Are National Presidential Polls Relevant?
Or Is It Just the State Polls That Matter?
Many people have written recently with various forms of the same message: "National polls don't matter in the Presidential Race. As we learned four years ago, the only thing that counts is the Electoral College." That perspective is understandable, but wrong. Right now, if a state poll tells us either Bush or Kerry is ahead or behind by a few points, all we really know is that the state is in play.
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