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Toplines - NUSA August 2024 Arizona

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National Survey of 1,187 Arizona Likely Voters
Conducted August 13-17, 2024, by Rasmussen Reports and NumbersUSA

 

1.     Biden Approval

 

24% Strongly approve

20% Somewhat approve

28% Somewhat disapprove

27% Strongly disapprove

  2% Not sure

 

2.     2020 Vote

 

47% Biden

47% Trump

  3% Other

  3% Didn’t vote

  0% Not sure

 

3.     Likely 2024?

 

86% Very likely

11% Somewhat likely

  2% Not very likely

  0% Not at all likely

  0% Not sure

 

4.     If the 2024 presidential election was held today, and the main candidates were Vice President Kamala Harris and Former President Donald Trump, who would you vote for?

 

45% Harris

47% Trump

  4% Other

  3% Not sure

 

5.     If the 2024 candidates for president were Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Cornel, West, Jill Stein and Chase Oliver, who would you vote for?

 

44% Harris

45% Trump

  7% Kennedy

  1% West

  0% Stein

  0% Oliver
  0% Other

             3% Not sure

Answered by 526 respondents who would vote for Kamala Harris:

 

6.     How enthusiastic are you about your vote for Kamala Harris, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not very enthusiastic, or not at all enthusiastic?

 

 61% Very enthusiastic

 23% Somewhat enthusiastic

   9% Not very enthusiastic

   6% Not at all enthusiastic

   1% Not sure


Answered by 534 respondents who would vote for Donald Trump:

 

7.     How enthusiastic are you about your vote for Donald Trump, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not very enthusiastic, or not at all enthusiastic?

 

77% Very enthusiastic

18% Somewhat enthusiastic

  4% Not very enthusiastic

  0% Not at all enthusiastic

  0% Not sure

 

8.     If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or for the Republican candidate?

 

44% Democrat

48% Republican

  8% Not sure

 

9.     For senate, would you vote for Democrat Reuben Gallego or Republican Kari Lake?

 

48% Gallego

40% Lake

  6% Someone else

  6% Not sure

 

10.  Reuben Gallego has received an F- grade from the non-partisan think tank NumbersUSA for supporting illegal alien amnesty and votes against increased border security.  Does that make you more likely or less likely to support him?

 

23% More likely

41% Less likely

28% No difference

  7% Not sure

 

11.  When thinking about the elections for President, which of these is the most important to you?

 

  2% Not sure

  6% Violent crime

19% Border security

32% Economy

  8% Climate change

16% Abortion

  3% Global conflicts & war
  4% Education
  7% Government corruption
  3% Other

 

12.  Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Kamala Harris?

 

31% Very favorable

15% Somewhat favorable

  8% Somewhat unfavorable

42% Very unfavorable

  4% Not sure

 

13.  Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Donald Trump?

 

36% Very favorable

13% Somewhat favorable

  8% Somewhat unfavorable

41% Very unfavorable

  2% Not sure

 

14.  Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of JD Vance?

 

29% Very favorable

15% Somewhat favorable

11% Somewhat unfavorable

35% Very unfavorable

10% Not sure

 

15.  Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Tim Walz?

 

25% Very favorable

18% Somewhat favorable

12% Somewhat unfavorable

34% Very unfavorable

11% Not sure

 

16.  Importance of inflation when considering who to vote for in the 2024 election.

 

60% Very important

29% Somewhat important

 8% Not very important

 1% Not at all important

 2% Not sure

 

17.  Importance of the economy when considering who to vote for in the 2024 election.

 

70% Very important

24% Somewhat important

 4% Not very important

 1% Not at all important

 1% Not sure

 

18.  Importance of abortion when considering who to vote for in the 2024 election.

49% Very important

22% Somewhat important

16% Not very important

11% Not at all important

  2% Not sure

 

19.  Importance of illegal immigration when considering who to vote for in the 2024 election.

 

54% Very important

27% Somewhat important

14% Not very important

  3% Not at all important

  2% Not sure

 

20.  Importance of government corruption when considering who to vote for in the 2024 election.

 

64% Very important

24% Somewhat important

  8% Not very important

  2% Not at all important

  2% Not sure

 

21.  Importance of education when considering who to vote for in the 2024 election.

 

56% Very important

31% Somewhat important

  9% Not very important

  2% Not at all important

  1% Not sure

 

22.  In general, have the immigration policies of the Biden administration been very successful, somewhat successful, somewhat unsuccessful or very unsuccessful?

      14% Very successful
      26% Somewhat successful
      13% Somewhat unsuccessful
      43% Very unsuccessful
        4% Not sure

23.  Would Kamala Harris’ immigration policies be better or worse than Joe Biden’s policies?

      26% Better
      32% Worse
      33% About the same
        9% Not sure

24.  When thinking about Former President Donald Trump’s presidency, were his immigration policies very successful, somewhat successful, somewhat unsuccessful or very unsuccessful?

      39% Very successful
      20% Somewhat successful
      13% Somewhat unsuccessful
      24% Very unsuccessful
        4% Not sure

25.  Would Donald Trump’s immigration policies be better or worse than Joe Biden’s policies?

      50% Better
      35% Worse
      10% About the same
        5% Not sure

26.  On the question of illegal immigration, is the government doing too much or too little to reduce illegal border crossings and visitor overstays?  Or is the level of action about right?

      10% Too much
      64% Too little
      17% About right
        8% Not sure

27.  Some people claim that the millions of illegal immigrants who have come to the U.S. in the last four years has created a severe shortage of housing, forcing rent prices and house price to rise. Do you agree or disagree?

      36% Strongly agree
      23% Somewhat agree
      15% Somewhat disagree
      21% Strongly disagree
        6% Not sure

28.  Is the situation at the US-Mexico border a crisis?
 
      60% Yes
      30% No
      10% Not sure
 

29.  How likely is it that the increased illegal immigration in the past few years was purposely allowed by the Biden administration?

      44% Very likely
      14% Somewhat likely
      15% Not very likely
      21% Not at all likely
        6% Not sure

30.  In general, would you support or oppose legislation to grant amnesty to illegal aliens and allow them to become permanent U.S. residents?

      17% Strongly support
      24% Somewhat support
      17% Somewhat oppose
      33% Strongly oppose
        9% Not sure
     

31.  Illegal immigration and border security are top issues for some Americans. Which aspect of illegal immigration and border security are most important to you?

      33% Taxpayer resources going to immigrants here illegally
       8% Wage stagnation or depression
      24% Crime
       5% Competition for working class jobs
      10% Sanctuary cities protecting criminal illegal aliens
      20% Not sure

32.  Would you support or oppose a policy of deporting all illegal aliens?

      35% Strongly support
      20% Somewhat support
      16% Somewhat oppose
      22% Strongly oppose
        6% Not sure
 

33.  If given a choice between two candidates, one of whom favored granting amnesty to illegal aliens and one of whom favored deporting all illegal aliens, which candidate would you vote for?

      38% Amnesty candidate
      48% Deportation candidate
      14% Not sure

34.  In general, would you support or oppose legislation to give taxpayer-funded benefits to illegal aliens?

       7% Strongly support
      18% Somewhat support
      21% Somewhat oppose
      48% Strongly oppose
        6% Not sure

35.  Do you support having sanctuary cities in your state?

      11% Strongly support
      23% Somewhat support
      16% Somewhat oppose
      40% Strongly oppose
      10% Not sure

36.  Do you support or oppose legislation to implement E-Verify, which would make it harder for businesses to hire illegal aliens?
 
      49% Strongly support
      25% Somewhat support
      10% Somewhat oppose
        8% Strongly oppose
        8% Not sure

 

NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence