Elections

Maine Senate: Collins (R) 59%, Bellows (D) 31%

Republican Susan Collins holds a near two-to-one lead in her bid for a fourth term in the U.S. Senate.

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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Maine was conducted on September 3-4, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Oregon Senate: Merkley (D) 48%, Wehby (R) 35%

Democratic Senator Jeff Merkley has pulled further ahead of Republican challenger Monica Wehby in his reelection bid in Oregon.

Oregon is rated Safe Democrat in the Rasmussen Reports 2014 Senate Balance of Power rankings. 

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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Oregon was conducted on September 2-3, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Oklahoma Special Senate: Lankford (R) 58%, Johnson (D) 29%

Republican Congressman James Lankford has a two-to-one lead over Democratic State Senator Connie Johnson in Rasmussen Reports’ first look at Oklahoma’s special election for U.S. Senate.

The special election will determine who will take over the seat held by Republican Tom Coburn, who is resigning in early 2015 with two years left in his term. This race is rated Safe Republican in the Rasmussen Reports’ 2014 Senate Balance of Power rankings. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Oklahoma was conducted on August 27-28, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Vermont Governor: Shumlin (D) 48%, Milne (R) 36%

Democratic incumbent Peter Shumlin has a double-digit lead over Republican challenger Scott Milne in Vermont’s gubernatorial race.

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The survey of 700 Likely Voters in Vermont was conducted on August 28-29 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

South Carolina Governor: Haley (R) 51%, Sheheen (D) 36%

Republican Governor Nikki Haley remains comfortably ahead of Democratic challenger Vincent Sheheen in her bid for reelection in South Carolina.

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely South Carolina Voters finds Haley with 51% support to Sheheen’s 36%. Six percent (6%) prefer some other candidate, while seven percent (7%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in South Carolina was conducted on August 25-26, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Wyoming Governor: Mead (R) 55%, Gosar (D) 34%

Matt Mead turned back two challengers in this week’s Republican primary and looks well on his way to reelection as governor of Wyoming.

A new Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Wyoming Voters finds Mead with 55% support to Democratic challenger Pete Gosar’s 34%. Seven percent (7%) like another candidate in the race, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 700 Likely Voters in Wyoming was conducted on August 20-21, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Wyoming Senate: Enzi (R) 63%, Hardy (D) 27%

Count Wyoming’s Senate race strongly in the Red State column. (Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook. The survey of 700 Likely Voters in Wyoming was conducted on August 20-21, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Montana Senate: Daines (R) 55%, Curtis (D) 35%

New Democratic candidate Amanda Curtis has a long way to go to keep Republicans from claiming one of Montana’s U.S. Senate seats this year. (To see question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Montana was conducted on August 18-19, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Tennessee Governor: Haslam (R) 55%, Brown (D) 30%

Incumbent Republican Bill Haslam is well ahead of his Democratic challenger Charles Brown in Tennessee's gubernatorial contest. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Tennessee was conducted on August 11-12, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Tennessee Senate: Alexander (R) 47%, Ball (D) 32%

Republican Senator Lamar Alexander holds a double-digit lead over Democratic challenger Gordon Ball in his bid for reelection in Tennessee.

Alexander picks up 47% of the vote to Ball’s 32% in a new Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Tennessee Voters. Ten percent (10%) prefer some other candidate, and 12% are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Tennessee was conducted on August 11-12, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Perry for Prez? What Do Texans Think?

Most Texas voters still like the job Governor Rick Perry is doing, but they’re less enthusiastic about seeing him in the White House.

A new Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey finds that 54% of Likely Texas Voters approve of Perry’s job performance, while 43% disapprove. This includes 27% who Strongly Approve and 29% who Strongly Disapprove. (To see question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 850 Likely Voters in Texas was conducted on August 4-5, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Oklahoma Senate: Inhofe (R) 58%, Silverstein (D) 27%

Longtime Republican Senator Jim Inhofe appears to be cruising comfortably toward reelection in Oklahoma.

Inhofe picks up 58% of the vote to Democrat Matt Silverstein’s 27% in a new Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Oklahoma Voters. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate in the race, while 10% are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Oklahoma was conducted on July 15-16, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Oklahoma Governor: Fallin (R) 45%, Dorman (D) 40%

Republican Mary Fallin is in a surprisingly close contest for reelection in Rasmussen Reports’ first look at the 2014 gubernatorial race in Oklahoma.

A new statewide telephone survey of Likely Oklahoma Voters finds Fallin with 45% support to Democratic state Representative Joe Dorman’s 40%. Seven percent (7%) favor some other candidate, while eight percent (8%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Oklahoma was conducted on July 15-16, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Maryland Voters Are Less Than Enthusiastic About An O’Malley Presidency

Maryland Governor Martin O’Malley still has a lot of convincing to do – even in his home state - if he’s going to run for the White House in 2016. Just 15% of Likely Maryland Voters think O’Malley should run for president two years from now. A new Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey finds that 62% do not think their two-term governor should run. But nearly one-out-of-four (23%) are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Maryland was conducted on July 9-10, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

South Carolina Special Senate Election: Scott (R) 53%, Dickerson (D) 31%

Appointed Republican Senator Tim Scott holds a big lead over Democrat Joyce Dickerson in his first election bid for a full Senate term in South Carolina. Scott picks up 53% of the vote to Dickerson’s 31%, according to a new Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely South Carolina Voters. Six percent (6%) prefer some other candidate in the race, while 11% are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in South Carolina was conducted on July 9-10, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Maryland Governor: Brown (D) 48%, Hogan (R) 35%

Democratic Lieutenant Governor Anthony Brown has a double-digit lead over Republican Larry Hogan in the race to be Maryland’s next governor.

Brown picks up 48% of the vote to Hogan’s 35%, according to a new Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Maryland Voters. Seven percent (7%) prefer some other candidate in the race, while 10% are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Maryland was conducted on July 9-10, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

South Carolina Senate: Graham (R) 49%, Hutto (D) 30%

Senator Lindsey Graham easily turned back several challengers in South Carolina’s Republican primary last month and now looks comfortably on the path to reelection.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely South Carolina Voters finds Graham with 49% support to Democrat Brad Hutto’s 30%. Ten percent (10%) like some other candidate, and 11% are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here).

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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in South Carolina was conducted on July 9-10, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Mississippi Senate: Cochran (R) 46%, Childers (D) 34%

Incumbent Thad Cochran, coming off his narrow win in Tuesday’s testy Republican primary runoff, still holds a double-digit lead over Democratic challenger Travis Childers in Mississippi’s U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Mississippi Voters finds Cochran with 46% support to Childers’ 34%. Ten percent (10%) prefer some other candidate, while nearly as many (9%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Mississippi was conducted on June 25-26, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Just 40% Approve of Presidential Primary Process

Both major political parties face possibly lengthy presidential primary seasons in 2016, and most voters aren’t sure that’s a good thing.

New Rasmussen Reports national telephone surveying finds that 40% of Likely U.S. Voters think the current primary process is a good way to select a party’s presidential candidate. But 60% don’t agree, with 29% who consider it a bad way to select a presidential candidate and 31% who are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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Three surveys of 1,000 Likely Voters each were conducted on June 14-15, June 16-17 and June 20-21, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error for each survey is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Nevada Governor: Sandoval (R) 55%, Goodman (D) 28%

Republican Governor Brian Sandoval holds a two-to-one lead over his Democratic challenger in his bid for reelection in Nevada.

Sandoval picks up 55% support to former State Economic Development Commissioner Robert Goodman’s 28%, according to a new Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Nevada Voters. Six percent (6%) prefer some other candidate, while 11% are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Nevada was conducted on June 16-18, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.