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Toplines - NUSA August 2024 Pennsylvania

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National Survey of 1,312 Pennsylvania Likely Voters
Conducted August 13-17, 2024, by Rasmussen Reports and NumbersUSA

 

1.     Biden Approval

 

28% Strongly approve

18% Somewhat approve

21% Somewhat disapprove

31% Strongly disapprove

 2% Not sure

 

2.     2020 Vote

 

49% Biden

47% Trump

  2% Other

  1% Didn't vote

  1% Not sure

 

3.     Likely 2024?

 

90% Very likely

  7% Somewhat likely

  2% Not very likely

  0% Not at all likely

  0% Not sure

 

4.     If the 2024 presidential election was held today, and the main candidates were Vice President Kamala Harris and Former President Donald Trump, who would you vote for??

 

46% Harris

47% Trump

  4% Other

  3% Not sure

 

5.     If the 2024 candidates for president were Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Cornel, West, Jill Stein and Chase Oliver, who would you vote for?

 

46% Harris

45% Trump

  5% Kennedy

  0% West

  1% Stein

  0% Oliver
  1% Other

              2% Not sure

Answered by 606 respondents who would vote for Kamala Harris:

 

6.     How enthusiastic are you about your vote for Kamala Harris, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not very enthusiastic, or not at all enthusiastic?

 

69% Very enthusiastic

19% Somewhat enthusiastic

  5% Not very enthusiastic

  5% Not at all enthusiastic

             1% Not sure

Answered by 583 respondents who would vote for Donald Trump:

 

7.     How enthusiastic are you about your vote for Donald Trump, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not very enthusiastic, or not at all enthusiastic?

 

75% Very enthusiastic

19% Somewhat enthusiastic

  5% Not very enthusiastic

  1% Not at all enthusiastic

  1% Not sure

8.     If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or for the Republican candidate?

 

47% Democrat

46% Republican

  7% Not sure

 

9.     For senate, would you vote for Democrat Bob Casey Jr. or Republican David McCormick?

 

46% Casey

43% McCormick

  5% Someone else

  6% Not sure

 

10.  Bob Casey Jr. has received an F- grade from the non-partisan think tank NumbersUSA for supporting illegal alien amnesty and votes against increased border security.  Does that make you more likely or less likely to support him?

 

24% More likely

44% Less likely

27% No difference

  6% Not sure

 

11.  When thinking about the elections for President, which of these is the most important to you?

 

3% Not sure

7% Violent crime

17% Border security

37% Economy

 6% Climate change

14% Abortion

 4% Global conflicts & war
 3% Education

 7% Government corruption

 3% Other

 

12.  Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Kamala Harris?

 

33% Very favorable

15% Somewhat favorable

 9% Somewhat unfavorable

41% Very unfavorable

 2% Not sure

 

13.  Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Donald Trump?

 

36% Very favorable

14% Somewhat favorable

 8% Somewhat unfavorable

41% Very unfavorable

 1% Not sure

 

14.  Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of JD Vance?

 

29% Very favorable

17% Somewhat favorable

12% Somewhat unfavorable

34% Very unfavorable

 8% Not sure

 

15.  Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Tim Walz?

 

30% Very favorable

15% Somewhat favorable

10% Somewhat unfavorable

37% Very unfavorable

 9% Not sure

 

16.  Importance of inflation when considering who to vote for in the 2024 election.

 

65% Very important

23% Somewhat important

 9% Not very important

 2% Not at all important

 1% Not sure

 

17.  Importance of the economy when considering who to vote for in the 2024 election.

 

65% Very important

23% Somewhat important

 9% Not very important

 2% Not at all important

 1% Not sure

 

18.  Importance of the economy when considering who to vote for in the 2024 election.

71% Very important

22% Somewhat important

 4% Not very important

 2% Not at all important

 1% Not sure

19.  Importance of abortion when considering who to vote for in the 2024 election.

 

48% Very important

20% Somewhat important

16% Not very important

13% Not at all important

 3% Not sure

20.  Importance of illegal immigration when considering who to vote for in the 2024 election.

 

56% Very important

24% Somewhat important

15% Not very important

 4% Not at all important

 1% Not sure

21.  Importance of government corruption when considering who to vote for in the 2024 election.

 

66% Very important

23% Somewhat important

 8% Not very important

 2% Not at all important

 1% Not sure

22.  Importance of education when considering who to vote for in the 2024 election.

      55% Very important
      34% Somewhat important
       7% Not very important
       3% Not at all important
       1% Not sure

23.  In general, have the immigration policies of the Biden administration been very successful, somewhat successful, somewhat unsuccessful or very unsuccessful?

      14% Very successful
      27% Somewhat successful
      13% Somewhat unsuccessful
      41% Very unsuccessful
       4% Not sure

24.  Would Kamala Harris’ immigration policies be better or worse than Joe Biden’s policies?

      27% Better
      32% Worse
      31% About the same
      10% Not sure

25.  When thinking about Former President Donald Trump’s presidency, were his immigration policies very successful, somewhat successful, somewhat unsuccessful or very unsuccessful?

      38% Very successful
      21% Somewhat successful
      13% Somewhat unsuccessful
      25% Very unsuccessful
       3% Not sure

26.  Would Donald Trump’s immigration policies be better or worse than Joe Biden’s policies?

      51% Better
      35% Worse
       9% About the same
       5% Not sure

27.  On the question of illegal immigration, is the government doing too much or too little to reduce illegal border crossings and visitor overstays?  Or is the level of action about right?

      11% Too much
      60% Too little
      18% About right
      10% Not sure

28.  Some people claim that the millions of illegal immigrants who have come to the U.S. in the last four years has created a severe shortage of housing, forcing rent prices and house price to rise. Do you agree or disagree?
 
      39% Strongly agree
      21% Somewhat agree
      15% Somewhat disagree
      19% Strongly disagree
       6% Not sure

29.  Is the situation at the US-Mexico border a crisis?
     
      62% Yes
      27% No
      12% Not sure

30.  How likely is it that the increased illegal immigration in the past few years was purposely allowed by the Biden administration?

      45% Very likely
      15% Somewhat likely
      16% Not very likely
      19% Not at all likely
       5% Not sure

31.  In general, would you support or oppose legislation to grant amnesty to illegal aliens and allow them to become permanent U.S. residents?

      15% Strongly support
      25% Somewhat support
      14% Somewhat oppose
      38% Strongly oppose
       7% Not sure

32.  Illegal immigration and border security are top issues for some Americans. Which aspect of illegal immigration and border security are most important to you?

      32% Taxpayer resources going to immigrants here illegally
       8% Wage stagnation or depression
      22% Crime
       6% Competition for working class jobs
       9% Sanctuary cities protecting criminal illegal aliens
      23% Not sure

33.  Would you support or oppose a policy of deporting all illegal aliens?
     
      38% Strongly support
      19% Somewhat support
      18% Somewhat oppose
      21% Strongly oppose
       4% Not sure

34.  If given a choice between two candidates, one of whom favored granting amnesty to illegal aliens and one of whom favored deporting all illegal aliens, which candidate would you vote for?

      35% Amnesty candidate
      53% Deportation candidate
      13% Not sure

35.  In general, would you support or oppose legislation to give taxpayer-funded benefits to illegal aliens?
     
       9% Strongly support
      16% Somewhat support
      19% Somewhat oppose
      49% Strongly oppose
       7% Not sure

36.  Do you support having sanctuary cities in your state?

      13% Strongly support
      21% Somewhat support
      12% Somewhat oppose
      43% Strongly oppose
      11% Not sure

37.  Do you support or oppose legislation to implement E-Verify, which would make it harder for businesses to hire illegal aliens?
     
      44% Strongly support
      27% Somewhat support
      11% Somewhat oppose
       9% Strongly oppose
      10% Not sure
     

NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence