Toplines - NUSA August 2024 Swing State

National Survey of 5,671 AZ, MI, NV, PA, and WI Likely Voters

Conducted August 13-20, 2024

by Rasmussen Reports and NumbersUSA

 

1* Biden Approval

 

27% Strongly approve

19% Somewhat approve

22% Somewhat disapprove

30% Strongly disapprove

  2% Not sure

 

2* 2020 Vote

 

48% Biden

47% Trump

  2% Other

  2% Didn't vote

  0% Not sure

 

3* Likely 2024?

 

88% Very likely

  9% Somewhat likely

  2% Not very likely

  0% Not at all likely

  0% Not sure

 

4* If the 2024 presidential election was held today, and the main candidates were Vice President Kamala Harris and Former President Donald Trump, who would you vote for?

 

47% Harris

48% Trump

  3% Other

  2% Not sure

 

5* If the 2024 candidates for president were Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Cornel, West, Jill Stein and Chase Oliver, who would you vote for?

 

46% Harris

45% Trump

  5% Kennedy

  1% West

  1% Stein

  0% Oliver

  1% Other

  2% Not sure

 

Answered by the 2,592 respondents who would vote for Kamala Harris:

 

6* How enthusiastic are you about your vote for Kamala Harris, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not very enthusiastic, or not at all enthusiastic?

 

69% Very enthusiastic

20% Somewhat enthusiastic

  6% Not very enthusiastic

  4% Not at all enthusiastic

  1% Not sure

 

Answered by the 2,579 respondents who would vote for Donald Trump:

 

7* How enthusiastic are you about your vote for Donald Trump, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not very enthusiastic, or not at all enthusiastic?

 

74% Very enthusiastic

20% Somewhat enthusiastic

  4% Not very enthusiastic

  1% Not at all enthusiastic

  1% Not sure

 

8* If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or for the Republican candidate?

 

47% Democrat

46% Republican

  6% Not sure

 

9* When thinking about the elections for President, which of these is the most important to you?

 

  3% Not sure

  7% Violent crime
17% Border security

35% Economy

  7% Climate change

13% Abortion
  4% Global conflicts & war
  3% Education

  8% Government corruption

  3% Other

 

10* Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Kamala Harris?

 

34% Very favorable

15% Somewhat favorable

  8% Somewhat unfavorable
41% Very unfavorable

  2% Not sure

 

11* Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Donald Trump?

 

35% Very favorable

15% Somewhat favorable

  7% Somewhat unfavorable
42% Very unfavorable

  1% Not sure

 

12* Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of JD Vance?

 

29% Very favorable

16% Somewhat favorable

10% Somewhat unfavorable

35% Very unfavorable

10% Not sure

 

13* Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Tim Walz?

 

29% Very favorable

15% Somewhat favorable

10% Somewhat unfavorable

36% Very unfavorable

11% Not sure

 

14* Importance of inflation when considering who to vote for in the 2024 election.

 

63% Very important

25% Somewhat important

  8% Not very important

  2% Not at all important

  2% Not sure

 

15* Importance of the economy when considering who to vote for in the 2024 election.

 

70% Very important

23% Somewhat important

  5% Not very important

  1% Not at all important

  1% Not sure

 

16* Importance of abortion when considering who to vote for in the 2024 election.

 

49% Very important

21% Somewhat important

16% Not very important

12% Not at all important

  2% Not sure

 

17* Importance of illegal immigration when considering who to vote for in the 2024 election.

 

55% Very important

25% Somewhat important

15% Not very important

  4% Not at all important

  1% Not sure

 

18* Importance of government corruption when considering who to vote for in the 2024 election.

 

66% Very important

23% Somewhat important

  7% Not very important

  2% Not at all important

  2% Not sure

 

19* Importance of education when considering who to vote for in the 2024 election.

 

55% Very important

32% Somewhat important

  8% Not very important

  3% Not at all important

  1% Not sure

 

20* In general, have the immigration policies of the Biden administration been very successful, somewhat successful, somewhat unsuccessful or very unsuccessful?

 

14% Very successful

28% Somewhat successful

12% Somewhat unsuccessful

41% Very unsuccessful

  4% Not sure

 

21* Would Kamala Harris’ immigration policies be better or worse than Joe Biden’s policies?

 

26% Better

33% Worse

31% About the same

10% Not sure

 

22* When thinking about Former President Donald Trump’s presidency, were his immigration policies very successful, somewhat successful, somewhat unsuccessful or very unsuccessful?

 

38% Very successful

19% Somewhat successful

13% Somewhat unsuccessful

27% Very unsuccessful

  4% Not sure

 

23* Would Donald Trump’s immigration policies be better or worse than Joe Biden’s policies?

 

50% Better

36% Worse

  9% About the same

  5% Not sure

 

24* On the question of illegal immigration, is the government doing too much or too little to reduce illegal border crossings and visitor overstays?  Or is the level of action about right?

 

11% Too much

61% Too little

19% About right

10% Not sure

 

25* Some people claim that the millions of illegal immigrants who have come to the U.S. in the last four years has created a severe shortage of housing, forcing rent prices and house price to rise. Do you agree or disagree?

 

37% Strongly agree

22% Somewhat agree

16% Somewhat disagree

19% Strongly disagree

  6% Not sure

 

26* Is the situation at the US-Mexico border a crisis?

 

61% Yes

27% No

12% Not sure

 

27* How likely is it that the increased illegal immigration in the past few years was purposely allowed by the Biden administration?

 

44% Very likely

15% Somewhat likely

16% Not very likely

18% Not at all likely

  6% Not sure

 

28* In general, would you support or oppose legislation to grant amnesty to illegal aliens and allow them to become permanent U.S. residents?

 

17% Strongly agree

24% Somewhat agree

15% Somewhat disagree

37% Strongly disagree

  7% Not sure

 

29* Illegal immigration and border security are top issues for some Americans. Which aspect of illegal immigration and border security are most important to you?

 

33% Taxpayer resources going to immigrants here illegally

  9% Wage stagnation or depression

22% Crime

  6% Competition for working class jobs

  9% Sanctuary cities protecting criminal illegal aliens

22% Not sure

 

30* Would you support or oppose a policy of deporting all illegal aliens?

 

36% Strongly support

19% Somewhat support

17% Somewhat oppose

22% Strongly oppose

  6% Not sure

 

31* If given a choice between two candidates, one of whom favored granting amnesty to illegal aliens and one of whom favored deporting all illegal aliens, which candidate would you vote for?

 

36% Amnesty candidate

50% Deportation candidate

13% Not sure

 

32* In general, would you support or oppose legislation to give taxpayer-funded benefits to illegal aliens?

 

 8% Strongly support

18% Somewhat support

18% Somewhat oppose

48% Strongly oppose

  7% Not sure

 

33* Do you support having sanctuary cities in your state?

 

14% Strongly support

21% Somewhat support

12% Somewhat oppose

41% Strongly oppose

12% Not sure

 

34* Do you support or oppose legislation to implement E-Verify, which would make it harder for businesses to hire illegal aliens?

 

44% Strongly support

26% Somewhat support

12% Somewhat oppose

  9% Strongly oppose

10% Not sure

 

 

NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence