Primary:

 

17.  If the 2028 Democratic Primary Election were held today, and the presidential candidates were Stephen A. Smith and Kamala Harris, who would you vote for?

 

24% Smith

45% Harris

17% Other

  6% Wouldn't vote

  9% Not sure

 

Answered by the 654 respondents who said they would likely vote in the 2028 Democrat Primary:

 

18.  If instead the Democratic presidential candidates were Stephen A. Smith and Gavin Newsom, who would you vote for?

 

28% Smith

31% Newsom

16% Other

  7% Wouldn't vote

19% Not sure

 

Answered by the 654 respondents who said they would likely vote in the 2028 Democrat Primary:

 

19.  If instead the Democratic presidential candidates were Stephen A. Smith and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, who would you vote for?

 

28% Smith

32% Cortez

18% Other

  7% Wouldn't vote

15% Not sure

 

20.  If the 2028 presidential election were held today, and the candidates were Stephen A. Smith and JD Vance, who would you vote for?

 

34% Smith

38% Vance

12% Other

  5% Wouldn't vote

11% Not sure

 

21.  If instead the 2028 presidential candidates were Democrat Kamala Harris, Independent Stephen A. Smith, and Republican JD Vance, who would you vote for?

 

37% Harris

11% Smith

40% Vance

  4% Other

  2% Wouldn't vote

  7% Not sure

 

22.  When thinking about the 2028 Democratic candidate for Vice President, which of the following do you think would be best, Mark Cuban, Dwayne Johnson, Matthew McConaughey, Stephen A. Smith, Jon Stewart, Pablo Torre, or Oprah Winfrey?

 

14% Cuban

12% Johnson

10% McConaughey

12% Smith

9% Stewart

1% Torre

7% Winfrey

35% Not sure

 

23.  Stephen A. Smith is a Black sportscaster and has made calls to “cleanse the Democratic Party as we know it.”  Does that make you more likely or less likely to vote for him for the 2028 election?

 

27% More likely

21% Less likely

33% No difference

18% Not sure

 

24.  Stephen A. Smith has described his political position as “a fiscal conservative and a social liberal” who believes in universal health care but does not believe any American should pay more than half of their income toward taxes. Does that make you more likely or less likely to vote for him for the 2028 election?

 

34% More likely

18% Less likely

31% No difference

17% Not sure

 

25.  How important is it to you that the President of the United States is an avid fan of sports?

 

10% Very important

11% Somewhat important

25% Not very important

44% Not at all important

10% Not sure

 

26.  How frequently do you watch professional sports?

 

13% Nearly every day

23% Multiple times per day

21% About once a week

15% About once a month

21% Rarely or never

  7% Not sure

 

 

NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence