Political Commentary

Most Recent Releases

June 2, 2022The Outlook for the 2022 Senate Elections: A State-by-State Analysis By Alan I. Abramowitz
What a predictive model tells us about the last decade of results, as well as 2022KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— Senate elections have become firmly yoked to their state’s presidential leanings.
— Democrats now hold a tiny Senate majority in large part because of their superior performance in otherwise Republican-leaning states, a performance they may find difficult to sustain because of deepening partisan polarization.
— Based on the fundamentals of state partisanship, incumbency, and the national political environment, Republicans have a good chance to pick up at least a seat and take back control of the upper chamber. But poor candidates could hurt their chances, as they have in some other recent Senate races.
June 1, 2022Out of Formula By John Stossel
Parents still struggle to find baby formula.
May 31, 2022House GOP Trust-busting Bill Is an Economic Disaster by Stephen Moore
With President Joe Biden's Build Back Better agenda in ruins, Democrats want to blame Big Business for the mayhem of high inflation and a collapsing stock market.
May 27, 2022Primary Results: Trump Repudiated, Republicans Enthused, Democrats Focused On Theoretical Issues by Michael Barone
Complete and utter repudiation. That's what a record number of Republican primary voters in Georgia administered to former President Donald Trump this Tuesday. The man he blamed for not contesting his narrow 2020 loss in the state, Gov. Brian Kemp, won renomination with 74% of the vote.
May 27, 2022Are All Men Created Equal? By Patrick J. Buchanan
Ideology is political religion, said the conservative sage Russell Kirk.
May 26, 2022Redistricting: The Overall Picture, Plus a Look at NY and MO By Kyle Kondik and J. Miles Coleman
Median House seat will still sit a couple of points to the right of the nationKEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— With the national House map nearly complete, it appears that the overall map still leans toward Republicans.
— However, this GOP bias is not nearly as strong as it was a decade ago.
— We rate and analyze the new Missouri and New York congressional maps.
May 25, 2022Government Delays Flights By John Stossel
Planning to fly this summer? Good luck.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                
                                
                
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                            May 24, 2022Our Increasingly Unpopular President By Brian C. Joondeph
President Joe Biden, now in the second year of his presidency, is becoming increasing unpopular in the country that supposedly elected him with a record-setting 81 million votes.
May 24, 2022Democrats' Latest Phony Inflation Scapegoat: Credit Cards by Stephen Moore
In this administration, it's always someone else's fault. Inflation is now the No. 1 concern of voters, so the White House first blamed COVID. Then Donald Trump's tax cuts. Then Vladimir Putin. Then meatpackers and the poultry industry, Big Oil and pharmaceutical companies.
May 24, 2022Will Midterms Be Biden's Last Hurrah? By Patrick J. Buchanan
For half a decade now, America's media elite have been obsessed with former President Donald Trump and the Republican Party's conversion to Trumpism.
May 20, 2022It's Not Exactly Trump's Republican Party by Michael Barone
Is it Donald Trump's Republican Party? You can make the case it is, as partisan Democrats do, from the victories of various candidates endorsed by the former president in Republican primaries. But it's not an airtight case, and Trump's batting average is inflated by the dozens of endorsements he has made of incumbents with no significant primary opposition.
May 20, 2022Quo Vadis, Mother Russia? By Patrick J. Buchanan
"The demise of the Soviet Union was the greatest geopolitical catastrophe of the century," said Russia's new ruler Vladimir Putin in his 2005 state of the nation address.
May 19, 2022The Battle for State Legislatures By Louis Jacobson
Looking for competition in sorted statehouses.KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE– In addition to usually facing midterm headwinds in federal races, the presidential party also often struggles in state legislative races in those years.
– However, Republicans have already made such impressive state legislative gains over the past dozen years that they do not have a ton of Democratic-held chambers to target.
–Republicans could plausibly flip chambers in states like Maine and Minnesota, while a better redistricting map could help Democrats in Michigan, a key battleground.
May 18, 2022Pumping Up Prices by John Stossel
The price of gas keeps rising.
May 17, 2022When the People Tasked With Protecting Our Children Are the Villains by Stephen Moore
The evidence shows that school closures during COVID were an epic public policy blunder. The school lockdowns in many states were arguably the most significant episode of government-sponsored child abuse in American history.
May 17, 2022Why Would US Give a War Guarantee -- to Finland? By Patrick J. Buchanan
Seeing Russia invade Ukraine, historically neutral Finland has undergone a late conversion and decided to join NATO immediately.
May 13, 2022Progressives' Version of 'Democracy': 2 Plus 2 Equals 5 by Michael Barone
They may or may not have been playing the song "The World Turned Upside Down" when Lord Charles Cornwallis's troops surrendered to Gen. George Washington at Yorktown in 1781, but there's good reason to sing it now.
May 13, 2022Are All Court-Created Rights Now in Peril? By Patrick J. Buchanan
In the storm that erupted over the leaked draft opinion of Justice Samuel Alito, which would overturn Roe v. Wade, a secondary alarm has arisen among our elites.
May 12, 2022The Kinds of Seats that Flip in Midterms By Kyle Kondik
Looking back on past recent waves to assess Republicans’ potential in November.KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE— While increasingly salient issues like abortion could change the political environment, Republicans still appear on track for a strong showing in the U.S. House.
— Recent midterms have hollowed out the presidential party’s holdings of districts where the president either did the same or worse than he did nationally or only a little better.
— Republicans likely will have trouble winning districts where Joe Biden won more than 55% of the vote, but that still leaves them dozens of Democratic-held targets below that mark as redistricting is finalized.
May 11, 2022Organic BS by John Stossel
Activists have convinced Americans that "organic" food is better -- healthier, better-tasting, life-extending.

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If it's in the News, it's in our Polls. Public opinion polling since 2003.

Political Commentary

Most Recent Releases

The Outlook for the 2022 Senate Elections: A State-by-State Analysis By Alan I. Abramowitz

What a predictive model tells us about the last decade of results, as well as 2022

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

Out of Formula By John Stossel

House GOP Trust-busting Bill Is an Economic Disaster by Stephen Moore

Primary Results: Trump Repudiated, Republicans Enthused, Democrats Focused On Theoretical Issues by Michael Barone

Are All Men Created Equal? By Patrick J. Buchanan

Redistricting: The Overall Picture, Plus a Look at NY and MO By Kyle Kondik and J. Miles Coleman

Median House seat will still sit a couple of points to the right of the nation

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

Government Delays Flights By John Stossel

Our Increasingly Unpopular President By Brian C. Joondeph

Democrats' Latest Phony Inflation Scapegoat: Credit Cards by Stephen Moore

Will Midterms Be Biden's Last Hurrah? By Patrick J. Buchanan

It's Not Exactly Trump's Republican Party by Michael Barone

Quo Vadis, Mother Russia? By Patrick J. Buchanan

The Battle for State Legislatures By Louis Jacobson

Looking for competition in sorted statehouses.

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

Pumping Up Prices by John Stossel

When the People Tasked With Protecting Our Children Are the Villains by Stephen Moore

Why Would US Give a War Guarantee -- to Finland? By Patrick J. Buchanan

Progressives' Version of 'Democracy': 2 Plus 2 Equals 5 by Michael Barone

Are All Court-Created Rights Now in Peril? By Patrick J. Buchanan

The Kinds of Seats that Flip in Midterms By Kyle Kondik

Looking back on past recent waves to assess Republicans’ potential in November.

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

Organic BS by John Stossel

Daily Presidential
Tracking Poll

Top Stories

If it's in the News, it's in our Polls. Public opinion polling since 2003.

Political Commentary

Most Recent Releases

What a predictive model tells us about the last decade of results, as well as 2022

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

Median House seat will still sit a couple of points to the right of the nation

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

Looking for competition in sorted statehouses.

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

Looking back on past recent waves to assess Republicans’ potential in November.

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

Daily PresidentialTracking Poll

Top Stories

Daily Presidential
Tracking Poll