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Elections

Most Recent Releases

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March 12, 2009

Boxer Leads Schwarzenegger, Fiorina in 2010 Senate Race

Democratic incumbent Barbara Boxer leads two potential Republican challengers in an early look at California’s 2010 race for the U.S. Senate.

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February 5, 2009

GOP’s McDonnell Has Edge Over All Democrats In Virginia Governor’s Race

Republican Attorney General Robert F. McDonnell has a three-to-nine point lead against three hopefuls for the Democratic nomination in this year’s closely-watched Virginia gubernatorial contest.

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January 17, 2009

California Governor: Brown 40% Whitman 38%

The race may be nearly two years away, but early match-ups for the 2010 gubernatorial election in California show that it's likely to be a close one.

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January 15, 2009

New Jersey Governor: Christie 42%, Corzine 40%

Former U.S. Attorney Christopher J. Christie, the latest Republican to enter the New Jersey gubernatorial race, has a slight lead over Democratic incumbent Jon S. Corzine in a new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of voters in the state.

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December 30, 2008

Stability Was The Hallmark of Election 2008

The beginning and the end of the 2008 General Election campaign were remarkably stable. Initially, after Barack Obama wrapped up the Democratic nomination, he was ahead of John McCain by four to seven points just about every night for the entire month of June. At the other end of the campaign, Obama was consistently up by about five to seven points for the last 40 days of the campaign.

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December 29, 2008

Revisiting the Democratic Primaries: Analysis by Scott Rasmussen

With the country preparing to inaugurate Barack Obama as the next president of the United States next month, it’s hard to remember how improbable the notion of a President Obama seemed just a year ago. In fact, all indications are that Obama himself wasn’t really expecting to win it all in 2008.

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December 8, 2008

Governor’s Race Is Wide Open In Virginia

The election is 11 months away, but the four leading candidates for the next governor of Virginia are neck-and-neck at this point, with one-third of voters in the state not aware of any of them enough to even an opinion about them.

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December 5, 2008

67% of Minnesota Voters Expect Coleman to Win

Sixty-seven percent (67%) of Minnesota voters now expect incumbent Republican Norm Coleman to beat Democrat Al Franken in the state’s U.S. Senate race, according to a new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Minnesota taken Thursday night.

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December 4, 2008

Pennsylvania Senate: Specter 46% Matthews 43%

Republican Senator Arlen Specter is potentially vulnerable in his 2010 bid for re-election. A Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Pennsylvania voters finds Specter leading MSNBC pundit Chris Matthews by just three percentage points, 46% to 43%, in a match-up that may foreshadow one of the nation's most closely-watched Senate races.

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November 7, 2008

69% of GOP Voters Say Palin Helped McCain

Sixty-nine percent (69%) of Republican voters say Alaska Governor Sarah Palin helped John McCain’s bid for the presidency, even as news reports surface that some McCain staffers think she was a liability.

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November 6, 2008

Voters Split Over Whether D.C. Politics Will Be More Cooperative

Nearly nine out of 10 voters (88%) are glad the presidential election is over, but voters are evenly divided over whether politics in Washington will become more cooperative despite Barack Obama’s call for change from business as usual.

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November 6, 2008

How Did We Do?

The final Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Election 2008 showed Barack Obama leading John McCain 52% to 46%. We are pleased to report that those figures precisely matched the actual election returns.

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November 5, 2008

McCain’s Fortunes Fell With the Stock Market

For John McCain, the crash of Lehman Brothers on Wall Street was worse than the Crash of 1929. Looking back over the course of the campaign, it seems clear that the financial meltdown in mid-September was the final, decisive, event that secured Obama’s path to the White House.

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November 5, 2008

Most Voters Made Up Their Minds Weeks Ago

So when did voters really decide how they were going to vote?

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November 4, 2008

Majority Say Reporters Tried To Help Obama

As the presidential campaign comes to a close, a majority of voters (51%) say most reporters have tried to help Barack Obama win the presidency.

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November 4, 2008

Palin More Popular With GOP Voters Than McCain

Republicans are happier with their vice presidential candidate than their presidential nominee, while Democrats feel good about both candidates on their ticket, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey.

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November 4, 2008

59% Expect Obama to Win

On the night before America votes, 59% of likely U.S. voters expect Barack Obama to be elected president.

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November 4, 2008

One-Third of Obama Voters Plan To Be Out Today

Looks like there’ll be a lot fewer Democrats in the office on Election Day.

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November 4, 2008

Election 2008: Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

The final Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Election 2008 shows Barack Obama with 52% of the vote while John McCain is six points back at 46%. One percent (1%) of voters say they’ll select a third-party option while 1% remain undecided.

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November 3, 2008

Electoral College: Obama 260 McCain 160

In the Electoral College projections, Rasmussen Reports now shows Obama leading 260 to 160. When states that are leaning in one way or the other are included, Obama leads 313 to 160. A total of 270 Electoral College votes are needed for victory.