Elections

Jeb Bush Burdened by Surname?

Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush’s entry into the Republican presidential field comes with a burden that the other candidates don’t face: his surname.

Does Lincoln Chafee Stand A Chance?

Lincoln Chafee who held statewide office in Rhode Island both as a Republican and as an Independent has an uphill battle in his bid to become the Democratic Party’s presidential nominee. For starters, he needs to help voters in his own party get to know him better.

GOP Voters Rate Rick Perry's Chances

Rick Perry who recently stepped down as the longtime governor of Texas is running again for the Republican presidential nomination, and GOP voters see him just behind the pack of early front-runners.

Hillary Clinton vs. Michael Bloomberg

Some pundits have suggested that liberal darling Michael Bloomberg, the former mayor of New York City, should jump into the race for the Democratic presidential nomination, but is he really a threat to frontrunner Hillary Clinton?

Graham Runs Dead Last Among Republicans

Longtime Senator Lindsey Graham has entered the sea of candidates seeking the Republican presidential nomination, but GOP voters rate the South Carolinian the longest of the long-shots in the race so far.

Santorum, Pataki Are Long Shots for GOP Nod

Former New York Governor George Pataki and Rick Santorum, the one-time Pennsylvania senator who came up short in the 2012 presidential contest, have joined the crowded Republican race for 2016, but GOP voters think they have little chance of capturing their party's presidential nomination.

O’Malley Has a Big Sales Job to Democrats Ahead

Former Maryland Governor Martin O’Malley is an even bigger unknown to members of his own party than Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders, but both men have a steep hill to climb if they’re going to take next year’s Democratic presidential nomination away from Hillary Clinton.

Will A Republican Be the Next President?

There’s still a ways to go before Election Day 2016, but most voters – especially Republicans – think a GOP victory is likely.

Voters Give Huckabee Best Shot at Nomination of This Week’s GOP Newcomers

Republicans think Mike Huckabee has the best chance of getting the GOP presidential nomination of the three new contenders in the race this week, but then he’s the best-known of the trio.

Note to 2016 Hopefuls: Don't Call Yourself a Socialist or Career Politician

The 2016 presidential race has its first self-described socialist candidate now that longtime Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders is running for the Democratic nomination, but most voters see this political label as toxic.

A Tale of Two Pollsters

The New York Times reports in their latest poll released late yesterday that Americans don’t care about Hillary Clinton’s e-mail and Clinton Foundation problems. They conclude that the former secretary of State and putative Democratic presidential nominee in 2016 has weathered the storm so far.

For Democrats, it’s always advantageous when pollsters turn to Americans in general or even registered voters rather than Likely Voters like those we routinely survey here at Rasmussen Reports. It’s true that Republicans are more likely than Democrats to say they intend to vote which helps explain why Democrats are always championing schemes like same-day voter registration, mail-in voting and the like to get their voters to the polls. But, historically, we’ve also found that polling likely voters gets us closer to the actual end result than surveying Americans as a whole.

Will Bernie Sanders Be the Democratic Nominee in 2016?

Bernie Sanders has some work to do if he wants to be the next Democratic nominee for president of the United States.

Will Bill Help or Hurt Hillary in 2016?

Voters are less convinced that Bill Clinton will be a plus for his wife’s bid for the White House.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 46% of Likely U.S. Voters think the former president will help Hillary Clinton’s run next year. That’s down from 54% a year ago. Twenty-one percent (21%) now think he will hurt her candidacy, up eight points from last year, while just has many (22%) say he’ll have no impact. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on April 13-14, 2015 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Additional information from this survey and a full demographic breakdown are available to Platinum Members only.

Rubio for President?

Senator Marco Rubio is the third Republican to officially announce his candidacy for president, and GOP voters think he has about the same shot as his announced rivals to win the party’s nomination. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on April 13-14, 2015 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

57% Think Hillary Clinton Likely To Win in 2016

Most voters think Hillary Clinton will be the next president of the United States even though they have very mixed feelings about her. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on April 13-14, 2015 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Clinton vs. Cruz, Clinton vs. Paul

Hillary Clinton, now officially a candidate for president in 2016, leads the first two announced candidates for the Republican nomination but earns less than 50% support at this early stage.

(To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on April 9 & 12, 2015 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

How Do GOP Voters Rate Rand Paul’s Chances?

Republican voters rate Rand Paul’s chances of getting the GOP presidential nomination as about the same as Ted Cruz’s at this early stage of the game. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

[Have we heard from you yet? The 2015 Rasmussen Reports reader survey is the most important poll we’ll take all year. Take the survey now.]  

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on April 7-8, 2015 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

GOP Voters Are Closely Divided on Cruz's Chances

Ted Cruz, the junior U.S. senator from Texas, is the first official Republican candidate for president, but GOP voters are almost evenly divided this early out whether he’ll be their party’s nominee in 2016. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on March 24-25, 2015 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

54% Think Democrats Should Run A Fresh Face in 2016

Most voters think the Democratic Party should look for a presidential newcomer in 2016, and over half of Democrats don't disagree.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 54% of Likely U.S. Voters believe Democrats should look for a fresh face to run for president in 2016 rather than promote a candidate who has already run in the past. Only 22% think Democrats should go with a candidate from the past. Just as many (23%) are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls).  Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on March 16-17, 2015 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Additional information from this survey and a full demographic breakdown are available to Platinum Members only.

Take Hillary Out of the Mix, and the Democratic Nominee is…

Elizabeth Warren and Joe Biden jump to the head of the list of Democratic contenders if Hillary Clinton chooses not to run for president in 2016.

Democrats worried about the e-mail and foreign donation controversies now surrounding Clinton are beginning to talk about other possible presidential candidates for next year, but the latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 88% of Likely Democratic Voters still believe Clinton is likely to be their party’s nominee. This includes 60% who say it’s Very Likely. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on March 8-9, 2015 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.