2020 Electoral College: Why the Republicans’ Magic Number is Probably 269, Not 270 By Kyle Kondik
Despite Democratic takeover, Republicans still hold an edge if the House has to pick the president
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE
— There is at least one plausible Electoral College scenario that produces a 269-269 tie, which would throw the presidential election to the House of Representatives elected in 2020.
— If the House decides the presidency, you might think that Democrats would have the advantage, given their new majority. But it’s the Republicans that hold — and are likely to maintain — the advantage.