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Election 2024: Trump Leads in Five of Six Battlegrounds - Demographics

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Survey of 5,605 Battleground State Likely Voters (AZ, NV, GA, PA, WI, MI)
Conducted July 5-12, 2024 By Rasmussen Reports and the Heartland Institute
Total Gender Age Race Political Party Party w/ Leaners Ideology Education Income Where Do You Live Who did you vote for in the 2020 Presidential Election? President Joe Biden or Former President Donald Trump? US Citizen? How likely are you to vote in the 2024 general election in November? Biden Favorability Trump Favorability If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?
LV's Men Women 18-39 40-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other Democrat Republican Other Democrat Republican Other Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure No diploma HS diploma Some college College deg. Graduate deg. Not sure <$30k $30-50k $50-100k $100-200k >$200k Not sure Urban Suburban Rural Biden Trump Other Didn't vote Not sure Yes No Not sure Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not at all likely Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Democrat Republican Other Not sure
        5,605         2,634         2,971         1,682         2,466         1,457          4,148            785              448                224           2,018             2,018             1,569           2,368                 2,525              712                 2,436           1,839             1,246                  84                    183               1,129                 1,247               1,901                 1,126              19             893             1,232           1,830             1,038            331              280         1,457                 2,971                 1,177                 2,690                 2,634                    104                    140                      36         5,493                  64                      48                 4,941                    516                      89                      19                      41                 1,390                 1,088                    556                 2,496                      76                 1,817                 1,027                    364                 2,324                      73                 2,385                 2,626                    184                    410
Total Gender Age Race Political Party Party w/ Leaners Ideology Education Income Where Do You Live Who did you vote for in the 2020 Presidential Election? President Joe Biden or Former President Donald Trump? US Citizen? How likely are you to vote in the 2024 general election in November? Biden Favorability Trump Favorability If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?
LV's Men Women 18-39 40-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other Democrat Republican Other Democrat Republican Other Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure No diploma HS diploma Some college College deg. Graduate deg. Not sure <$30k $30-50k $50-100k $100-200k >$200k Not sure Urban Suburban Rural Biden Trump Other Didn't vote Not sure Yes No Not sure Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not at all likely Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Democrat Republican Other Not sure
If the 2024 Presidential election were held today, and the candidates were President Joe Biden and Former President Donald Trump, who would you vote for? Biden 44% 41% 46% 44% 42% 46% 41% 64% 37% 34% 85% 10% 34% 85% 9% 30% 17% 52% 84% 29% 48% 40% 38% 43% 54% 49% 44% 43% 42% 48% 48% 35% 46% 46% 35% 86% 3% 9% 25% 11% 44% 43% 40% 44% 42% 30% 38% 22% 96% 81% 33% 2% 10% 8% 11% 39% 87% 44% 91% 4% 17% 33%
Trump 49% 52% 46% 44% 50% 51% 52% 28% 54% 54% 10% 87% 50% 9% 87% 46% 79% 37% 7% 33% 42% 52% 54% 49% 41% 46% 47% 50% 51% 46% 43% 56% 45% 47% 57% 8% 92% 29% 41% 17% 49% 53% 47% 50% 39% 46% 32% 21% 4% 12% 44% 91% 38% 92% 82% 41% 3% 8% 4% 92% 30% 38%
Other 5% 4% 6% 8% 5% 2% 5% 5% 7% 9% 4% 2% 11% 5% 3% 16% 2% 7% 7% 21% 7% 5% 6% 6% 4% 2% 6% 5% 5% 5% 6% 4% 6% 4% 6% 5% 3% 57% 25% 9% 5% 3% 10% 4% 12% 17% 12% 7% 0% 3% 17% 6% 12% 0% 3% 14% 8% 10% 4% 2% 49% 12%
Not sure 2% 2% 3% 4% 3% 1% 2% 4% 2% 4% 1% 1% 5% 1% 2% 8% 1% 4% 2% 17% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 2% 3% 3% 2% 1% 3% 5% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 5% 9% 63% 2% 0% 3% 1% 7% 7% 17% 51% 0% 3% 6% 1% 39% 0% 3% 6% 2% 38% 1% 1% 5% 17%
Total Gender Age Race Political Party Party w/ Leaners Ideology Education Income Where Do You Live Who did you vote for in the 2020 Presidential Election? President Joe Biden or Former President Donald Trump? US Citizen? How likely are you to vote in the 2024 general election in November? Biden Favorability Trump Favorability If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?
LV's Men Women 18-39 40-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other Democrat Republican Other Democrat Republican Other Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure No diploma HS diploma Some college College deg. Graduate deg. Not sure <$30k $30-50k $50-100k $100-200k >$200k Not sure Urban Suburban Rural Biden Trump Other Didn't vote Not sure Yes No Not sure Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not at all likely Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Democrat Republican Other Not sure
If the candidates were Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Chase Oliver, Cornell West, and Jill Stein, who would you vote for? Biden 40% 38% 43% 37% 40% 45% 39% 58% 29% 30% 80% 9% 30% 79% 8% 28% 14% 49% 79% 29% 42% 35% 35% 40% 52% 49% 41% 38% 39% 45% 46% 33% 43% 43% 31% 81% 2% 7% 20% 4% 41% 24% 28% 42% 33% 17% 25% 15% 93% 73% 26% 1% 4% 7% 8% 31% 83% 40% 86% 3% 13% 29%
Trump 46% 50% 43% 40% 47% 51% 50% 24% 49% 50% 9% 84% 46% 9% 82% 43% 77% 33% 7% 29% 45% 49% 50% 47% 39% 37% 46% 47% 46% 43% 41% 59% 42% 45% 55% 7% 88% 25% 31% 9% 46% 53% 54% 48% 32% 35% 28% 32% 4% 13% 38% 87% 33% 91% 76% 29% 2% 1% 4% 88% 25% 36%
Kennedy 7% 7% 7% 12% 6% 2% 6% 10% 12% 5% 6% 5% 11% 7% 6% 12% 5% 10% 6% 9% 4% 10% 8% 7% 4% 11% 6% 8% 9% 6% 5% 2% 8% 6% 8% 7% 6% 19% 21% 18% 7% 9% 13% 5% 18% 27% 11% 14% 2% 8% 21% 6% 11% 2% 10% 25% 7% 10% 6% 6% 34% 8%
Oliver 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 2% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 7% 0% 2% 0% 5% 0% 0% 1% 4% 1% 4% 0% 0% 1% 0% 3% 0% 1% 1% 0% 3% 0% 0% 2% 1%
West 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 2% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 4% 2% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 10% 1% 0% 1% 2% 1% 2% 0% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 0% 3% 1%
Stein 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 0% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 0% 2% 1% 0% 3% 0% 1% 2% 6% 0% 1% 1% 2% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 15% 4% 2% 1% 2% 0% 1% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 2% 1% 0% 1% 3% 2% 2% 1% 0% 9% 2%
Other 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 4% 1% 0% 3% 1% 0% 5% 1% 1% 2% 2% 0% 1% 2% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 13% 10% 12% 1% 2% 0% 1% 2% 6% 3% 4% 0% 1% 3% 1% 1% 0% 1% 2% 2% 0% 1% 0% 9% 4%
Not sure 3% 2% 4% 5% 3% 1% 3% 3% 4% 7% 2% 2% 6% 2% 3% 8% 2% 5% 2% 25% 6% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 4% 4% 2% 2% 3% 6% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 10% 13% 54% 3% 4% 5% 2% 10% 6% 21% 30% 0% 4% 7% 2% 45% 0% 3% 8% 3% 41% 2% 2% 5% 19%
Total Gender Age Race Political Party Party w/ Leaners Ideology Education Income Where Do You Live Who did you vote for in the 2020 Presidential Election? President Joe Biden or Former President Donald Trump? US Citizen? How likely are you to vote in the 2024 general election in November? Biden Favorability Trump Favorability If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?
LV's Men Women 18-39 40-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other Democrat Republican Other Democrat Republican Other Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure No diploma HS diploma Some college College deg. Graduate deg. Not sure <$30k $30-50k $50-100k $100-200k >$200k Not sure Urban Suburban Rural Biden Trump Other Didn't vote Not sure Yes No Not sure Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not at all likely Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Democrat Republican Other Not sure
If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate? Democrat 43% 38% 46% 44% 40% 45% 40% 61% 34% 40% 87% 8% 31% 86% 7% 24% 15% 50% 89% 18% 44% 36% 39% 42% 53% 47% 43% 42% 42% 46% 45% 33% 46% 44% 34% 82% 4% 21% 34% 21% 43% 22% 28% 43% 40% 21% 37% 23% 90% 76% 34% 4% 9% 8% 10% 36% 85% 34% 100% 0% 0% 0%
Republican 47% 51% 43% 40% 49% 51% 51% 25% 50% 47% 8% 89% 43% 7% 87% 37% 79% 33% 6% 25% 41% 51% 48% 48% 41% 32% 43% 49% 47% 45% 46% 56% 43% 45% 56% 9% 87% 30% 38% 15% 47% 55% 39% 48% 40% 37% 24% 20% 5% 13% 40% 87% 38% 88% 73% 38% 5% 8% 0% 100% 0% 0%
Other 3% 3% 3% 6% 3% 1% 3% 4% 6% 5% 2% 1% 8% 2% 2% 14% 2% 4% 3% 19% 3% 5% 3% 3% 2% 10% 5% 3% 3% 4% 1% 2% 4% 3% 3% 2% 3% 35% 10% 13% 3% 13% 21% 2% 9% 26% 7% 6% 1% 2% 9% 4% 6% 1% 4% 11% 3% 7% 0% 0% 100% 0%
Not sure 7% 7% 7% 10% 8% 3% 6% 10% 10% 8% 4% 3% 18% 5% 5% 25% 4% 14% 3% 38% 12% 8% 9% 7% 5% 11% 9% 6% 8% 5% 8% 10% 7% 8% 6% 7% 6% 14% 18% 51% 7% 10% 12% 6% 11% 16% 32% 51% 4% 9% 16% 5% 47% 2% 13% 16% 6% 50% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Survey Demographics
Total
LV's
Gender Men 47%
Women 53%
Total
LV's
Age 18-39 30%
40-64 44%
65+ 26%
Total
LV's
Race White 74%
Black 14%
Hispanic 8%
Other 4%
Total
LV's
Political Party Democrat 36%
Republican 36%
Other 28%
Total
LV's
Where Do You Live Urban 26%
Suburban 53%
Rural 21%
Total
LV's
State Nevada 6%
Arizona 13%
Wisconsin 13%
Pennsylvania 27%
Michigan 22%
Georgia 19%
Survey of 1,101 Arizona Likely Voters
Conducted July 5-12, 2024 By Rasmussen Reports and the Heartland Institute
Total Gender Age Race Political Party Party w/ Leaners Ideology Education Income Where Do You Live Where do you live in Arizona? Who did you vote for in the 2020 Presidential Election? President Joe Biden or Former President Donald Trump? US Citizen? How likely are you to vote in the 2024 general election in November? Biden Favorability Trump Favorability If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?
LV's Men Women 18-39 40-64 65+ White Black Other Democrat Republican Other Democrat Republican Other Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure No diploma HS diploma Some college College deg. Graduate deg. Not sure <$30k $30-50k $50-100k $100-200k >$200k Not sure Urban Suburban Rural Maricopa Pima Other Biden Trump Other Didn't vote Not sure Yes No Not sure Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not at all likely Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Democrat Republican Other Not sure
        1,101            528            573            330            440            330            782              72              247                319              385                396                421              491                   189              442                   385              257                  17                  22                    194                  267                    398                  215                       4            187             224               374             205                 60              51              275            606                    220                    661                    176                    264                    517                    517                      27              32                   8                 1,086                      10                       5                    938                    128                      22                       5                       7                    233                    237                    120                    492                      18                    360                    191                      82                    454                      13                    449                    492            48           113
Total Gender Age Race Political Party Party w/ Leaners Ideology Education Income Where Do You Live Where do you live in Arizona? Who did you vote for in the 2020 Presidential Election? President Joe Biden or Former President Donald Trump? US Citizen? How likely are you to vote in the 2024 general election in November? Biden Favorability Trump Favorability If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?
LV's Men Women 18-39 40-64 65+ White Black Other Democrat Republican Other Democrat Republican Other Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure No diploma HS diploma Some college College deg. Graduate deg. Not sure <$30k $30-50k $50-100k $100-200k >$200k Not sure Urban Suburban Rural Maricopa Pima Other Biden Trump Other Didn't vote Not sure Yes No Not sure Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not at all likely Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Democrat Republican Other Not sure
If the 2024 Presidential election were held today, and the candidates were President Joe Biden and Former President Donald Trump, who would you vote for? Biden 41% 39% 42% 35% 40% 47% 43% 57% 29% 81% 11% 38% 80% 10% 32% 12% 49% 78% 18% 43% 34% 30% 43% 54% 6% 34% 40% 45% 39% 39% 48% 41% 42% 35% 38% 57% 37% 82% 3% 5% 25% 0% 41% 5% 82% 42% 31% 27% 76% 70% 94% 78% 24% 2% 22% 5% 8% 31% 85% 33% 86% 4% 11% 34%
Trump 50% 53% 46% 50% 48% 51% 49% 35% 56% 11% 86% 46% 10% 85% 46% 82% 40% 7% 63% 40% 54% 60% 46% 39% 94% 55% 51% 47% 50% 47% 46% 47% 49% 54% 50% 38% 56% 9% 93% 22% 41% 48% 49% 90% 18% 50% 48% 54% 24% 0% 4% 15% 50% 88% 39% 95% 85% 31% 3% 13% 6% 93% 40% 38%
Other 7% 5% 9% 11% 8% 2% 6% 6% 11% 7% 2% 12% 9% 2% 16% 4% 6% 13% 14% 5% 9% 7% 8% 4% 0% 8% 6% 7% 6% 13% 5% 8% 7% 6% 9% 4% 4% 8% 3% 46% 29% 0% 7% 5% 0% 7% 12% 7% 0% 0% 1% 6% 15% 8% 2% 0% 1% 26% 12% 3% 8% 2% 41% 11%
Not sure 3% 2% 3% 4% 4% 0% 2% 2% 5% 2% 2% 5% 1% 3% 6% 2% 4% 2% 6% 12% 2% 3% 3% 2% 0% 3% 3% 1% 6% 0% 2% 3% 2% 5% 3% 2% 4% 2% 2% 27% 6% 52% 3% 0% 0% 1% 9% 13% 0% 30% 0% 1% 11% 2% 37% 0% 5% 11% 1% 51% 1% 1% 8% 18%
Total Gender Age Race Political Party Party w/ Leaners Ideology Education Income Where Do You Live Where do you live in Arizona? Who did you vote for in the 2020 Presidential Election? President Joe Biden or Former President Donald Trump? US Citizen? How likely are you to vote in the 2024 general election in November? Biden Favorability Trump Favorability If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?
LV's Men Women 18-39 40-64 65+ White Black Other Democrat Republican Other Democrat Republican Other Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure No diploma HS diploma Some college College deg. Graduate deg. Not sure <$30k $30-50k $50-100k $100-200k >$200k Not sure Urban Suburban Rural Maricopa Pima Other Biden Trump Other Didn't vote Not sure Yes No Not sure Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not at all likely Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Democrat Republican Other Not sure
If the candidates were Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Chase Oliver, Cornell West, and Jill Stein, who would you vote for? Biden 37% 37% 37% 27% 38% 45% 42% 45% 20% 74% 10% 33% 73% 8% 31% 9% 46% 72% 18% 33% 26% 28% 41% 52% 0% 27% 31% 45% 36% 34% 47% 39% 39% 28% 35% 50% 33% 76% 2% 0% 13% 0% 37% 5% 57% 40% 19% 12% 76% 13% 96% 65% 16% 2% 7% 4% 4% 25% 80% 21% 80% 3% 4% 27%
Trump 46% 50% 42% 44% 43% 51% 45% 34% 50% 10% 81% 40% 9% 79% 39% 77% 35% 6% 63% 51% 51% 56% 41% 35% 94% 54% 47% 43% 43% 38% 46% 45% 43% 54% 44% 36% 55% 7% 87% 22% 26% 6% 45% 90% 18% 46% 43% 38% 24% 0% 1% 15% 46% 81% 39% 95% 73% 19% 1% 0% 5% 87% 40% 32%
Kennedy 9% 8% 10% 19% 7% 2% 6% 15% 16% 8% 7% 12% 10% 8% 11% 8% 9% 10% 5% 1% 13% 8% 10% 6% 0% 8% 12% 9% 10% 8% 0% 7% 9% 10% 11% 6% 6% 9% 6% 18% 36% 21% 9% 0% 25% 7% 19% 17% 0% 56% 1% 9% 16% 11% 15% 2% 17% 34% 7% 0% 8% 7% 25% 13%
Oliver 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 6% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5% 0% 0% 0% 8% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 13% 0% 0% 0% 2%
West 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 0% 1% 5% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 0% 1% 0% 3% 0% 0% 0% 2% 1% 2% 0% 2% 1% 0% 1% 6% 0% 1% 2% 0% 1% 3% 0% 2% 0% 1% 5% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 2% 11% 0% 0% 0% 2% 5% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 2% 0% 1% 1% 0% 4%
Stein 1% 1% 2% 3% 1% 0% 1% 1% 2% 2% 0% 2% 1% 0% 4% 0% 1% 4% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 0% 2% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 9% 7% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 2% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 11% 2% 0% 6% 1%
Other 2% 1% 3% 2% 3% 1% 1% 0% 4% 1% 0% 4% 1% 0% 8% 2% 2% 2% 0% 0% 4% 1% 1% 3% 0% 4% 1% 1% 0% 12% 0% 1% 2% 2% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 15% 2% 40% 2% 0% 0% 2% 4% 5% 0% 0% 0% 2% 3% 3% 0% 0% 3% 3% 3% 0% 2% 0% 12% 5%
Not sure 4% 2% 6% 3% 7% 1% 4% 1% 6% 4% 2% 7% 3% 4% 6% 2% 7% 2% 8% 12% 5% 3% 5% 2% 0% 4% 4% 2% 9% 0% 7% 4% 4% 6% 4% 3% 5% 4% 2% 35% 10% 34% 4% 0% 0% 3% 12% 10% 0% 30% 0% 5% 12% 2% 39% 0% 2% 16% 4% 54% 2% 2% 13% 16%
Total Gender Age Race Political Party Party w/ Leaners Ideology Education Income Where Do You Live Where do you live in Arizona? Who did you vote for in the 2020 Presidential Election? President Joe Biden or Former President Donald Trump? US Citizen? How likely are you to vote in the 2024 general election in November? Biden Favorability Trump Favorability If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?
LV's Men Women 18-39 40-64 65+ White Black Other Democrat Republican Other Democrat Republican Other Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure No diploma HS diploma Some college College deg. Graduate deg. Not sure <$30k $30-50k $50-100k $100-200k >$200k Not sure Urban Suburban Rural Maricopa Pima Other Biden Trump Other Didn't vote Not sure Yes No Not sure Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not at all likely Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Democrat Republican Other Not sure
If the elections for US Senate were being held today, and the candidates were Democrat Ruben Gallego and Republican Kari Lake, who would you vote for? Gallego 44% 42% 45% 39% 44% 48% 47% 56% 28% 80% 15% 42% 82% 15% 33% 16% 50% 84% 18% 32% 33% 32% 51% 55% 30% 31% 42% 47% 46% 59% 45% 50% 47% 28% 45% 55% 33% 83% 7% 12% 41% 0% 44% 11% 26% 45% 37% 22% 49% 0% 90% 77% 40% 8% 1% 5% 15% 28% 89% 25% 88% 9% 8% 36%
Lake 41% 42% 40% 32% 44% 47% 39% 32% 50% 11% 74% 34% 9% 72% 32% 71% 30% 7% 3% 62% 38% 54% 37% 34% 56% 50% 39% 40% 38% 32% 45% 39% 40% 46% 39% 35% 50% 10% 74% 39% 16% 21% 41% 55% 65% 42% 38% 15% 24% 25% 7% 11% 29% 75% 29% 83% 55% 38% 3% 32% 5% 80% 19% 24%
Other 7% 8% 6% 15% 5% 3% 7% 2% 11% 3% 6% 12% 5% 7% 13% 7% 8% 4% 56% 0% 15% 7% 4% 7% 0% 9% 8% 7% 7% 4% 6% 5% 7% 11% 8% 6% 7% 3% 10% 35% 10% 0% 7% 34% 0% 6% 12% 49% 0% 38% 0% 5% 14% 10% 15% 4% 19% 12% 4% 0% 4% 6% 57% 2%
Not sure 8% 8% 8% 14% 8% 2% 7% 10% 10% 6% 6% 12% 5% 6% 21% 6% 12% 4% 24% 6% 15% 8% 7% 4% 14% 10% 11% 6% 9% 5% 4% 6% 6% 15% 8% 5% 10% 4% 9% 14% 33% 79% 8% 0% 10% 7% 14% 14% 27% 38% 3% 7% 17% 7% 55% 8% 11% 21% 4% 43% 3% 5% 17% 39%
Total Gender Age Race Political Party Party w/ Leaners Ideology Education Income Where Do You Live Where do you live in Arizona? Who did you vote for in the 2020 Presidential Election? President Joe Biden or Former President Donald Trump? US Citizen? How likely are you to vote in the 2024 general election in November? Biden Favorability Trump Favorability If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?
LV's Men Women 18-39 40-64 65+ White Black Other Democrat Republican Other Democrat Republican Other Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure No diploma HS diploma Some college College deg. Graduate deg. Not sure <$30k $30-50k $50-100k $100-200k >$200k Not sure Urban Suburban Rural Maricopa Pima Other Biden Trump Other Didn't vote Not sure Yes No Not sure Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not at all likely Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Democrat Republican Other Not sure
If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate? Democrat 41% 37% 44% 41% 38% 45% 42% 55% 33% 84% 9% 37% 84% 7% 31% 12% 45% 85% 16% 25% 38% 32% 41% 56% 6% 33% 43% 44% 39% 39% 45% 42% 42% 36% 42% 48% 33% 78% 6% 12% 42% 0% 41% 5% 34% 41% 40% 19% 76% 70% 91% 72% 23% 7% 35% 5% 10% 31% 84% 21% 100% 0% 0% 0%
Republican 45% 48% 41% 40% 44% 51% 46% 32% 44% 6% 86% 36% 5% 85% 28% 80% 32% 4% 3% 58% 44% 54% 41% 38% 56% 47% 45% 40% 49% 47% 47% 45% 44% 46% 44% 36% 53% 9% 82% 34% 25% 21% 45% 67% 0% 46% 39% 33% 24% 0% 4% 14% 43% 80% 26% 89% 67% 35% 4% 0% 0% 100% 0% 0%
Other 4% 4% 5% 9% 4% 1% 4% 0% 7% 2% 2% 9% 2% 2% 15% 3% 4% 3% 51% 5% 9% 4% 4% 1% 0% 9% 3% 6% 0% 0% 2% 4% 5% 4% 6% 3% 1% 2% 5% 31% 3% 21% 4% 28% 39% 3% 9% 32% 0% 0% 0% 1% 14% 6% 0% 2% 8% 12% 3% 0% 0% 0% 100% 0%
Not sure 10% 10% 10% 11% 15% 4% 8% 13% 16% 8% 3% 19% 10% 5% 25% 4% 18% 7% 30% 12% 8% 10% 14% 5% 38% 11% 8% 11% 12% 14% 6% 9% 9% 15% 9% 13% 13% 10% 8% 23% 30% 58% 10% 0% 26% 10% 12% 16% 0% 30% 5% 13% 21% 8% 39% 4% 15% 22% 9% 79% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Survey Demographics
Total
LV's
Gender Men 48%
Women 52%
Total
LV's
Age 18-39 30%
40-64 40%
65+ 30%
Total
LV's
Race White 71%
Black 7%
Other 22%
Total
LV's
Political Party Democrat 29%
Republican 35%
Other 36%
Total
LV's
Where Do You Live Urban 25%
Suburban 55%
Rural 20%
Total
LV's
Where do you live in Arizona? Maricopa 60%
Pima 16%
Other 24%
Survey of 1,015 Georgia Likely Voters
Conducted July 5-8, 2024 By Rasmussen Reports and the Heartland Institute
Total Gender Age Race Political Party Party w/ Leaners Ideology Education Income Where Do You Live? Where In Georgia do you live? Who did you vote for in the 2020 Presidential Election? President Joe Biden or Former President Donald Trump? Are you a US citizen? How likely are you to vote in the 2024 general election in November? Biden Favorability Trump Favorability If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?
LV's Men Women 18-39 40-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other Democrat Republican Other Democrat Republican Other Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure No diploma HS diploma Some college College deg. Graduate deg. Not sure <$30k $30-50k $50-100k $100-200k >$200k Not sure Urban Suburban Rural Atlanta metro Atlanta suburbs North Georgia Central Georgia Somewhere else Biden Trump Other Didn't vote Not sure Yes No Not sure Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not at all likely Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Democrat Republican Other Not sure
        1,015            467            548            355            457            203            609            294                81                  30              345                376                294              413                   473              129                   436              382                179                  18                      32                  209                    237                  365                    167               4             151               228             337               179              74                47            223                    609                    183                    213                    274                    193                    114                    221            477                477                      16                      33                      12                    992                       8                      15                    875                    105                      22                       2                      11                    270                    193                      92                    440                      19                    313                    222                      76                    384            20           410           492            43            70
Total Gender Age Race Political Party Party w/ Leaners Ideology Education Income Where Do You Live? Where In Georgia do you live? Who did you vote for in the 2020 Presidential Election? President Joe Biden or Former President Donald Trump? Are you a US citizen? How likely are you to vote in the 2024 general election in November? Biden Favorability Trump Favorability If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?
LV's Men Women 18-39 40-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other Democrat Republican Other Democrat Republican Other Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure No diploma HS diploma Some college College deg. Graduate deg. Not sure <$30k $30-50k $50-100k $100-200k >$200k Not sure Urban Suburban Rural Atlanta metro Atlanta suburbs North Georgia Central Georgia Somewhere else Biden Trump Other Didn't vote Not sure Yes No Not sure Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not at all likely Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Democrat Republican Other Not sure
If the 2024 Presidential election were held today, and the candidates were President Joe Biden and Former President Donald Trump, who would you vote for? Biden 43% 38% 47% 49% 37% 43% 27% 72% 52% 45% 88% 7% 35% 89% 6% 28% 21% 50% 84% 23% 31% 45% 38% 42% 51% 21% 37% 39% 45% 47% 51% 31% 47% 44% 35% 41% 55% 36% 34% 39% 86% 3% 7% 24% 28% 43% 63% 44% 44% 39% 9% 10% 21% 95% 76% 17% 3% 8% 12% 15% 44% 84% 23% 93% 6% 13% 24%
Trump 48% 55% 42% 38% 53% 55% 65% 17% 37% 44% 5% 90% 46% 5% 88% 42% 76% 37% 7% 16% 64% 46% 53% 47% 45% 61% 54% 51% 43% 49% 46% 54% 46% 46% 60% 55% 38% 54% 51% 48% 7% 93% 31% 34% 0% 48% 37% 51% 50% 35% 48% 23% 47% 4% 13% 55% 91% 32% 88% 75% 43% 3% 17% 3% 92% 18% 29%
Other 5% 4% 7% 9% 5% 2% 5% 6% 9% 7% 5% 1% 11% 4% 4% 14% 2% 8% 6% 20% 4% 4% 4% 8% 3% 0% 6% 3% 9% 4% 0% 7% 5% 6% 2% 2% 5% 4% 14% 6% 5% 3% 62% 27% 0% 5% 0% 0% 3% 16% 37% 0% 0% 1% 4% 24% 4% 7% 1% 5% 7% 9% 8% 3% 1% 68% 9%
Not sure 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 1% 4% 5% 1% 4% 3% 1% 8% 2% 2% 16% 1% 5% 3% 41% 0% 5% 4% 3% 2% 18% 3% 7% 3% 0% 3% 8% 3% 4% 4% 2% 3% 6% 1% 6% 3% 2% 0% 15% 72% 4% 0% 5% 2% 10% 6% 67% 32% 0% 7% 4% 2% 53% 0% 4% 6% 3% 51% 2% 1% 1% 38%
Total Gender Age Race Political Party Party w/ Leaners Ideology Education Income Where Do You Live? Where In Georgia do you live? Who did you vote for in the 2020 Presidential Election? President Joe Biden or Former President Donald Trump? Are you a US citizen? How likely are you to vote in the 2024 general election in November? Biden Favorability Trump Favorability If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?
LV's Men Women 18-39 40-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other Democrat Republican Other Democrat Republican Other Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure No diploma HS diploma Some college College deg. Graduate deg. Not sure <$30k $30-50k $50-100k $100-200k >$200k Not sure Urban Suburban Rural Atlanta metro Atlanta suburbs North Georgia Central Georgia Somewhere else Biden Trump Other Didn't vote Not sure Yes No Not sure Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not at all likely Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Democrat Republican Other Not sure
If the candidates were Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Chase Oliver, Cornell West, and Jill Stein, who would you vote for? Biden 39% 34% 43% 40% 37% 41% 25% 67% 44% 44% 79% 8% 32% 80% 6% 26% 18% 47% 74% 32% 31% 40% 34% 38% 49% 21% 35% 33% 40% 45% 50% 33% 44% 39% 31% 38% 51% 33% 29% 35% 78% 2% 10% 15% 13% 39% 45% 31% 40% 35% 20% 10% 21% 90% 65% 15% 2% 8% 9% 14% 28% 80% 23% 84% 5% 24% 20%
Trump 44% 51% 38% 34% 48% 54% 61% 11% 37% 42% 5% 85% 38% 4% 81% 36% 72% 32% 7% 16% 48% 42% 46% 45% 40% 61% 49% 47% 39% 42% 47% 56% 42% 42% 55% 49% 34% 51% 47% 46% 6% 85% 25% 32% 0% 44% 46% 53% 47% 26% 22% 0% 47% 4% 13% 45% 84% 9% 87% 66% 26% 2% 0% 3% 85% 13% 18%
Kennedy 10% 8% 11% 17% 7% 3% 8% 13% 13% 5% 12% 4% 14% 10% 7% 16% 7% 13% 8% 10% 13% 12% 11% 9% 5% 0% 9% 10% 14% 9% 0% 0% 8% 10% 10% 6% 7% 11% 18% 11% 10% 8% 28% 20% 17% 10% 0% 10% 8% 21% 42% 23% 0% 4% 13% 27% 7% 22% 2% 13% 29% 10% 17% 10% 6% 45% 7%
Chase Oliver 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cornell West 1% 1% 1% 0% 2% 0% 0% 2% 2% 0% 1% 0% 2% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 3% 0% 0% 1% 1% 2% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 4% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 5% 0% 3% 0% 1% 0% 2%
Jill Stein 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 3% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 3% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 2% 4%
Other 1% 0% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 3% 0% 0% 2% 0% 2% 2% 1% 3% 1% 0% 5% 0% 0% 0% 3% 1% 2% 0% 1% 2% 2% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 3% 0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 11% 13% 23% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 7% 0% 14% 0% 2% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 3% 0% 1% 0% 8% 4%
Not sure 5% 5% 5% 6% 5% 1% 5% 5% 5% 5% 2% 2% 12% 3% 3% 16% 2% 7% 4% 42% 7% 6% 6% 5% 1% 18% 6% 9% 3% 2% 3% 9% 4% 6% 3% 4% 3% 6% 6% 6% 4% 3% 22% 16% 47% 5% 8% 5% 3% 14% 6% 67% 17% 2% 7% 6% 3% 59% 1% 6% 8% 4% 57% 2% 1% 7% 45%
Total Gender Age Race Political Party Party w/ Leaners Ideology Education Income Where Do You Live? Where In Georgia do you live? Who did you vote for in the 2020 Presidential Election? President Joe Biden or Former President Donald Trump? Are you a US citizen? How likely are you to vote in the 2024 general election in November? Biden Favorability Trump Favorability If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?
LV's Men Women 18-39 40-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other Democrat Republican Other Democrat Republican Other Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure No diploma HS diploma Some college College deg. Graduate deg. Not sure <$30k $30-50k $50-100k $100-200k >$200k Not sure Urban Suburban Rural Atlanta metro Atlanta suburbs North Georgia Central Georgia Somewhere else Biden Trump Other Didn't vote Not sure Yes No Not sure Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not at all likely Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Democrat Republican Other Not sure
If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate? Democrat 40% 35% 45% 43% 38% 41% 26% 70% 40% 44% 89% 5% 29% 87% 4% 22% 16% 49% 85% 12% 26% 38% 39% 40% 50% 21% 31% 38% 45% 45% 47% 25% 43% 42% 33% 40% 50% 34% 38% 36% 80% 2% 3% 27% 53% 41% 63% 23% 43% 28% 21% 10% 21% 86% 73% 29% 2% 0% 9% 12% 39% 85% 5% 100% 0% 0% 0%
Republican 48% 54% 44% 40% 52% 55% 64% 19% 42% 39% 6% 92% 42% 6% 89% 37% 78% 34% 9% 31% 51% 51% 47% 48% 46% 61% 55% 52% 42% 50% 44% 55% 46% 46% 60% 53% 41% 54% 49% 48% 10% 90% 22% 38% 0% 48% 28% 60% 50% 39% 31% 23% 47% 9% 14% 52% 89% 10% 87% 74% 44% 5% 3% 0% 100% 0% 0%
Other 4% 3% 6% 8% 3% 0% 3% 4% 14% 7% 2% 1% 11% 2% 3% 16% 2% 6% 4% 8% 8% 5% 4% 5% 1% 0% 7% 2% 5% 3% 3% 5% 6% 4% 3% 2% 4% 2% 11% 5% 3% 3% 55% 19% 0% 4% 9% 6% 2% 13% 31% 0% 0% 3% 5% 10% 3% 9% 2% 4% 8% 5% 4% 0% 0% 100% 0%
Not sure 7% 9% 6% 9% 6% 4% 7% 7% 4% 9% 3% 2% 19% 4% 4% 25% 4% 11% 2% 49% 15% 6% 9% 7% 3% 18% 6% 9% 7% 2% 6% 15% 5% 8% 4% 5% 5% 10% 2% 11% 7% 4% 20% 16% 47% 7% 0% 11% 5% 19% 17% 67% 32% 3% 8% 10% 5% 81% 2% 10% 9% 5% 88% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Survey Demographics
Total
LV's
Gender Men 46%
Women 54%
Total
LV's
Age 18-39 35%
40-64 45%
65+ 20%
Total
LV's
Race White 60%
Black 29%
Hispanic 8%
Other 3%
Total
LV's
Political Party Democrat 34%
Republican 37%
Other 29%
Total
LV's
Where Do You Live? Urban 22%
Suburban 60%
Rural 18%
Total
LV's
Where In Georgia do you live? Atlanta metro 21%
Atlanta suburbs 27%
North Georgia 19%
Central Georgia 11%
Somewhere else 22%
Survey of 1,025 Michigan Likely Voters
Conducted July 7-8, 2024 By Rasmussen Reports and the Heartland Institute
Total Gender Age Race Political Party Party with Leaners Ideology Education Income Where Do You Live Where In Michigan do you live? Who did you vote for in the 2020 Presidential Election? President Joe Biden or Former President Donald Trump? US Citizen? How likely are you to vote in the 2024 general election in November? Biden Favorability Trump Favorability If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?
LV's Men Women 18-39 40-64 65+ White Black Other Democrat Republican Other Democrat Republican Other Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure No diploma HS diploma Some college College deg. Graduate deg. Not sure <$30k $30-50k $50-100k $100-200k >$200k Not sure Urban Suburban Rural Wayne county Southeast Michigan East central Michigan Southwest Michigan North central / UP Somewhere else Biden Trump Other Didn't vote Not sure Yes No Not sure Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not at all likely Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Democrat Republican Other Not sure
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        1,025            492            533            287            461            277            810            133                82                379              359                287                453              462                   110              437                   343              235                  10                  49                    215                  234                    318                  205                       3            193             244               322             163                 51              52              225            574                    225                    164                    266                    246                    195                      82                      72            502                471                      15                      29                       8                    995                      17                      14                    885                    105                      25                       5                       5                    254                    210                    109                    436                      15                    319                    165                      78                    452            11           468           453            34            71
Total Gender Age Race Political Party Party with Leaners Ideology Education Income Where Do You Live Where In Michigan do you live? Who did you vote for in the 2020 Presidential Election? President Joe Biden or Former President Donald Trump? US Citizen? How likely are you to vote in the 2024 general election in November? Biden Favorability Trump Favorability If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?
LV's Men Women 18-39 40-64 65+ White Black Other Democrat Republican Other Democrat Republican Other Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure No diploma HS diploma Some college College deg. Graduate deg. Not sure <$30k $30-50k $50-100k $100-200k >$200k Not sure Urban Suburban Rural Wayne county Southeast Michigan East central Michigan Southwest Michigan North central / UP Somewhere else Biden Trump Other Didn't vote Not sure Yes No Not sure Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not at all likely Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Democrat Republican Other Not sure
If the 2024 Presidential election were held today, and the candidates were President Joe Biden and Former President Donald Trump, who would you vote for? Biden 46% 43% 49% 43% 48% 47% 44% 71% 33% 88% 10% 36% 88% 9% 34% 19% 56% 85% 28% 44% 37% 48% 46% 55% 100% 48% 46% 46% 46% 43% 49% 51% 50% 32% 44% 52% 52% 41% 29% 49% 89% 4% 11% 31% 3% 47% 37% 17% 47% 48% 44% 6% 19% 96% 86% 42% 1% 5% 9% 5% 52% 87% 48% 92% 5% 20% 26%
Trump 46% 50% 43% 47% 43% 49% 49% 22% 56% 7% 85% 48% 7% 85% 42% 76% 33% 10% 42% 37% 58% 43% 46% 41% 0% 39% 51% 48% 45% 42% 45% 40% 43% 59% 49% 43% 43% 49% 60% 38% 5% 91% 49% 43% 10% 46% 59% 62% 48% 33% 43% 49% 25% 3% 10% 38% 91% 42% 90% 86% 32% 4% 7% 3% 90% 42% 49%
Other 5% 5% 6% 6% 7% 3% 5% 4% 8% 3% 3% 12% 3% 5% 17% 4% 8% 4% 11% 14% 2% 7% 7% 2% 0% 10% 2% 4% 8% 7% 1% 6% 4% 7% 5% 3% 4% 8% 7% 10% 5% 4% 40% 21% 17% 5% 4% 21% 4% 16% 10% 27% 0% 0% 2% 15% 7% 19% 1% 6% 12% 7% 14% 3% 4% 36% 15%
Not sure 2% 2% 2% 5% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 1% 1% 4% 1% 1% 7% 1% 4% 1% 18% 4% 3% 2% 1% 3% 0% 2% 1% 2% 0% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 3% 3% 2% 1% 0% 6% 70% 2% 0% 0% 2% 3% 2% 19% 56% 0% 3% 4% 1% 34% 0% 3% 4% 2% 31% 2% 1% 2% 10%
Total Gender Age Race Political Party Party with Leaners Ideology Education Income Where Do You Live Where In Michigan do you live? Who did you vote for in the 2020 Presidential Election? President Joe Biden or Former President Donald Trump? US Citizen? How likely are you to vote in the 2024 general election in November? Biden Favorability Trump Favorability If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?
LV's Men Women 18-39 40-64 65+ White Black Other Democrat Republican Other Democrat Republican Other Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure No diploma HS diploma Some college College deg. Graduate deg. Not sure <$30k $30-50k $50-100k $100-200k >$200k Not sure Urban Suburban Rural Wayne county Southeast Michigan East central Michigan Southwest Michigan North central / UP Somewhere else Biden Trump Other Didn't vote Not sure Yes No Not sure Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not at all likely Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Democrat Republican Other Not sure
If the candidates were Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Chase Oliver, Cornell West, and Jill Stein, who would you vote for? Biden 43% 39% 47% 36% 46% 46% 41% 67% 25% 85% 7% 34% 84% 6% 30% 14% 54% 83% 28% 39% 30% 44% 45% 54% 100% 46% 41% 43% 44% 41% 46% 49% 47% 29% 43% 48% 48% 39% 26% 46% 85% 2% 5% 31% 3% 44% 9% 9% 45% 43% 15% 6% 19% 96% 78% 31% 1% 2% 8% 3% 39% 84% 48% 88% 3% 9% 23%
Trump 44% 49% 39% 43% 41% 49% 47% 20% 54% 7% 81% 44% 7% 80% 41% 77% 26% 7% 47% 47% 55% 40% 42% 38% 0% 40% 48% 42% 42% 42% 49% 36% 41% 57% 49% 42% 36% 47% 57% 39% 5% 87% 27% 22% 10% 43% 45% 78% 47% 25% 28% 10% 10% 4% 10% 30% 87% 42% 90% 78% 24% 2% 7% 3% 86% 27% 47%
Kennedy 7% 8% 6% 10% 7% 4% 7% 5% 10% 4% 7% 11% 4% 9% 11% 6% 10% 4% 2% 2% 10% 9% 7% 4% 0% 5% 8% 9% 7% 1% 0% 8% 7% 7% 3% 6% 7% 10% 12% 7% 6% 8% 15% 13% 8% 7% 30% 8% 5% 18% 36% 21% 0% 0% 7% 26% 7% 2% 2% 10% 28% 6% 3% 5% 7% 36% 8%
Oliver 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 2% 0% 0% 1% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 3% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 2% 0% 2% 0% 0% 1% 11% 0% 5% 1% 4% 0% 0% 0% 17% 0% 24% 0% 0% 4% 0% 9% 0% 3% 2% 0% 4% 0% 0% 16% 0%
West 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 2% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 13% 2% 0% 0% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 29% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 6% 0% 0% 0% 1% 5% 0% 0% 2% 0%
Stein 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 2% 0% 2% 2% 0% 1% 0% 2% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 3% 0% 0% 3% 1% 1% 0% 2% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 0% 0% 1% 2% 0% 5% 6% 0% 1% 3% 0% 1% 1% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 3% 0% 1% 0% 2% 0% 2% 1% 1% 0%
Other 1% 0% 1% 2% 0% 1% 1% 2% 3% 0% 0% 3% 0% 0% 8% 0% 1% 2% 4% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 0% 18% 10% 0% 1% 4% 0% 1% 2% 3% 0% 0% 0% 1% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 2% 2% 0% 1% 0% 9% 6%
Not sure 3% 2% 3% 5% 3% 0% 2% 4% 5% 1% 2% 6% 1% 3% 10% 2% 5% 2% 18% 7% 4% 3% 2% 2% 0% 3% 1% 3% 2% 10% 5% 5% 2% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 4% 2% 2% 5% 16% 73% 3% 0% 5% 2% 10% 0% 34% 47% 0% 3% 5% 2% 35% 0% 5% 5% 3% 33% 1% 3% 0% 17%
Total Gender Age Race Political Party Party with Leaners Ideology Education Income Where Do You Live Where In Michigan do you live? Who did you vote for in the 2020 Presidential Election? President Joe Biden or Former President Donald Trump? US Citizen? How likely are you to vote in the 2024 general election in November? Biden Favorability Trump Favorability If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?
LV's Men Women 18-39 40-64 65+ White Black Other Democrat Republican Other Democrat Republican Other Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure No diploma HS diploma Some college College deg. Graduate deg. Not sure <$30k $30-50k $50-100k $100-200k >$200k Not sure Urban Suburban Rural Wayne county Southeast Michigan East central Michigan Southwest Michigan North central / UP Somewhere else Biden Trump Other Didn't vote Not sure Yes No Not sure Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not at all likely Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Democrat Republican Other Not sure
If the elections for US Senate were being held today, and the candidates were Democrat Elissa Slotkin and Republican Mike Rogers, who would you vote for? Slotkin 43% 41% 45% 35% 45% 48% 42% 57% 26% 78% 10% 38% 79% 11% 33% 14% 53% 83% 16% 27% 30% 44% 46% 54% 100% 42% 40% 46% 45% 41% 38% 49% 46% 30% 42% 50% 42% 39% 32% 49% 78% 8% 13% 33% 9% 44% 12% 23% 44% 38% 30% 32% 0% 83% 73% 46% 6% 6% 8% 6% 52% 80% 26% 83% 5% 42% 20%
Rogers 40% 44% 36% 33% 41% 45% 42% 18% 49% 6% 76% 38% 7% 75% 26% 72% 23% 5% 19% 47% 46% 35% 39% 37% 0% 34% 43% 38% 43% 40% 40% 33% 36% 55% 38% 39% 35% 42% 56% 33% 7% 76% 30% 28% 4% 40% 16% 21% 41% 25% 44% 12% 10% 5% 12% 29% 77% 14% 76% 69% 28% 6% 12% 3% 81% 19% 24%
Other 6% 7% 5% 10% 5% 3% 5% 11% 8% 4% 6% 8% 4% 6% 15% 5% 8% 4% 16% 8% 7% 4% 9% 2% 0% 6% 6% 6% 7% 5% 4% 5% 6% 6% 8% 3% 10% 5% 3% 6% 5% 6% 49% 10% 8% 5% 36% 44% 5% 10% 18% 17% 15% 0% 6% 7% 9% 0% 7% 8% 11% 4% 0% 4% 6% 36% 8%
Not sure 11% 9% 14% 22% 9% 4% 10% 13% 17% 12% 8% 15% 10% 9% 26% 9% 16% 8% 49% 17% 17% 16% 6% 7% 0% 18% 11% 10% 5% 14% 18% 13% 12% 8% 12% 8% 13% 14% 9% 12% 11% 10% 9% 29% 79% 11% 35% 12% 9% 26% 8% 39% 75% 12% 9% 18% 8% 79% 9% 17% 10% 10% 62% 10% 8% 3% 47%
Total Gender Age Race Political Party Party with Leaners Ideology Education Income Where Do You Live Where In Michigan do you live? Who did you vote for in the 2020 Presidential Election? President Joe Biden or Former President Donald Trump? US Citizen? How likely are you to vote in the 2024 general election in November? Biden Favorability Trump Favorability If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?
LV's Men Women 18-39 40-64 65+ White Black Other Democrat Republican Other Democrat Republican Other Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure No diploma HS diploma Some college College deg. Graduate deg. Not sure <$30k $30-50k $50-100k $100-200k >$200k Not sure Urban Suburban Rural Wayne county Southeast Michigan East central Michigan Southwest Michigan North central / UP Somewhere else Biden Trump Other Didn't vote Not sure Yes No Not sure Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not at all likely Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Democrat Republican Other Not sure
If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate? Democrat 46% 41% 50% 42% 47% 47% 44% 66% 33% 92% 7% 33% 91% 6% 23% 14% 57% 88% 36% 44% 33% 49% 48% 51% 100% 52% 43% 46% 43% 47% 44% 49% 50% 30% 45% 50% 50% 40% 31% 48% 86% 4% 20% 33% 9% 47% 7% 17% 47% 43% 17% 16% 19% 92% 80% 41% 5% 5% 9% 7% 41% 86% 36% 100% 0% 0% 0%
Republican 44% 49% 40% 45% 41% 48% 47% 22% 54% 5% 86% 43% 5% 85% 31% 78% 27% 6% 31% 49% 56% 39% 42% 41% 0% 35% 53% 44% 43% 43% 43% 40% 41% 56% 41% 42% 42% 51% 55% 36% 7% 84% 38% 48% 19% 44% 79% 42% 45% 39% 38% 38% 25% 5% 10% 35% 85% 54% 86% 74% 36% 6% 18% 0% 100% 0% 0%
Other 3% 4% 3% 4% 4% 1% 3% 4% 3% 1% 3% 7% 1% 3% 13% 3% 4% 2% 6% 2% 3% 6% 3% 1% 0% 3% 2% 4% 7% 0% 0% 4% 3% 4% 3% 1% 5% 4% 5% 3% 2% 4% 32% 3% 14% 3% 10% 35% 2% 7% 37% 12% 9% 1% 1% 13% 3% 13% 1% 5% 13% 3% 9% 0% 0% 100% 0%
Not sure 7% 6% 8% 8% 8% 4% 7% 8% 10% 2% 4% 18% 3% 5% 33% 4% 12% 3% 26% 5% 8% 6% 7% 7% 0% 9% 3% 7% 7% 10% 14% 7% 6% 9% 12% 7% 3% 5% 9% 13% 5% 8% 9% 16% 58% 7% 4% 5% 6% 10% 8% 34% 47% 2% 8% 11% 7% 29% 3% 14% 10% 5% 37% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Survey Demographics
Total
LV's
Gender Men 48%
Women 52%
Total
LV's
Age 18-39 28%
40-64 45%
65+ 27%
Total
LV's
Race White 79%
Black 13%
Other 8%
Total
LV's
Political Party Democrat 37%
Republican 35%
Other 28%
Total
LV's
Where Do You Live Urban 22%
Suburban 56%
Rural 22%
Total
LV's
Where In Michigan do you live? Wayne county 16%
Southeast Michigan 26%
East central Michigan 24%
Southwest Michigan 19%
North central / UP 8%
Somewhere else 7%
Survey of 761 Nevada Likely Voters
Conducted July 7-12, 2024 By Rasmussen Reports and the Heartland Institute
Total Gender Age Race Political Party Pary w/ Leaners Ideology Education Income Where Do You Live Where In Nv? Who did you vote for in the 2020 Presidential Election? President Joe Biden or Former President Donald Trump? US Citizen? How likely are you to vote in the 2024 general election in November? Biden Favorability Trump Favorability If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?
LV's Men Women 18-39 40-64 65+ White Black Other Democrat Republican Other Democrat Republican Other Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure No diploma HS diploma Some college College deg. Graduate deg. Not sure <$30k $30-50k $50-100k $100-200k >$200k Not sure Urban Suburban Rural Washoe Clark Other Biden Trump Other Didn't vote Not sure Yes No Not sure Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not at all likely Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Democrat Republican Other Not sure
761 365 396 236 297 228 495 68 198 266 259 236 340 321 101 390 197 160 14 60 151 195 214 137 5 161 160 285 101 37 19 525 129 107 464 145 152 358 358 20 18 8 742 9 10 670 77 4 3 7 215 137 67 329 12 289 143 61 259 9 341 343 22 55
Total Gender Age Race Political Party Pary w/ Leaners Ideology Education Income Where Do You Live Where In Nv? Who did you vote for in the 2020 Presidential Election? President Joe Biden or Former President Donald Trump? US Citizen? How likely are you to vote in the 2024 general election in November? Biden Favorability Trump Favorability If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?
LV's Men Women 18-39 40-64 65+ White Black Other Democrat Republican Other Democrat Republican Other Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure No diploma HS diploma Some college College deg. Graduate deg. Not sure <$30k $30-50k $50-100k $100-200k >$200k Not sure Urban Suburban Rural Washoe Clark Other Biden Trump Other Didn't vote Not sure Yes No Not sure Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not at all likely Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Democrat Republican Other Not sure
If the 2024 Presidential election were held today, and the candidates were President Joe Biden and Former President Donald Trump, who would you vote for? Biden 45% 45% 44% 53% 37% 45% 45% 73% 33% 86% 13% 32% 84% 11% 19% 25% 56% 81% 1% 46% 38% 48% 40% 55% 5% 43% 50% 40% 50% 56% 30% 48% 39% 32% 49% 41% 33% 90% 4% 4% 17% 0% 44% 94% 7% 44% 58% 6% 100% 0% 96% 80% 26% 1% 12% 17% 23% 37% 89% 28% 89% 5% 7% 29%
Trump 50% 50% 50% 39% 57% 51% 49% 18% 63% 10% 86% 55% 11% 86% 64% 72% 34% 15% 66% 52% 54% 44% 56% 44% 44% 53% 44% 53% 46% 36% 63% 46% 57% 59% 49% 46% 57% 5% 95% 31% 54% 76% 50% 4% 51% 52% 32% 73% 0% 84% 4% 15% 53% 94% 44% 83% 74% 48% 1% 37% 6% 93% 50% 52%
Other 5% 4% 5% 6% 5% 3% 5% 7% 3% 3% 1% 11% 5% 3% 13% 2% 9% 3% 28% 2% 5% 7% 4% 2% 52% 3% 4% 6% 3% 8% 7% 5% 2% 9% 2% 9% 10% 4% 2% 64% 26% 3% 4% 2% 42% 4% 9% 13% 0% 0% 0% 5% 17% 4% 34% 0% 2% 14% 9% 21% 4% 2% 36% 15%
Not sure 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 2% 1% 0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 4% 0% 1% 2% 5% 0% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 4% 0% 1% 0% 1% 3% 20% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 8% 0% 16% 0% 0% 4% 1% 10% 0% 1% 1% 1% 15% 1% 0% 7% 4%
Total Gender Age Race Political Party Pary w/ Leaners Ideology Education Income Where Do You Live Where In Nv? Who did you vote for in the 2020 Presidential Election? President Joe Biden or Former President Donald Trump? US Citizen? How likely are you to vote in the 2024 general election in November? Biden Favorability Trump Favorability If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?
LV's Men Women 18-39 40-64 65+ White Black Other Democrat Republican Other Democrat Republican Other Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure No diploma HS diploma Some college College deg. Graduate deg. Not sure <$30k $30-50k $50-100k $100-200k >$200k Not sure Urban Suburban Rural Washoe Clark Other Biden Trump Other Didn't vote Not sure Yes No Not sure Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not at all likely Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Democrat Republican Other Not sure
If the candidates were Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Chase Oliver, Cornell West, and Jill Stein, who would you vote for? Biden 39% 38% 41% 41% 33% 46% 40% 63% 30% 81% 12% 23% 73% 10% 19% 21% 49% 77% 1% 36% 33% 40% 39% 50% 5% 42% 44% 36% 41% 34% 34% 42% 34% 32% 42% 39% 31% 80% 3% 1% 17% 0% 40% 66% 7% 39% 49% 6% 3% 0% 87% 71% 21% 1% 0% 14% 19% 36% 81% 14% 81% 4% 7% 19%
Trump 47% 50% 45% 39% 52% 49% 47% 19% 59% 13% 84% 46% 14% 82% 47% 72% 32% 9% 5% 52% 48% 45% 51% 41% 44% 49% 41% 52% 47% 22% 62% 44% 57% 53% 47% 43% 53% 8% 89% 23% 40% 0% 47% 32% 51% 49% 32% 64% 97% 0% 8% 15% 46% 88% 16% 84% 67% 33% 1% 0% 7% 90% 32% 35%
Kennedy 8% 7% 8% 10% 9% 4% 8% 14% 4% 2% 3% 19% 7% 5% 20% 5% 10% 7% 70% 11% 11% 9% 6% 2% 47% 6% 9% 7% 8% 27% 1% 9% 3% 9% 9% 9% 5% 7% 5% 42% 22% 77% 8% 0% 34% 7% 10% 10% 0% 84% 5% 6% 22% 6% 41% 2% 11% 11% 11% 32% 7% 4% 40% 24%
Oliver 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 2% 0%
West 2% 2% 1% 0% 4% 1% 2% 0% 2% 0% 0% 5% 2% 0% 7% 1% 4% 0% 0% 0% 1% 3% 0% 4% 0% 1% 0% 3% 0% 14% 0% 2% 0% 5% 0% 1% 8% 1% 2% 15% 0% 0% 2% 0% 9% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 4% 1% 2% 0% 0% 0% 12% 2% 0% 1% 2% 9% 4%
Stein 1% 1% 1% 3% 0% 0% 1% 2% 0% 2% 0% 1% 2% 0% 0% 0% 1% 4% 0% 0% 1% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 4% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 11% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 3% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 2% 0% 2% 0% 0% 2%
Other 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 3% 0% 0% 2% 2% 0% 2% 1% 0% 0% 5% 0% 1% 1% 0% 2% 2% 1% 1% 0% 0% 2% 0% 1% 0% 3% 0% 17% 1% 2% 0% 1% 1% 8% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 1% 2% 0% 0% 1% 1% 2% 0% 0% 8% 2%
Not sure 2% 1% 3% 4% 1% 0% 2% 2% 2% 1% 0% 4% 1% 2% 3% 0% 3% 2% 24% 2% 4% 1% 2% 0% 0% 2% 1% 3% 2% 0% 0% 2% 3% 0% 1% 5% 2% 2% 1% 4% 21% 5% 2% 0% 0% 1% 7% 12% 0% 16% 0% 1% 5% 1% 40% 0% 1% 5% 2% 51% 1% 0% 2% 14%
Total Gender Age Race Political Party Pary w/ Leaners Ideology Education Income Where Do You Live Where In Nv? Who did you vote for in the 2020 Presidential Election? President Joe Biden or Former President Donald Trump? US Citizen? How likely are you to vote in the 2024 general election in November? Biden Favorability Trump Favorability If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?
LV's Men Women 18-39 40-64 65+ White Black Other Democrat Republican Other Democrat Republican Other Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure No diploma HS diploma Some college College deg. Graduate deg. Not sure <$30k $30-50k $50-100k $100-200k >$200k Not sure Urban Suburban Rural Washoe Clark Other Biden Trump Other Didn't vote Not sure Yes No Not sure Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not at all likely Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Democrat Republican Other Not sure
If the elections for US Senate were being held today, and the candidates were Democrat Jacky Rosen and Republican Sam Brown, who would you vote for? Rosen 45% 47% 43% 45% 40% 51% 48% 60% 33% 78% 13% 42% 80% 14% 27% 25% 54% 87% 9% 30% 35% 54% 43% 54% 3% 45% 49% 39% 46% 56% 64% 49% 40% 29% 49% 46% 32% 84% 10% 8% 25% 0% 46% 16% 7% 46% 45% 6% 3% 0% 85% 69% 48% 10% 1% 14% 26% 49% 90% 10% 87% 7% 51% 18%
Brown 42% 43% 42% 35% 47% 44% 41% 16% 54% 16% 75% 37% 13% 72% 47% 68% 24% 6% 2% 62% 44% 36% 44% 39% 44% 43% 38% 46% 43% 36% 34% 41% 48% 44% 41% 36% 53% 9% 79% 28% 20% 0% 42% 28% 60% 44% 29% 19% 97% 0% 11% 17% 30% 77% 25% 75% 60% 26% 1% 35% 8% 81% 8% 30%
Other 6% 5% 6% 10% 6% 2% 5% 9% 8% 4% 6% 7% 5% 6% 7% 4% 12% 3% 18% 2% 3% 8% 7% 4% 52% 3% 5% 7% 8% 8% 1% 4% 3% 18% 4% 6% 10% 4% 5% 47% 8% 1% 5% 56% 34% 5% 10% 19% 0% 0% 2% 9% 16% 4% 30% 5% 6% 15% 4% 16% 4% 6% 26% 7%
Not sure 7% 4% 9% 10% 7% 3% 6% 15% 5% 2% 5% 14% 2% 8% 19% 4% 10% 4% 71% 6% 18% 2% 7% 2% 2% 9% 8% 8% 3% 0% 0% 6% 9% 9% 6% 12% 6% 4% 5% 17% 47% 99% 7% 0% 0% 4% 16% 55% 0% 100% 1% 5% 7% 10% 44% 7% 8% 10% 5% 39% 2% 5% 16% 45%
Total Gender Age Race Political Party Pary w/ Leaners Ideology Education Income Where Do You Live Where In Nv? Who did you vote for in the 2020 Presidential Election? President Joe Biden or Former President Donald Trump? US Citizen? How likely are you to vote in the 2024 general election in November? Biden Favorability Trump Favorability If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?
LV's Men Women 18-39 40-64 65+ White Black Other Democrat Republican Other Democrat Republican Other Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure No diploma HS diploma Some college College deg. Graduate deg. Not sure <$30k $30-50k $50-100k $100-200k >$200k Not sure Urban Suburban Rural Washoe Clark Other Biden Trump Other Didn't vote Not sure Yes No Not sure Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not at all likely Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Democrat Republican Other Not sure
If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate? Democrat 45% 44% 45% 49% 41% 45% 45% 74% 34% 89% 9% 34% 89% 8% 12% 25% 52% 87% 1% 39% 36% 56% 42% 47% 5% 47% 54% 40% 44% 43% 35% 49% 37% 34% 49% 41% 34% 89% 5% 8% 16% 0% 44% 66% 56% 44% 57% 14% 3% 15% 91% 76% 43% 3% 12% 15% 27% 42% 89% 18% 100% 0% 0% 0%
Republican 45% 44% 46% 36% 51% 47% 44% 8% 60% 9% 89% 37% 7% 83% 52% 68% 36% 5% 5% 55% 49% 36% 49% 44% 44% 36% 39% 53% 48% 51% 33% 43% 47% 55% 42% 46% 54% 6% 87% 39% 29% 0% 46% 0% 2% 48% 28% 68% 0% 0% 8% 15% 43% 83% 27% 81% 53% 42% 2% 23% 0% 100% 0% 0%
Other 3% 4% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 5% 1% 0% 0% 9% 0% 2% 15% 2% 3% 4% 11% 0% 2% 3% 3% 4% 5% 1% 2% 2% 5% 0% 31% 3% 6% 0% 2% 5% 2% 0% 3% 24% 10% 17% 3% 6% 12% 3% 5% 9% 0% 0% 0% 1% 3% 5% 12% 0% 8% 3% 3% 18% 0% 0% 100% 0%
Not sure 7% 8% 7% 13% 5% 4% 8% 13% 5% 2% 1% 20% 3% 7% 21% 5% 10% 4% 84% 5% 13% 5% 6% 5% 47% 15% 6% 6% 3% 6% 1% 6% 10% 11% 6% 8% 9% 5% 5% 30% 45% 83% 7% 28% 30% 6% 10% 8% 97% 85% 1% 8% 11% 9% 49% 3% 12% 13% 6% 41% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Survey Demographics
Total
LV's
Gender Men 48%
Women 52%
Total
LV's
Age 18-39 31%
40-64 39%
65+ 30%
Total
LV's
Race White 65%
Black 9%
Other 26%
Total
LV's
Political Party Democrat 35%
Republican 34%
Other 31%
Total
LV's
Where Do You Live Urban 69%
Suburban 17%
Rural 14%
Total
LV's
Where In Nv? Washoe 61%
Clark 19%
Other 20%
Survey of 1,041 Pennsylvania Likely Voters
Conducted July 7-8, 2024 By Rasmussen Reports and the Heartland Institute
Total Gender Age Race Political Party Party with Leaners Ideology Education Income Where Do You Live Where do you live in Pennsylvania? Who did you vote for in the 2020 Presidential Election? President Joe Biden or Former President Donald Trump? US Citizen? How likely are you to vote in the 2024 general election in November? Biden Favorability Trump Favorability If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?
LV's Men Women 18-39 40-64 65+ White Black Other Democrat Republican Other Democrat Republican Other Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure No diploma HS diploma Some college College deg. Graduate deg. Not sure <$30k $30-50k $50-100k $100-200k >$200k Not sure Urban Suburban Rural Philadelphia Philly suburbs Northeast Central West Somewhere else Biden Trump Other Didn't vote Not sure Yes No Not sure Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not at all likely Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Democrat Republican Other Not sure
        1,041            489            552            312            448            281            833            125                83                416              406                219                457              464                   120              445                   327              249                  20                  15                    236                  186                    371                  230                       4            147             205               357             230                 58              44              239            593                    208                    115                    208                    167                    219                    271                      62            500                489                      29                      18                       5                 1,023                       8                      10                    934                      86                      12                       0                       9                    242                    216                      94                    477                      11                    324                    180                      75                    452            10           460           488            31            62
Total Gender Age Race Political Party Party with Leaners Ideology Education Income Where Do You Live Where do you live in Pennsylvania? Who did you vote for in the 2020 Presidential Election? President Joe Biden or Former President Donald Trump? US Citizen? How likely are you to vote in the 2024 general election in November? Biden Favorability Trump Favorability If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?
LV's Men Women 18-39 40-64 65+ White Black Other Democrat Republican Other Democrat Republican Other Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure No diploma HS diploma Some college College deg. Graduate deg. Not sure <$30k $30-50k $50-100k $100-200k >$200k Not sure Urban Suburban Rural Philadelphia Philly suburbs Northeast Central West Somewhere else Biden Trump Other Didn't vote Not sure Yes No Not sure Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not at all likely Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Democrat Republican Other Not sure
If the 2024 Presidential election were held today, and the candidates were President Joe Biden and Former President Donald Trump, who would you vote for? Biden 44% 42% 46% 48% 41% 44% 41% 63% 45% 85% 9% 31% 84% 8% 30% 14% 54% 84% 50% 52% 37% 38% 42% 59% 68% 44% 41% 42% 52% 48% 27% 50% 46% 33% 71% 48% 36% 37% 42% 37% 87% 3% 13% 42% 17% 44% 18% 35% 45% 42% 25% 61% 13% 96% 83% 39% 2% 16% 3% 9% 41% 88% 44% 91% 2% 17% 39%
Trump 47% 52% 43% 38% 50% 53% 50% 26% 49% 10% 85% 48% 9% 86% 41% 82% 35% 5% 13% 48% 52% 57% 48% 34% 7% 40% 49% 51% 42% 44% 64% 41% 46% 59% 26% 47% 54% 46% 53% 50% 7% 91% 18% 24% 0% 47% 59% 47% 50% 29% 32% 39% 0% 4% 9% 33% 89% 38% 96% 85% 25% 2% 0% 4% 94% 13% 20%
Other 6% 5% 7% 10% 5% 3% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 14% 5% 4% 18% 3% 8% 8% 23% 0% 8% 4% 7% 5% 0% 10% 7% 5% 6% 6% 5% 6% 6% 7% 2% 2% 9% 12% 3% 11% 4% 4% 69% 15% 7% 6% 0% 9% 5% 17% 7% 0% 10% 0% 4% 22% 7% 21% 0% 3% 24% 8% 27% 4% 3% 70% 19%
Not sure 2% 1% 4% 4% 3% 0% 2% 5% 1% 1% 2% 7% 1% 2% 10% 1% 4% 3% 14% 0% 3% 1% 3% 2% 25% 5% 3% 2% 1% 2% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 3% 1% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 0% 20% 76% 2% 23% 9% 1% 11% 36% 0% 77% 0% 4% 6% 2% 25% 0% 3% 9% 2% 29% 2% 1% 0% 22%
Total Gender Age Race Political Party Party with Leaners Ideology Education Income Where Do You Live Where do you live in Pennsylvania? Who did you vote for in the 2020 Presidential Election? President Joe Biden or Former President Donald Trump? US Citizen? How likely are you to vote in the 2024 general election in November? Biden Favorability Trump Favorability If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?
LV's Men Women 18-39 40-64 65+ White Black Other Democrat Republican Other Democrat Republican Other Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure No diploma HS diploma Some college College deg. Graduate deg. Not sure <$30k $30-50k $50-100k $100-200k >$200k Not sure Urban Suburban Rural Philadelphia Philly suburbs Northeast Central West Somewhere else Biden Trump Other Didn't vote Not sure Yes No Not sure Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not at all likely Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Democrat Republican Other Not sure
If the candidates were Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Chase Oliver, Cornell West, and Jill Stein, who would you vote for? Biden 42% 40% 43% 41% 41% 43% 39% 61% 39% 81% 8% 29% 81% 7% 26% 12% 52% 81% 47% 52% 36% 35% 39% 56% 68% 42% 38% 40% 49% 46% 26% 45% 44% 31% 63% 46% 33% 36% 40% 37% 84% 1% 4% 28% 17% 42% 18% 3% 43% 37% 20% 61% 0% 93% 77% 36% 2% 11% 2% 7% 35% 85% 41% 87% 2% 9% 38%
Trump 46% 50% 43% 37% 49% 53% 50% 24% 42% 9% 83% 50% 8% 85% 45% 82% 33% 5% 12% 48% 52% 52% 48% 35% 7% 43% 47% 50% 40% 46% 65% 40% 44% 60% 26% 43% 53% 48% 52% 49% 7% 90% 16% 21% 0% 46% 57% 60% 48% 27% 35% 0% 52% 5% 11% 32% 87% 38% 96% 83% 22% 2% 0% 3% 91% 21% 29%
Kennedy 6% 5% 6% 10% 5% 2% 5% 5% 10% 5% 5% 9% 5% 4% 13% 3% 8% 7% 11% 0% 7% 6% 6% 5% 0% 8% 6% 4% 7% 5% 4% 6% 6% 5% 5% 3% 10% 9% 3% 5% 5% 5% 31% 13% 13% 6% 2% 16% 5% 18% 0% 39% 8% 2% 6% 20% 4% 19% 2% 4% 24% 6% 22% 5% 4% 37% 12%
Oliver 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 12% 0% 1% 0% 0% 13% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 5% 0%
West 1% 1% 1% 3% 0% 0% 0% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 2% 0% 3% 0% 0% 2% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 2% 1% 0% 0% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 5% 2% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 3% 1% 0% 0% 1% 7% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 2%
Stein 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 0% 2% 1% 3% 1% 2% 3% 1% 1% 3% 1% 1% 3% 12% 0% 1% 1% 3% 1% 0% 2% 4% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 0% 4% 0% 4% 1% 1% 24% 0% 7% 2% 0% 0% 2% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 3% 0% 0% 2% 6% 2% 0% 1% 1% 21% 0%
Other 1% 0% 2% 2% 1% 0% 1% 2% 0% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 4% 1% 1% 2% 0% 0% 2% 2% 1% 1% 0% 0% 3% 1% 1% 0% 0% 2% 1% 0% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 4% 1% 1% 19% 2% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 5% 7% 0% 0% 1% 0% 4% 1% 0% 1% 3% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 2% 4%
Not sure 2% 1% 4% 4% 2% 1% 2% 3% 4% 2% 1% 5% 2% 1% 7% 1% 3% 2% 15% 0% 2% 2% 2% 2% 25% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 4% 3% 3% 1% 1% 5% 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 33% 63% 2% 23% 9% 1% 7% 39% 0% 28% 0% 3% 4% 2% 32% 0% 0% 5% 3% 37% 2% 1% 4% 15%
Total Gender Age Race Political Party Party with Leaners Ideology Education Income Where Do You Live Where do you live in Pennsylvania? Who did you vote for in the 2020 Presidential Election? President Joe Biden or Former President Donald Trump? US Citizen? How likely are you to vote in the 2024 general election in November? Biden Favorability Trump Favorability If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?
LV's Men Women 18-39 40-64 65+ White Black Other Democrat Republican Other Democrat Republican Other Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure No diploma HS diploma Some college College deg. Graduate deg. Not sure <$30k $30-50k $50-100k $100-200k >$200k Not sure Urban Suburban Rural Philadelphia Philly suburbs Northeast Central West Somewhere else Biden Trump Other Didn't vote Not sure Yes No Not sure Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not at all likely Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Democrat Republican Other Not sure
If the elections for US Senate were being held today, and the candidates were Democrat Bob Casey Jr. and Republican David McCormick, who would you vote for? Casey 46% 39% 52% 47% 46% 44% 45% 54% 40% 82% 15% 34% 82% 14% 32% 15% 56% 87% 46% 46% 35% 42% 46% 59% 68% 44% 44% 43% 54% 56% 30% 49% 49% 34% 60% 54% 34% 42% 44% 47% 84% 8% 33% 40% 30% 46% 13% 45% 47% 44% 30% 61% 3% 88% 80% 44% 10% 28% 7% 14% 42% 86% 50% 89% 8% 30% 35%
McCormick 43% 48% 37% 31% 45% 52% 46% 19% 42% 11% 75% 42% 10% 75% 39% 77% 27% 4% 11% 32% 45% 49% 44% 33% 7% 37% 40% 46% 41% 36% 60% 36% 42% 52% 25% 42% 46% 46% 47% 39% 8% 80% 26% 16% 0% 43% 41% 23% 45% 19% 29% 39% 8% 6% 9% 28% 79% 38% 88% 61% 30% 6% 3% 5% 84% 21% 9%
Other 6% 6% 5% 11% 5% 1% 4% 16% 8% 2% 6% 11% 4% 6% 12% 4% 8% 5% 3% 4% 11% 3% 6% 2% 0% 13% 7% 5% 3% 1% 0% 5% 6% 6% 7% 2% 12% 8% 3% 4% 3% 7% 17% 16% 7% 5% 23% 23% 3% 23% 3% 0% 65% 3% 6% 19% 4% 0% 2% 13% 14% 4% 0% 3% 5% 40% 15%
Not sure 6% 7% 6% 11% 5% 2% 5% 12% 9% 4% 4% 14% 4% 5% 17% 4% 10% 3% 39% 18% 9% 6% 4% 5% 25% 5% 9% 6% 3% 7% 10% 10% 4% 8% 9% 3% 8% 5% 7% 10% 4% 6% 23% 28% 63% 6% 23% 9% 5% 14% 39% 0% 25% 3% 6% 8% 7% 34% 2% 12% 13% 4% 46% 4% 4% 9% 41%
Total Gender Age Race Political Party Party with Leaners Ideology Education Income Where Do You Live Where do you live in Pennsylvania? Who did you vote for in the 2020 Presidential Election? President Joe Biden or Former President Donald Trump? US Citizen? How likely are you to vote in the 2024 general election in November? Biden Favorability Trump Favorability If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?
LV's Men Women 18-39 40-64 65+ White Black Other Democrat Republican Other Democrat Republican Other Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure No diploma HS diploma Some college College deg. Graduate deg. Not sure <$30k $30-50k $50-100k $100-200k >$200k Not sure Urban Suburban Rural Philadelphia Philly suburbs Northeast Central West Somewhere else Biden Trump Other Didn't vote Not sure Yes No Not sure Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not at all likely Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Democrat Republican Other Not sure
If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate? Democrat 44% 40% 48% 50% 41% 44% 41% 67% 40% 87% 8% 30% 87% 7% 27% 12% 51% 92% 44% 45% 37% 42% 42% 56% 68% 47% 46% 40% 50% 44% 28% 52% 45% 34% 66% 53% 39% 39% 37% 38% 85% 3% 31% 49% 30% 45% 18% 13% 44% 51% 13% 61% 15% 91% 81% 41% 5% 31% 4% 9% 48% 86% 61% 100% 0% 0% 0%
Republican 47% 50% 44% 38% 49% 53% 51% 19% 50% 8% 89% 44% 7% 88% 40% 84% 31% 4% 10% 37% 50% 53% 50% 35% 7% 39% 47% 52% 42% 49% 61% 40% 45% 60% 28% 42% 53% 51% 51% 50% 7% 90% 23% 26% 0% 47% 57% 44% 49% 31% 51% 0% 8% 5% 9% 36% 88% 38% 95% 77% 26% 4% 0% 0% 100% 0% 0%
Other 3% 3% 3% 5% 2% 2% 2% 6% 4% 2% 1% 9% 2% 1% 12% 1% 3% 4% 22% 3% 5% 1% 3% 2% 0% 7% 3% 1% 4% 0% 0% 3% 3% 2% 1% 3% 5% 6% 0% 4% 2% 2% 26% 12% 7% 3% 2% 34% 2% 10% 2% 39% 13% 0% 3% 8% 3% 0% 1% 1% 13% 4% 0% 0% 0% 100% 0%
Not sure 6% 7% 5% 7% 8% 2% 6% 9% 6% 4% 2% 17% 4% 4% 20% 2% 14% 0% 24% 16% 8% 5% 4% 7% 25% 7% 4% 7% 5% 7% 10% 6% 7% 4% 5% 3% 3% 4% 12% 9% 6% 4% 20% 13% 63% 6% 23% 9% 5% 7% 34% 0% 64% 4% 7% 15% 4% 31% 0% 13% 13% 6% 39% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Survey Demographics
Total
LV's
Gender Men 47%
Women 53%
Total
LV's
Age 18-39 30%
40-64 43%
65+ 27%
Total
LV's
Race White 80%
Black 12%
Other 8%
Total
LV's
Political Party Democrat 40%
Republican 39%
Other 21%
Total
LV's
Where Do You Live Urban 23%
Suburban 57%
Rural 20%
Total
LV's
Where do you live in Pennsylvania? Philadelphia 11%
Philly suburbs 20%
Northeast 16%
Central 21%
West 26%
Somewhere else 6%
Survey of 1,020 Wisconsin Likely Voters
Conducted July 7-8, 2024 By Rasmussen Reports and the Heartland Institute
Total Gender Age Race Political Party Party w/ Leaners Ideology Education Income Where Do You Live Where do you live in Wisconsin? Who did you vote for in the 2020 Presidential Election? President Joe Biden or Former President Donald Trump? US Citizen? How likely are you to vote in the 2024 general election in November? Biden Favorability Trump Favorability If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?
LV's Men Women 18-39 40-64 65+ White Black Other Democrat Republican Other Democrat Republican Other Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure No diploma HS diploma Some college College deg. Graduate deg. Not sure <$30k $30-50k $50-100k $100-200k >$200k Not sure Urban Suburban Rural Milwaukee county Chiwaukee suburbs Dane County Fox River Valley / North Lakeshore Southwest Northern Somewhere else Biden Trump Other Didn't vote Not sure Yes No Not sure Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not at all likely Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Democrat Republican Other Not sure
        1,020            490            530            296            469            255            857              71                92                347              367                306                443              471                   106              520                   246              234                  21                  46                    222                  222                    352                  178                       1            144             249               351             185                 54              38              306            449                    265                    133                    214                    112                    163                    184                    163              51                490                    479                      22                      24                       5                    988                      29                       3                    860                    138                      14                       3                       5                    284                    188                      92                    450                       6                    318                    197                      79           408            17           444           496            26            53
Total Gender Age Race Political Party Party w/ Leaners Ideology Education Income Where Do You Live Where do you live in Wisconsin? Who did you vote for in the 2020 Presidential Election? President Joe Biden or Former President Donald Trump? US Citizen? How likely are you to vote in the 2024 general election in November? Biden Favorability Trump Favorability If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?
LV's Men Women 18-39 40-64 65+ White Black Other Democrat Republican Other Democrat Republican Other Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure No diploma HS diploma Some college College deg. Graduate deg. Not sure <$30k $30-50k $50-100k $100-200k >$200k Not sure Urban Suburban Rural Milwaukee county Chiwaukee suburbs Dane County Fox River Valley / North Lakeshore Southwest Northern Somewhere else Biden Trump Other Didn't vote Not sure Yes No Not sure Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not at all likely Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Democrat Republican Other Not sure
If the 2024 Presidential election were held today, and the candidates were President Joe Biden and Former President Donald Trump, who would you vote for? Biden 46% 48% 44% 47% 50% 39% 46% 53% 42% 88% 11% 41% 87% 12% 26% 24% 50% 91% 43% 61% 49% 35% 45% 55% 24% 51% 48% 45% 43% 53% 34% 45% 49% 41% 50% 42% 66% 45% 48% 36% 37% 89% 4% 16% 33% 31% 46% 55% 52% 46% 44% 61% 64% 5% 97% 77% 37% 3% 41% 15% 17% 37% 85% 73% 92% 7% 24% 40%
Trump 48% 48% 47% 48% 43% 55% 47% 44% 52% 10% 85% 45% 9% 83% 50% 72% 39% 5% 11% 39% 41% 59% 48% 41% 76% 41% 44% 49% 54% 39% 57% 46% 45% 53% 40% 54% 29% 46% 46% 58% 58% 8% 89% 24% 45% 36% 48% 45% 20% 49% 45% 22% 23% 2% 3% 18% 39% 90% 0% 83% 81% 47% 6% 0% 5% 87% 24% 42%
Other 5% 3% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 0% 3% 1% 3% 11% 3% 3% 20% 3% 7% 2% 44% 0% 6% 5% 5% 3% 0% 5% 6% 5% 2% 4% 8% 7% 4% 4% 6% 3% 4% 8% 5% 3% 3% 2% 4% 60% 18% 0% 5% 0% 24% 4% 9% 14% 13% 45% 0% 4% 13% 5% 52% 2% 1% 5% 8% 13% 2% 5% 40% 8%
Not sure 2% 1% 3% 1% 2% 2% 1% 3% 3% 1% 1% 4% 1% 2% 4% 1% 4% 1% 2% 0% 3% 0% 2% 1% 0% 4% 2% 1% 1% 4% 1% 2% 2% 1% 4% 1% 1% 1% 0% 3% 3% 1% 2% 0% 4% 34% 2% 0% 4% 1% 2% 3% 0% 48% 0% 1% 11% 1% 7% 0% 2% 10% 1% 15% 1% 1% 12% 10%
Total Gender Age Race Political Party Party w/ Leaners Ideology Education Income Where Do You Live Where do you live in Wisconsin? Who did you vote for in the 2020 Presidential Election? President Joe Biden or Former President Donald Trump? US Citizen? How likely are you to vote in the 2024 general election in November? Biden Favorability Trump Favorability If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?
LV's Men Women 18-39 40-64 65+ White Black Other Democrat Republican Other Democrat Republican Other Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure No diploma HS diploma Some college College deg. Graduate deg. Not sure <$30k $30-50k $50-100k $100-200k >$200k Not sure Urban Suburban Rural Milwaukee county Chiwaukee suburbs Dane County Fox River Valley / North Lakeshore Southwest Northern Somewhere else Biden Trump Other Didn't vote Not sure Yes No Not sure Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not at all likely Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Democrat Republican Other Not sure
If the candidates were Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Chase Oliver, Cornell West, and Jill Stein, who would you vote for? Biden 42% 44% 40% 39% 46% 37% 42% 50% 32% 83% 7% 37% 81% 9% 25% 22% 44% 84% 39% 49% 43% 32% 40% 55% 24% 46% 47% 40% 37% 48% 31% 39% 46% 39% 47% 37% 61% 39% 44% 34% 34% 83% 2% 17% 22% 20% 42% 28% 76% 44% 34% 39% 27% 5% 90% 72% 30% 2% 0% 13% 11% 35% 80% 60% 87% 5% 17% 29%
Trump 45% 47% 43% 42% 41% 55% 46% 27% 48% 9% 82% 40% 8% 80% 38% 71% 29% 6% 8% 49% 38% 53% 47% 37% 16% 40% 38% 46% 54% 37% 59% 43% 43% 49% 38% 52% 27% 44% 44% 51% 54% 6% 86% 16% 27% 36% 45% 34% 20% 46% 38% 38% 23% 0% 7% 14% 28% 85% 0% 84% 74% 26% 5% 0% 4% 85% 12% 23%
Kennedy 7% 5% 9% 11% 7% 2% 7% 8% 6% 4% 6% 11% 6% 7% 13% 4% 14% 6% 12% 0% 13% 7% 6% 3% 60% 10% 6% 7% 4% 13% 4% 12% 4% 6% 10% 2% 6% 8% 9% 8% 6% 5% 5% 48% 40% 0% 7% 4% 0% 5% 16% 3% 18% 50% 1% 9% 23% 6% 30% 2% 8% 18% 7% 26% 6% 6% 34% 16%
Oliver 1% 2% 1% 3% 1% 1% 1% 0% 8% 2% 2% 0% 2% 1% 0% 1% 1% 2% 0% 3% 2% 2% 0% 2% 0% 0% 1% 3% 0% 0% 5% 1% 1% 2% 0% 3% 0% 3% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 9% 0% 0% 1% 17% 0% 1% 5% 0% 20% 0% 2% 1% 0% 1% 23% 0% 2% 0% 2% 0% 1% 1% 0% 8%
West 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 4% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 3% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 3% 1% 0% 2% 0% 1% 3% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 11% 0%
Stein 1% 0% 2% 3% 0% 0% 0% 10% 1% 0% 0% 3% 0% 0% 8% 0% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 1% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 9% 0% 0% 0% 0% 9% 0% 2% 0% 0% 5% 12%
Other 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 4% 2% 1% 3% 1% 2% 1% 8% 0% 1% 1% 2% 0% 0% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 0% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 0% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3% 10% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 11% 13% 0% 0% 3% 4% 1% 17% 0% 0% 4% 2% 0% 2% 1% 10% 1%
Not sure 3% 1% 4% 1% 4% 2% 3% 1% 3% 1% 3% 4% 1% 3% 10% 1% 5% 0% 33% 0% 2% 2% 4% 3% 0% 2% 6% 1% 3% 1% 1% 4% 2% 2% 1% 2% 4% 5% 0% 4% 4% 1% 4% 1% 0% 45% 2% 16% 4% 2% 4% 8% 0% 43% 0% 1% 3% 4% 30% 0% 4% 7% 3% 13% 1% 3% 10% 10%
Total Gender Age Race Political Party Party w/ Leaners Ideology Education Income Where Do You Live Where do you live in Wisconsin? Who did you vote for in the 2020 Presidential Election? President Joe Biden or Former President Donald Trump? US Citizen? How likely are you to vote in the 2024 general election in November? Biden Favorability Trump Favorability If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?
LV's Men Women 18-39 40-64 65+ White Black Other Democrat Republican Other Democrat Republican Other Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure No diploma HS diploma Some college College deg. Graduate deg. Not sure <$30k $30-50k $50-100k $100-200k >$200k Not sure Urban Suburban Rural Milwaukee county Chiwaukee suburbs Dane County Fox River Valley / North Lakeshore Southwest Northern Somewhere else Biden Trump Other Didn't vote Not sure Yes No Not sure Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not at all likely Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Democrat Republican Other Not sure
If the elections for US Senate were being held today, and the candidates were Democrat Tammy Baldwin and Republican Eric Hovde, who would you vote for? Baldwin 47% 50% 44% 43% 53% 39% 47% 51% 44% 87% 11% 45% 88% 11% 33% 23% 56% 90% 47% 63% 43% 39% 48% 57% 14% 55% 44% 48% 41% 58% 32% 49% 49% 42% 54% 36% 64% 47% 51% 40% 46% 86% 7% 35% 47% 31% 47% 38% 49% 48% 42% 26% 27% 54% 93% 81% 34% 6% 57% 16% 18% 40% 85% 83% 93% 6% 44% 41%
Hovde 43% 42% 44% 39% 40% 54% 44% 38% 37% 9% 76% 41% 8% 75% 45% 70% 26% 3% 10% 21% 44% 52% 42% 39% 76% 28% 45% 43% 48% 41% 64% 46% 37% 50% 35% 53% 30% 37% 44% 49% 46% 9% 79% 40% 37% 15% 43% 34% 44% 44% 36% 55% 36% 0% 6% 15% 33% 80% 23% 71% 78% 31% 9% 2% 3% 83% 23% 16%
Other 4% 3% 4% 5% 4% 2% 4% 1% 6% 1% 5% 6% 1% 4% 12% 2% 8% 1% 34% 16% 4% 1% 6% 0% 0% 9% 6% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2% 5% 3% 3% 2% 2% 5% 4% 8% 2% 0% 6% 25% 9% 21% 4% 2% 0% 3% 8% 12% 18% 0% 0% 1% 5% 7% 0% 6% 3% 3% 3% 0% 1% 5% 18% 4%
Not sure 6% 4% 8% 13% 3% 4% 5% 10% 13% 3% 9% 7% 2% 9% 11% 4% 11% 5% 9% 0% 9% 9% 5% 4% 10% 7% 5% 7% 9% 0% 2% 3% 9% 4% 8% 9% 4% 11% 1% 4% 6% 4% 8% 0% 8% 34% 6% 25% 7% 5% 13% 6% 20% 46% 1% 2% 29% 6% 21% 7% 1% 25% 4% 15% 3% 5% 15% 39%
Total Gender Age Race Political Party Party w/ Leaners Ideology Education Income Where Do You Live Where do you live in Wisconsin? Who did you vote for in the 2020 Presidential Election? President Joe Biden or Former President Donald Trump? US Citizen? How likely are you to vote in the 2024 general election in November? Biden Favorability Trump Favorability If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate?
LV's Men Women 18-39 40-64 65+ White Black Other Democrat Republican Other Democrat Republican Other Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure No diploma HS diploma Some college College deg. Graduate deg. Not sure <$30k $30-50k $50-100k $100-200k >$200k Not sure Urban Suburban Rural Milwaukee county Chiwaukee suburbs Dane County Fox River Valley / North Lakeshore Southwest Northern Somewhere else Biden Trump Other Didn't vote Not sure Yes No Not sure Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not at all likely Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable Not sure Democrat Republican Other Not sure
If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate? Democrat 44% 43% 44% 43% 47% 38% 44% 45% 38% 91% 6% 36% 89% 6% 21% 20% 47% 94% 34% 58% 41% 35% 43% 54% 14% 47% 44% 43% 41% 49% 32% 44% 45% 40% 52% 37% 56% 49% 43% 33% 40% 84% 2% 35% 48% 31% 44% 16% 49% 45% 35% 33% 59% 5% 90% 74% 33% 4% 27% 14% 13% 38% 81% 70% 100% 0% 0% 0%
Republican 49% 49% 48% 44% 47% 58% 50% 37% 47% 7% 90% 46% 6% 89% 48% 74% 38% 5% 35% 41% 48% 56% 50% 40% 16% 42% 49% 47% 52% 49% 66% 45% 47% 56% 37% 55% 42% 45% 50% 56% 53% 8% 91% 44% 38% 21% 49% 51% 44% 50% 47% 15% 23% 2% 5% 18% 38% 91% 23% 83% 80% 35% 11% 0% 0% 100% 0% 0%
Other 3% 3% 2% 4% 2% 1% 2% 6% 5% 0% 1% 7% 1% 2% 15% 1% 5% 1% 19% 1% 4% 2% 1% 3% 60% 3% 3% 2% 4% 3% 0% 5% 2% 1% 3% 1% 2% 2% 2% 6% 2% 1% 2% 20% 13% 31% 3% 2% 0% 1% 5% 15% 18% 78% 1% 3% 9% 2% 30% 1% 2% 7% 3% 25% 0% 0% 100% 0%
Not sure 5% 5% 6% 10% 4% 3% 4% 12% 9% 2% 3% 12% 4% 4% 16% 4% 10% 1% 13% 0% 6% 8% 5% 3% 10% 8% 4% 7% 3% 0% 2% 6% 6% 3% 8% 7% 1% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 4% 1% 1% 17% 5% 30% 7% 4% 13% 37% 0% 15% 4% 5% 20% 3% 21% 2% 6% 19% 5% 5% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Survey Demographics
Total
LV's
Gender Men 48%
Women 52%
Total
LV's
Age 18-39 29%
40-64 46%
65+ 25%
Total
LV's
Race White 84%
Black 7%
Other 9%
Total
LV's
Political Party Democrat 34%
Republican 36%
Other 30%
Total
LV's
Where Do You Live Urban 30%
Suburban 44%
Rural 26%
Total
LV's
Where do you live in Wisconsin? Milwaukee county 13%
Chiwaukee suburbs 21%
Dane County 11%
Fox River Valley / North Lakeshore 16%
Southwest 18%
Northern 16%
Somewhere else 5%