How Important is Iowa for the Democrats?
While most Americans are preparing for Thanksgiving and the holiday season, the nation’s political junkies are eagerly anticipating the Iowa caucuses on January 3.
While most Americans are preparing for Thanksgiving and the holiday season, the nation’s political junkies are eagerly anticipating the Iowa caucuses on January 3.
At the beginning of 2007, a compelling narrative of the Republican race suggested that Rudy Giuliani and John McCain would compete to be the moderate candidate while Mitt Romney and some others would seek to become the conservative alternative.
Democratic Senator Barack Obama now leads Republican Senator McCain 46% to 43%, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of the presidential race.
Mitt Romney has extended his lead in the Iowa Republican Presidential Caucus for 2008 and three candidates are virtually tied for second place.
Senator Hillary Clinton’s lead in Iowa has fallen seven points over the past few weeks. This is consistent with the six-point slide measured in New Hampshire. The latest Rasmussen Reports poll of the Iowa Democratic Caucus for 2008 finds Clinton on top with support from 29% of Likely Caucus Participants. That’s down from 33% in mid-October.
Senator Barack Obama (D) now leads former Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R) 43% to 41%, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey. Obama posts a 47% to 42% lead over former Senator Fred Thompson (R).
With less than two months to go until the Iowa caucuses kick off the actual voting in Election 2008, Arizona Senator John McCain finds himself with the smallest level of core opposition among all the major Presidential candidates from both parties.
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey found Hillary Clinton leading Rudy Giuliani by three percentage points in a four-way race that includes Ron Paul running as a Libertarian candidate and Ralph Nader representing the Green Party.
Just 25% of Americans believe that the Democratic candidates are piling on Senator Hillary Clinton and attacking her unfairly.
When Georgia voters consider four possible general-election match-ups, the top two Democratic presidential contenders consistently trail two leading Republicans. But Senator Hillary Clinton does much better than Senator Barack Obama in the match-ups—thanks largely to her greater popularity with women and despite her high negatives.
Fred Thompson, the actor and former U.S. Senator from Tennessee (1994 to 2002), easily dispatches top Democrats when voters in the state consider possible general-election match-ups. He leads Senator Hillary Clinton 53% to 41%, Senator Barack Obama 56% to 33%, and former Senator John Edwards 53% to 37%.
Two narratives of the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination are competing for dominance this week. In one narrative, New York Senator Hillary Clinton has lost support due to her debate gaffe and follow-up efforts. The other is that Clinton is the dominant frontrunner with significant leads just about everywhere.
While the Republican race remains very fluid, voters are starting to pay attention and meaningful trends are starting to take shape. Over the past week, those trends have signaled good news for Mitt Romney, John McCain, and Mike Huckabee while delivering the opposite message to Fred Thompson.
Dennis Kucinich is seen by Democratic voters as the most liberal candidate in their field of potential Presidential nominees. Thirty-five percent (35%) hold that view of the Ohio Congressman. But, an even larger number, 45%, don’t know enough to offer an opinion about him.
During the early stumbles of Fred Thompson’s Presidential campaign, his poll numbers and position in the race were sustained by the perception of Republican voters that he was the most conservative candidate in the Republican field. That is no longer the case.
A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey shows that former NYC Mayor Giuliani would be the Republican contender with the best fighting chance to take Connecticut's electoral-college votes away from Senator Hillary Clinton.
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Election 2008 shows Arizona Senator John McCain (R) leading New York Senator Hillary Clinton (D) by just two percentage points, 47% to 45%. While the “lead” is statistically insignificant, it’s the first time since May that McCain has had any advantage over Clinton.
After a recent tightening of her match-ups with two leading GOP contenders, Democratic Senator Hillary Clinton now enjoys a modest advantage over each. Clinton leads former Mayor Rudy Giuliani 48% to 42% in the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Election 2008
Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney has opened a bigger lead in the New Hampshire Republican Presidential Primary.
Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee, who recently rose to the top tier of GOP candidates in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll, has pulled to within three points of the Democratic frontrunner in a general election match-up.