Where Things Stand (Good News for Democrats)
A Commentary by Douglas Schoen
Rasmussen's recent polling suggests compellingly that the Democratic Party maintains an enormously strong advantage over the Republican on all of the indicators that are monitored monthly.
The implication is clear: if an election were held right now, there would be a Democratic sweep at or above the levels seen in 2006.
Overall, the Democrats have held a double digit lead over the Republicans on generic vote for Congress over the past three months. Democratic support has been close to 50% for the past three months while Republican support has not cracked 40%
Also, Democrats hold a lead on nine of the ten issues Rasmussen tracks. On social issues, the lead frequently exceeded 10%.
Further, on party identification, the Democrats lead is a solid 4.5% which is close to where it was before the 2006 midterm elections and well ahead of the virtual dead heat that was in evidence before the 2004 Presidential election.
Finally, each of the leading Democratic Presidential candidates leads all top Republican hopefuls in general election match-ups.
In writing for this site, I do my very best to avoid partisanship or bias. Nevertheless, it is very hard to conclude that the Democrats are in anything but a commanding position as 2008 approaches.
Douglas Schoen is a founding and former partner of Penn Schoen & Berland, and a Fox News Contributor.
Schoen was President Bill Clinton's research and strategic consultant during the 1996 reelection campaign.
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