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September 29, 2020

State Polls Give Biden Strong Lead in Electoral College as First Debate Looms By Alan I. Abramowitz

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

— There is a strong relationship between the 2020 presidential polls in the states and the 2016 results.

— This relationship makes sense given that there is an incumbent on the ballot. In these kinds of elections, we see a very high degree of consistency in the results at the state level.

— There are enough competitive states for Donald Trump to come back and win, but Joe Biden is considerably closer to the magic number of 270 than Trump, based on the polls.

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September 29, 2020

No, the United States Is Not Systemically Racist By Stephen Moore

In the second half of the 20th century, from 1950 to 2000, Black people in the United States experienced much larger income gains than whites did. The group that had the largest income gains, by far, was Black women. Their incomes nearly doubled over that period (after inflation). The race gap persists, but it is much lower today than it was in 1950. Does this sound like the financial result from a systemically racist country?

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September 29, 2020

Will Justice Amy Star in 'The Five'? By Patrick J. Buchanan

By nominating Federal Judge Amy Coney Barrett to the Supreme Court, Donald Trump kept his word, and more than that.

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September 28, 2020

Mail-In Balloting, the 12th Amendment and Impending Doom By Ted Rall

More than 80 million Americans are expected to cast mail-in ballots this fall, representing a 16-fold increase over mail-in ballots in the 2016 election.

This is probably going to cause a constitutional crisis of epic proportions.

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September 25, 2020

Who's Violating Norms These Days? By Michael Barone

Norms, we are told, matter. Violating norms, recklessly disregarding norms -- these are charges on which President Donald Trump is often arraigned in the court of public opinion.

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September 25, 2020

All the Chips Are on the Table Now By Patrick J. Buchanan

"As everyone knows, I made it clear that my first choice for the Supreme Court will make history as the first African American woman justice."

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September 24, 2020

States of Play: Ohio By Kyle Kondik

After Trump maxed out the Buckeye State’s rural areas and small town areas, can Biden max out the suburbs?

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

— Ohio insiders believe that the state is closer than last time, and that Donald Trump is struggling mightily in suburban areas.

— Still, Ohio should vote considerably to the right of the nation, thanks to its high percentage of white voters who don’t have a four-year college degree — a strong group for Trump — and its smaller-than-average nonwhite population, a group that is very Democratic.

— Suburban areas in general, and the Cincinnati and Dayton areas in particular, would likely be a key part of a Biden path to victory. But Trump is still better-positioned to win the state.

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September 23, 2020

Sunrise Movement: The Riotous Left's Pot-Banging Brats By Michelle Malkin

Wake up. The "community organizers" of the left are in full wildebeest mode. Now is not the time for bending down, rolling over or playing nice. From now until Election Day (and likely until the end of the year), you can expect screaming banshees carrying identical, preprinted signs to turn up in the middle of the night at the private homes of elected politicians, Donald Trump campaign and administration officials, law enforcement officers, judges and conservative leaders.

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September 23, 2020

Bad Policies Fuel Fires By John Stossel

"Mother Earth is angry!" says Nancy Pelosi in my newest video.

"The debate is over around climate change!" says California Governor Gavin Newsom, smirking, strangely.

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September 22, 2020

Biden Anti-Business Agenda Would Wreck the Economy By Stephen Moore

The Democrats are rewriting history, celebrating the Obama record on the economy as if these were the salad days for America. In Washington parlance, that is called "misremembering." The reality is that the Obama tax-and-regulate agenda led to the weakest economic recovery from a recession since the Great Depression.

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September 22, 2020

Last Best Chance to Capture Supreme Court By Patrick J. Buchanan

President Donald Trump and Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell are on the cusp of making history.

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September 19, 2020

If Biden Loses, This Will Be Why By Ted Rall

It would be a stretch to say that Joe Biden is in trouble. He is ahead in the polls, including in states where Donald Trump won last time. Unlike Trump, whose campaign is apparently nearly broke, Biden's campaign is raking in corporate donations.

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September 18, 2020

Beyond the Polls, Trump is Sitting Pretty By Brian C. Joondeph

Labor Day is in the rear-view mirror meaning that the presidential campaign is in full swing. With less than two months until the big day, the electoral winds appear to be blowing in President Trump’s direction.

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September 18, 2020

Statehood for Territories May Boomerang on Democrats By Michael Barone

What happens if, as seems much more likely now than it did a year or six months ago, Democrats overturn the Republican majority in the Senate?

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September 18, 2020

Is Peace at Hand in the Middle East? By Patrick J. Buchanan

Having presided over the recognition of Israel by the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain, President Donald Trump has been nominated for a Nobel Peace Prize amid talk of peace breaking out across the region.

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September 17, 2020

The Trial-Heat and Convention Bump Forecasts of the 2020 Presidential Election By James E. Campbell

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

— The Trial-Heat and Convention Bump Forecasting Models have an excellent record for accurate predictions of the presidential elections going back to 1992.

— Forecasting models depend on applying electoral history to the current election, but 2020 is historically abnormal (at least, in the period since 1948).

— The greatest challenge for forecasting this year is in how the catastrophic second quarter GDP should be treated.

— Based on President Trump’s approval ratings, in general and on the economy, as well as the projected third quarter GDP growth rates, the forecasts should depend exclusively on the preference polls, and they point to another extremely close election.

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September 16, 2020

Politicians on the Take? By John Stossel

Politicians shut down businesses because of COVID-19.

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September 15, 2020

Americans Against Unconstitutional Mask Mandates By Michelle Malkin

Good news: The anti-mask mandate movement is gaining steam. Americans yearning to breathe free are waking up from their pandemic stupor. Common sense and constitutional principles, now more than ever, are vital to a sovereign nation's health.

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September 15, 2020

Biden's Energy Plan Could Kill 5 Million Blue-Collar Jobs By Stephen Moore

Joe Biden just can't get his story straight on his green energy promises.

In Pittsburgh, in front of union workers last month, he declared: "I am not banning fracking. Let me say that again. I am not banning fracking. No matter how many times Donald Trump lies about me."

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September 15, 2020

Are the Forever Wars Really Ending? By Patrick J. Buchanan

"There is no... sound reason for the United States to continue sacrificing precious lives and treasure in a conflict not directly connected to our safety or other vital national interests."

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