Elections

Massachusetts Senate: Warren (D) 52%, Brown (R) 47%

Democratic challenger Elizabeth Warren has now moved to a five-point lead over Republican incumbent Scott Brown in Massachusetts’ U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Massachusetts Voters finds Warren with 52% support to Brown’s 47%. (To see survey question wording, click here.

This race now moves from a Toss-Up to Leans Democrat in the Rasmussen Reports Senate Balance of Power rankings.

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Massachusetts was conducted on October 25, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Pennsylvania Senate: Casey (D) 46%, Smith (R) 45%

The U.S. Senate race in Pennsylvania is now essentially a tie.
 
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Keystone State finds incumbent Democratic Senator Bob Casey, Jr. with 46% of the vote, while Republican Tom Smith attracts 45%. Nine percent (9%) are still undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This Pennsylvania survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 24, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Arizona: Romney 52%, Obama 44%

Mitt Romney still leads President Obama in Arizona, but the race is tightening.

A new Rasmussen Reports/CBS 5 survey of Likely Arizona Voters shows Romney with 52% of the vote to Obama’s 44%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and another two percent (2%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Arizona was conducted on October 21, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Pennsylvania: Obama 51%, Romney 46%

President Obama still earns over 50% of the vote in Pennsylvania.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Pennsylvania Voters shows the president with 51% of the vote to Romney’s 46%. One percent (1%) likes another candidate, and two percent (2%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This Pennsylvania survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 24, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Who Won the Debates? 49% Say Romney, 41% Obama

Most voters consider the three presidential debates at least somewhat important to how they will vote, and a plurality of those that watched thinks Mitt Romney was the overall debate winner.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds just eight percent (8%) of Likely U.S. Voters did not watch any of the debates. Sixty-three percent (63%) watched a portion or all of all three debates. Fourteen percent (14%) watched some or all of one of the debates, 15% some or all of two of the prime-time television encounters. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The national survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on October 23-24, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC . See methodology.

Nevada Senate: Heller (R) 50%, Berkley (D) 45%

Incumbent Republican Dean Heller continues to earn 50% support against Democratic Congresswoman Shelley Berkley in Nevada’s U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Nevada voters shows Heller with 50% of the vote to Berkley’s 45%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.) 

The race remains Leans Republican in the Rasmussen Reports Senate Balance of Power rankings. President Obama leads Mitt Romney by two points in the state, 50% to 48%. 

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This Nevada survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 23, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Arizona Senate: Flake (R) 50%, Carmona (D) 44%

Republican Congressman Jeff Flake has hit the 50% mark for the first time in the U.S. Senate race in Arizona.

A new Rasmussen Reports/CBS 5 survey finds Flake with 50% of the vote to Democrat Richard Carmona’s 44%. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and another three percent (3%) are undecided. This survey was taken following the candidates' recent debate. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Arizona was conducted on October 21, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

North Dakota Governor: Dalrymple (R) 53%, Taylor (D) 39%

Republican incumbent Jack Dalrymple continues to hold a healthy lead over his Democratic challenger Ryan Taylor in the North Dakota gubernatorial race. 

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely North Dakota Voters finds Dalrymple earning 53% of the vote to Ryan Taylor's 39%.  Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and six percent (6%) are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 600 Likely Voters in North Dakota was conducted on October 17-18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Nevada: Obama 50%, Romney 48%

President Obama still receives 50% of the vote in Nevada’s tight presidential race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Nevada voters, taken the night after the final presidential debate, shows Obama with 50% support to Mitt Romney’s 48%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and one percent (1%) is undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This Nevada survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 23, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Minnesota Senate: Klobuchar (D) 56%, Bills (R) 33%

Incumbent Democrat Amy Klobuchar holds a double-digit lead in her bid for reelection to the U.S. Senate in Minnesota.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Minnesota Voters finds Klobuchar leading Republican challenger Kurt Bills 56% to 33%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and nine percent (9%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Minnesota was conducted on October 21, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Connecticut: Obama 52%, Romney 45%

Connecticut remains Obama country again in this year’s presidential race.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Connecticut Voters shows President Obama with 52% support to Mitt Romney’s 45%. One percent (1%) likes another candidate, and two percent (2%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This Connecticut survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 21, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.  See methodology.

Minnesota: Obama 51%, Romney 46%

President Obama earns just over 50% of the vote in Minnesota. 

A new telephone survey of Likely Minnesota Voters finds Barack Obama with 51% support to 46% for Mitt Romney.  One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, while another one percent (1%) is undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Minnesota is Leans Obama in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections.

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Minnesota was conducted on October 21, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

North Dakota Senate: Berg (R) 50%, Heitkamp (D) 45%

Republican Congressman Rick Berg still holds a modest lead over former state Attorney General Heidi Heitkamp in North Dakota’s U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in North Dakota finds Berg with 50% support to Heitkamp’s 45%. Five percent (5%) are still undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 600 Likely Voters in North Dakota was conducted on October 17-18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

North Dakota: Romney 54%, Obama 40%

Mitt Romney maintains a comfortable lead over President Obama in North Dakota.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely North Dakota Voters shows Romney with 54% of the vote to Obama’s 40%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 600 Likely Voters in North Dakota was conducted on October 17-18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

47% See Better Economy With Romney, 35% With Obama

More voters than ever think the economy will get better if Mitt Romney is elected president. Nearly as many expect the economy to get worse if President Obama is reelected.  A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 47% of Likely U.S. Voters now believe that if Romney is elected president and the Republicans win control of Congress, the economy will get better. Thirty-two percent (32%) think it will get worse under Romney. If Obama is reelected and the Democrats regain control of Congress, 35% think the economy will improve, while 42% say it will get worse.

Roughly one-in-five voters think the economy will stay about the same, no matter which man is elected president. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on October 17-18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Washington Senate: Cantwell (D) 52%, Baumgartner (R) 37%

Democratic incumbent Maria Cantwell continues to hold a commanding lead over Republican challenger Michael Baumgartner in Washington State’s U.S. Senate race. A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Washington Voters finds Cantwell earning 52% support, while Baumgartner, a state senator, draws 37% of the vote. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and nine percent (9%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This Washington survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 14, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Missouri Senate: McCaskill 51%, Akin 43%

Incumbent Democrat Claire McCaskill continues to lead Republican Congressman Todd Akin in Missouri’s U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Missouri Voters shows McCaskill with 51% of the vote to Akin’s 43%. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and another three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This Missouri survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 17, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.  See methodology.

Missouri: Romney 54%, Obama 43%

Mitt Romney now has a double-digit lead in Missouri.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Missouri Voters, taken the night after the second presidential debate, finds Romney with 54% support to President Obama’s 43%. One percent (1%) favors some other candidate, and three percent (3%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted on October 17, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Washington: Obama 55%, Romney 42%

President Obama has extended his lead over Mitt Romney in Washington State.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Washington Voters finds Obama with 55% support to 42% for Romney. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, while one percent (1%) is undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

In Rasmussen Reports’ first look at this race in late September, Obama held a 52% to 44% advantage over his GOP challenger. 

Washington now moves from Likely Obama to Safe Obama in the Electoral College Scoreboard. Obama defeated Senator John McCain 58% to 41% in the state in 2008.

Take the Rasmussen Challenge for a chance to win an IPad. This week's entries will be accepted until 11:59pm ET tonight.

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This Washington survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 14, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Washington Governor: Inslee (D) 47%, McKenna (R) 45%

The race to be Washington’s next governor remains virtually tied.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state finds Democrat Jay Inslee holding a slight edge over Republican Rob McKenna, 47% to 45%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, while eight percent (8%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Take the Rasmussen Challenge for a chance to win an IPad.

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

This Washington survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 14, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.