Toplines - AT Nov 2024 Arizona

Survey of 803 Arizona Likely Voters
Conducted October 25-29, 2024 by Rasmussen Reports and American Thinker

 

1.     2020 Vote

 

46% Biden

47% Trump

  7% Other

 

2.     2016 Vote

 

  37% Clinton

  48% Trump

  15% Other

 

3.     2016 and 2020 Vote

 

35% Clinton - Biden

42% Trump - Trump

  4% Clinton - Trump

  1% Trump - Biden

 17% Other

 

4.     When thinking about the elections for President and US Senate, which of these is the most important to you?

 

  2% Not sure

  5% Violent crime

23% Border security

33% The economy
  5% Climate change
16% Abortion
 3% Global conflicts & war
 2% Education
 6% Government corruption
 4% Other

 

5.     Which issue is the most important one for the next president to solve, abortion rights, illegal immigration, rising prices, or protecting our democracy?

 

21% Abortion rights

33% Illegal immigration

22% Rising prices
22% Protecting our democracy
  2% Not sure

 

6.     Thinking of the presidential election, how do you plan to vote this year?

 

24% In person on Election Day

18% Early in-person

56% Vote by mail
  1% Probably won't vote
  1% Not sure

 

7.     When do you plan to vote this year?

 

51% Already voted

18% This week

12% Next week / up to Election Day

16% In person, on Election Day

  3% Not sure

 

8.     If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?

 

44% Democrat

48% Republican

  3% Other

  5% Not sure

 

9.     If the election for Senate were held today, would you vote for Democrat Reuben Gallego or Republican Kari Lake?

 

48% Reuben Gallego

44% Kari Lake

  4% Other

  5% Not sure

 

10.  If the 2024 Presidential election were held today, and the candidates were Vice President Kamala Harris and Former President Donald Trump, who would you vote for?

 

46% Harris

48% Trump

  2% Other

  3% Not sure

 

11.  Harris Favorability

 

31% Very favorable

16% Somewhat favorable

  8% Somewhat unfavorable

43% Very unfavorable

  2% Not sure

 

12.  Trump Favorability

 

33% Very favorable

17% Somewhat favorable

  6% Somewhat unfavorable

42% Very unfavorable

  1% Not sure

 

13.  Are you better off than you were four years ago?

 

38% Yes

55% No

  7% Not sure

 

14.  Will today’s children be better off than their parents?

 

21% Yes

52% No

28% Not sure

 

15.  When considering legal immigration into the United States, which is closer to your thinking, that we need to increase immigration, decrease immigration, temporarily cut it off, or keep it about the same?

 

14% Increase

31% Decrease

24% Temporarily cutoff

21% Keep about the same

  9% Not sure

 

16.  How accurate is it to describe the current situation with migrants at the border with Mexico as an "invasion" of the United States?

 

39% Very accurate

18% Somewhat accurate

17% Not very accurate

20% Not at all accurate

 6% Not sure

 

17.  Do you support or oppose using the armed forces or national guard to stop the flow of illegal immigration at the US southern border?

38% Strongly support   

22% Somewhat support

16% Somewhat oppose

18% Strongly oppose   

  6% Not sure

 

18.  Who is most to blame for the millions of illegal immigrants that have come to the United States? George W. Bush, Barack Obama, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, somebody else, or none of them?

 

  5% Bush

  7% Obama

15% Trump
30% Biden
13% Harris
  4% Somebody else
 17% None of them
  9% Not sure

 

19.  How important is it to prevent cheating in elections?

 

78% Very important

11% Somewhat important

  5% Not very important
  3% Not at all important
  3% Not sure

 

20.  How likely is it that wider use of mail-in voting will lead to more cheating in elections?

 

26% Very likely

25% Somewhat likely

19% Not very likely
22% Not at all likely
  8% Not sure

 

21.  When it comes to determining who won an election, which is closer to your thinking?  The votes should all be counted on election day, or that it’s okay for election counts to take more than a day?

 

51% Counted on Election Day

44% Okay for more than one day

  6% Not sure

 

22.  Would you prefer to vote with a paper ballot, or with an electronic voting machine?

 

63% Paper Ballot

26% Electronic voting machine

11% Not sure

 

23.  Do electronic voting machines make it easier or harder to cheat in elections?

     40% Easier
     22% Harder
     38% Not sure

 

24.  Should every state require that ballots be available immediately after elections for bipartisan voters reviews to enhance election confidence and transparency?

 

59% Yes

16% No

25% Not sure

 

25.  Generally speaking, when it comes to abortion, are you pro choice or pro life?

 

55% Pro-choice

36% Pro-life

  9% Not sure

 

26.  Who do you trust more on the issue of abortion, kamala Harris, or Donald Trump?

 

48% Harris

46% Trump

  6% Not sure

 

27.  Should abortion be legal up to the first month of pregnancy, legal up to the third month of pregnancy, legal up to the 6th moth of pregnancy, legal at any time, or illegal?

 

18% 1 Mo.

32% 3 Mo.

12% 6 Mo.

19% Any time

13% Illegal
  7% Not sure

 

28.  Which candidate for president is the most competent, Kamala Harris or Donald Trump?

 

44% Harris

49% Trump

  4% Neither

  3% Not sure

 

29.  Which candidate represents a greater threat to democracy, kamala Harris, or Donald Trump?

 

            49% Harris

            46% Trump
              5% Not sure

 

30.  Which cable TV news channel would you be most likely to trust?  CNN, MSNBC, Fox News, or Newsmax?

 

20% CNN

17% MSNBC

28% Fox News

11% Newsmax

19% None of them
  5% Not sure

 

NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence