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Election 2012: Senate Elections

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November 5, 2012

Ohio Senate: Brown (D) 50%, Mandel (R) 48%

The U.S. Senate race in Ohio remains a near-tie on the eve of Election Day.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters shows Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown earning 50% and his Republican challenger Josh Mandel with 48% support. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and another one percent (1%) is still undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted on November 4, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is  conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

November 5, 2012

Virginia Senate: Kaine (D) 49%, Allen (R) 47%

Democrat Tim Kaine holds a two-point lead over Republican George Allen in the closing hours of Virginia's U.S. Senate race.

The final Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Virginia Voters before Election Day shows Kaine with 49% of the vote to Allen’s 47%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Virginia was conducted on November 4, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

November 2, 2012

Indiana Senate: Donnelly (D) 45%, Mourdock (R) 42%

Democratic Congressman Joe Donnelly has a three-point lead over Republican Richard Mourdock in the closing days of Indiana’s U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Indiana Voters shows Donnelly with 45% support to Mourdock’s 42%. A surprisingly large number of voters either prefer another candidate in the race (6%) or remain undecided (6%). (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The Indiana survey of 600 Likely Voters was conducted November 1, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports.  The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.

November 2, 2012

Montana Senate: Tester (D) 49%, Rehberg (R) 48%

The Montana Senate race remains a near tie as Election Day nears, with incumbent Democrat Jon Tester now ahead by one point.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Montana Voters finds Tester with 49% support to 48% for his Republican challenger, Congressman Denny Rehberg. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate in the race, and another two percent (2%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This Montana survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 29, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

November 2, 2012

Wisconsin Senate: Thompson (R) 48%, Baldwin (D) 48%

Former Governor Tommy Thompson and Democratic Congresswoman Tammy Baldwin are tied in Wisconsin's U.S. Senate race.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Wisconsin Voters shows Thompson and Baldwin each earning 48%. One percent (1%) likes some other candidate, and two percent (2%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

This Wisconsin survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted on October 29, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 29, 2012

Connecticut Senate: Murphy (D) 51%, McMahon (R) 45%

Democratic Congressman Chris Murphy moves to his biggest lead yet over Republican businesswoman Linda McMahon in Connecticut’s U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Connecticut Voters shows Murphy with 51% of the vote to McMahon’s 45%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This Connecticut survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 28, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.  See methodology.

October 29, 2012

Florida Senate: Nelson (D) 49%, Mack (R) 46%

Incumbent Democrat Bill Nelson holds just a three-point lead now in Florida’s U.S. Senate race.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Florida Voters shows Nelson with 49% support to 46% for his Republican challenger, Congressman Connie Mack.  Two percent (2%) like some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Florida was conducted on October 25, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 26, 2012

Massachusetts Senate: Warren (D) 52%, Brown (R) 47%

Democratic challenger Elizabeth Warren has now moved to a five-point lead over Republican incumbent Scott Brown in Massachusetts’ U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Massachusetts Voters finds Warren with 52% support to Brown’s 47%. (To see survey question wording, click here.

This race now moves from a Toss-Up to Leans Democrat in the Rasmussen Reports Senate Balance of Power rankings.

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Massachusetts was conducted on October 25, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 26, 2012

Pennsylvania Senate: Casey (D) 46%, Smith (R) 45%

The U.S. Senate race in Pennsylvania is now essentially a tie.
 
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Keystone State finds incumbent Democratic Senator Bob Casey, Jr. with 46% of the vote, while Republican Tom Smith attracts 45%. Nine percent (9%) are still undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This Pennsylvania survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 24, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 25, 2012

Nevada Senate: Heller (R) 50%, Berkley (D) 45%

Incumbent Republican Dean Heller continues to earn 50% support against Democratic Congresswoman Shelley Berkley in Nevada’s U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Nevada voters shows Heller with 50% of the vote to Berkley’s 45%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.) 

The race remains Leans Republican in the Rasmussen Reports Senate Balance of Power rankings. President Obama leads Mitt Romney by two points in the state, 50% to 48%. 

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This Nevada survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 23, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 25, 2012

Arizona Senate: Flake (R) 50%, Carmona (D) 44%

Republican Congressman Jeff Flake has hit the 50% mark for the first time in the U.S. Senate race in Arizona.

A new Rasmussen Reports/CBS 5 survey finds Flake with 50% of the vote to Democrat Richard Carmona’s 44%. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and another three percent (3%) are undecided. This survey was taken following the candidates' recent debate. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Arizona was conducted on October 21, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 23, 2012

Minnesota Senate: Klobuchar (D) 56%, Bills (R) 33%

Incumbent Democrat Amy Klobuchar holds a double-digit lead in her bid for reelection to the U.S. Senate in Minnesota.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Minnesota Voters finds Klobuchar leading Republican challenger Kurt Bills 56% to 33%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and nine percent (9%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Minnesota was conducted on October 21, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 23, 2012

North Dakota Senate: Berg (R) 50%, Heitkamp (D) 45%

Republican Congressman Rick Berg still holds a modest lead over former state Attorney General Heidi Heitkamp in North Dakota’s U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in North Dakota finds Berg with 50% support to Heitkamp’s 45%. Five percent (5%) are still undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 600 Likely Voters in North Dakota was conducted on October 17-18, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 21, 2012

Washington Senate: Cantwell (D) 52%, Baumgartner (R) 37%

Democratic incumbent Maria Cantwell continues to hold a commanding lead over Republican challenger Michael Baumgartner in Washington State’s U.S. Senate race. A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Washington Voters finds Cantwell earning 52% support, while Baumgartner, a state senator, draws 37% of the vote. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and nine percent (9%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This Washington survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 14, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 19, 2012

Missouri Senate: McCaskill 51%, Akin 43%

Incumbent Democrat Claire McCaskill continues to lead Republican Congressman Todd Akin in Missouri’s U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Missouri Voters shows McCaskill with 51% of the vote to Akin’s 43%. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and another three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This Missouri survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 17, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.  See methodology.

October 15, 2012

Michigan Senate: Stabenow (D) 51%, Hoekstra (R) 39%

Democratic incumbent Debbie Stabenow still earns over 50% support in Michigan’s U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state finds Stabenow with 51% support while her Republican challenger, Peter Hoekstra, receives 39% of the vote. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, while seven percent (7%) are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Michigan was conducted on October 11, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

October 11, 2012

New Mexico Senate: Heinrich (D) 52%, Wilson (R) 39%

Democrat Martin Heinrich maintains his double-digit lead over his Republican challenger, Heather Wilson, in New Mexico’s U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state finds Heinrich with 52% support to Wilson’s 39%.  Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate in the race, while another five percent (5%) are undecided.  (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This New Mexico survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on October 8, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.  See methodology

September 27, 2012

Maine Senate: King (I) 45%, Summers (R) 33%, Dill (D) 14%

Independent Angus King is well ahead of Republican Charlie Summers and Democrat Cynthia Dill in Rasmussen Reports' first look at the U.S. Senate race in Maine.

A telephone survey of Likely Maine Voters shows King earning 45% support to Summers' 33% and 14% for Dill. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and seven percent (7%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

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This Maine survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted on September 25, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

May 17, 2012

Nebraska Senate: Fischer (R) 56%, Kerrey (D) 38%

State Senator Deb Fischer holds an 18-point lead over Democrat Bob Kerrey in the first Rasmussen Reports survey of the Nebraska U.S. Senate race since her upset win in this week’s state Republican primary.

A new telephone survey of Likely Voters in Nebraska shows Fischer with 56% support to 38% for Kerrey who is trying to reclaim the Senate seat he retired from in 2001. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate in the race, and three percent (3%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

This Nebraska survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted May 16, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Fieldwork for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

April 27, 2012

Florida Senate: Nelson (D) 47%, Mack (R) 36%

Incumbent Democrat Bill Nelson now posts double-digit leads over all three of his Republican challengers in Florida’s 2012 U.S. Senate race.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Florida Voters shows Nelson with 47% support to 36% for Congressman Connie Mack, his leading GOP opponent. Ten percent (10%) like some other candidate in the race, and seven percent (7%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)