Political Commentary

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August 1, 2019Notes on the State of Politics By Kyle Kondik
Debate effects can fade; Trump may be running behind his approval; the NC-9 special; a Magnolia runoff?
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— The polling effects from the first debate largely wore off by the time the second round started.
— In 2016, President Trump won some voters who otherwise did not like him, but there are some signs he isn’t benefiting from such a dynamic at the moment.
— The NC-9 special House election moves from Toss-up to Leans Republican.
— Mississippi’s GOP gubernatorial primary may be headed to a runoff.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                
                                
                
                    <img src="https://www.rasmussenreports.com/var/plain/storage/images/_aliases/wide_266/public_content/political_commentary/commentary_by_brian_joondeph/dems_rely_on_phony_impeachment_polling/1397021-1-eng-US/dems_rely_on_phony_impeachment_polling.jpg" />
                
            
                            July 31, 2019Dems Rely on Phony Impeachment Polling By Brian C. Joondeph
Despite the embarrassing spectacle of Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s congressional testimony where he finally learned about the report he supposedly created and wrote, Democrats are doubling down on stupid.
July 31, 2019Freedom of Assembly Under Fire By Michelle Malkin
Do law-abiding American citizens still have the right to gather peacefully to discuss their ideas without fear of government censorship and retribution?
July 31, 2019Free Stuff! By John Stossel
Never before have presidential candidates offered voters so much "free" stuff.
July 30, 2019Why the Fed Is Right to Inject the Economy With More Dollars By Stephen Moore
Suddenly, nearly everyone wants the Federal Reserve Board to cut interest rates. I've been arguing for this for nine months, so it's nice to see the economic intelligentsia is finally persuaded. The Fed has become a restraint on growth since last August thanks to ill-advised interest rate increases (and promises to raise rates more in 2019), which slowly squeezed out of the economy dollar liquidity and tanked the stock market.
July 30, 2019Is Trump Capturing the 'Law and Order' Issue? Patrick J. Buchanan
Did President Donald Trump launch his Twitter barrage at Elijah Cummings simply because the Baltimore congressman was black?

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                
                                
                
                    <img src="https://www.rasmussenreports.com/var/plain/storage/images/_aliases/wide_266/public_content/political_commentary/commentary_by_doug_johnson_hatlem/are_democrats_on_track_for_a_brokered_convention/1396858-1-eng-US/are_democrats_on_track_for_a_brokered_convention.png" />
                
            
                            July 30, 2019Are Democrats On Track for a Brokered Convention? By Doug Johnson Hatlem
My #10at10 2020 Democratic Primary Model is now live. It includes delegate projections down to the state and congressional district level (State Senate district in Texas) for every state voting from the Iowa Caucus on February 3 through Super Tuesday when 13 states vote a month later.
July 27, 2019Progressives to Democrats: We're Watching the Way You Mistreat 'the Squad' By Ted Rall
Strictly speaking, Nancy Pelosi is right. Led by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New York, the four Congressional freshmen known as the Squad are, by Beltway standards, relatively powerless -- just four votes, as the speaker said. They chair no committees and head no broad coalitions that can be counted upon to cast yeas and nays at their command.
July 26, 2019After Mueller Debacle, Where Do Democrats Go? By Patrick J. Buchanan
The Democrats who were looking to cast Robert Mueller as the star in a TV special, "The Impeachment of Donald Trump," can probably tear up the script. They're gonna be needing a new one.
July 26, 2019A Big Wednesday for 'Populists' on Both Sides of the Atlantic By Michael Barone
Power shifted Wednesday, on both sides of the Atlantic.
In Washington, the dim performance of Robert Mueller, in the hearings House Democrats insisted on, took the last air out of the Collusiongate balloon. The notion that Donald Trump would be hounded out of office has been revealed as the fantasy it always was.
July 25, 2019The 2020 Congressional Elections: A Very Early Forecast By Alan I. Abramowitz
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— A forecasting model based on postwar electoral history along with the president’s approval rating and the House generic ballot points to Democratic gains next fall.
— The model’s projection won’t be finalized until late next summer and will be based on whatever the president’s approval and the House generic ballot polling is at that time.
— The Republicans enjoy some advantages on both the House and Senate map that might allow them to overperform whatever the model’s final projection is.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                
                                
                
                    <img src="https://www.rasmussenreports.com/var/plain/storage/images/_aliases/wide_266/public_content/political_commentary/commentary_by_brian_joondeph/for_being_such_an_idiot_trump_is_pretty_smart/1396518-1-eng-US/for_being_such_an_idiot_trump_is_pretty_smart.jpg" />
                
            
                            July 25, 2019For Being Such An Idiot, Trump Is Pretty Smart By Brian Joondeph
We have been hearing now for four years, ever since that escalator ride at Trump Tower, how then-candidate, now President Trump is such an idiot. The media, Democrats and NeverTrumpers virtually in lockstep assured us that Trump would never be the Republican nominee. When he was, they doubled down promising that he would never be president. Nearly every so-called opinion poll confirmed their predictions.
July 24, 2019NYC's Anti-Cop Anarchy: What Say You, Dante de Blasio? By Michelle Malkin
Dante de Blasio is the son of Democratic New York Mayor Bill de Blasio, who has abandoned his crime-wracked city (but not his public office, tax-subsidized salary or perks) for a quixotic presidential bid to become America's social justice warrior-in-chief. Calculated to promote his race card-playing dad's campaign, Dante stoked anti-cop hysteria a few weeks ago with a widely disseminated USA Today op-ed. Dante's screed came just days after de Blasio declared at the first Democratic debate:
July 24, 2019Wages War By John Stossel
Sen. Bernie Sanders' presidential campaign was just disrupted by campaign workers demanding the same $15 per hour Sanders demands government force all employers to pay.
July 23, 2019'Who's Afraid of Cryptocurrencies?' By Stephen Moore
Finally, we seem to have a bipartisan consensus in Washington. Both parties are terrified of new private money, and they want to regulate it out of existence. The near universal fear and loathing by government officials of these so-called cryptocurrencies is all the more reason they should exist.
July 23, 2019America: An Us vs. Them Country By Patrick J. Buchanan
"Send her back! Send her back!"
The 13 seconds of that chant at the rally in North Carolina, in response to Donald Trump's recital of the outrages of Somali-born Congresswoman Ilhan Omar, will not soon be forgotten, or forgiven.
July 19, 2019It's Up To Nancy Pelosi to Cave In By Ted Rall
How should the Democratic Party resolve its civil conflict between progressives and centrists? Society has a simple rule. When an argument gets out of control, it's up to the side with the most money, power and social standing to extend an olive branch.
July 19, 2019Both Parties Are Misbehaving in Line With Their Historic Character By Michael Barone
The air is thick with lamentations that our two political parties are tearing themselves -- and the nation -- to pieces. The Republican president has picked a Twitter fight with four Democratic freshman congresswomen, and the Democratic speaker has chosen to violate House rules to pick a fight with the president.
July 19, 2019Is a New US Mideast War Inevitable? By Patrick J. Buchanan
In October 1950, as U.S. forces were reeling from hordes of Chinese troops who had intervened massively in the Korean War, a 5,000-man Turkish brigade arrived to halt an onslaught by six Chinese divisions.
Said supreme commander Gen. Douglas MacArthur: "The Turks are the hero of heroes. There is no impossibility for the Turkish Brigade."
July 18, 20192020 Redistricting: An Early Look By Kyle Kondik
GOP retains edge, but perhaps not as sharp of one as it had following 2010.
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— The Supreme Court’s recent decision to stay out of adjudicating gerrymandering doesn’t necessarily change anything because the court had never put limits on partisan redistricting in the first place.
— Republicans are still slated to control the drawing of many more districts than Democrats following the 2020 census, although there are reasons to believe their power will not be as great as it was following the last census.
— How aggressively majority parties in a number of small-to-medium-sized states target incumbents of the minority party following 2020 may help tell us whether the Supreme Court’s decision will lead to more aggressive gerrymanders.

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If it's in the News, it's in our Polls. Public opinion polling since 2003.

Political Commentary

Most Recent Releases

Notes on the State of Politics By Kyle Kondik

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

Dems Rely on Phony Impeachment Polling By Brian C. Joondeph

Freedom of Assembly Under Fire By Michelle Malkin

Free Stuff! By John Stossel

Why the Fed Is Right to Inject the Economy With More Dollars By Stephen Moore

Is Trump Capturing the 'Law and Order' Issue? Patrick J. Buchanan

Are Democrats On Track for a Brokered Convention? By Doug Johnson Hatlem

Progressives to Democrats: We're Watching the Way You Mistreat 'the Squad' By Ted Rall

After Mueller Debacle, Where Do Democrats Go? By Patrick J. Buchanan

A Big Wednesday for 'Populists' on Both Sides of the Atlantic By Michael Barone

The 2020 Congressional Elections: A Very Early Forecast By Alan I. Abramowitz

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

For Being Such An Idiot, Trump Is Pretty Smart By Brian Joondeph

NYC's Anti-Cop Anarchy: What Say You, Dante de Blasio? By Michelle Malkin

Wages War By John Stossel

'Who's Afraid of Cryptocurrencies?' By Stephen Moore

America: An Us vs. Them Country By Patrick J. Buchanan

It's Up To Nancy Pelosi to Cave In By Ted Rall

Both Parties Are Misbehaving in Line With Their Historic Character By Michael Barone

Is a New US Mideast War Inevitable? By Patrick J. Buchanan

2020 Redistricting: An Early Look By Kyle Kondik

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

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