The Outlook for November 2nd By Larry J. Sabato
As alert readers of the Crystal Ball will note, we have not changed our projection of +47 Republican net House seats in many weeks.
Political Commentary
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October 14, 2010
October 13, 2010
The White House Bunker So Soon? by Tony Blankley
Based on the recent appointments of the two most powerful staff positions in the White House, and on various statements, it would appear that the White House is descending deeper into the bunker in anticipation of the expected shift in congressional majorities next year.
October 13, 2010
Traffic Jams by Susan Estrich
There's an old joke in California that if you want attention, stage your event on the freeway.
October 12, 2010
Real Patriots Demand Clean Energy by Froma Harrop
Those orange fireballs you see in the news are NATO oil tankers exploding along the Khyber Pass.
October 12, 2010
Law School Is Obamaland's Boot Camp by Debra J. Saunders
Even though America is fighting wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, members of President Obama's Cabinet are three times more likely to have attended law school than boot camp.
October 11, 2010
Can Skinflint Mitch Daniels Win the Presidency? by Michael Barone
It's an ornate office in Indiana's beautifully maintained mid-19th century Capitol, but the 49th governor of Indiana, Mitch Daniels, is not dressed to match the setting.
October 10, 2010
Boxer's Fiction vs. Fiorina's Facts By Debra J. Saunders
There aren't a lot of walls around Carly Fiorina. While politicos have marveled at the missteps of Meg Whitman's $140 million Titanic of a campaign for California Governor, Fiorina, the former Hewlett-Packard CEO, has made herself accessible to journalists in her bid to unseat Sen. Barbara Boxer.
October 10, 2010
The Money Race in California By Susan Estrich
If there were one contest Meg Whitman didn't need to win in her bid to become governor of California, it was the race to collect the most money from individuals and businesses that do business with the state of California.
October 9, 2010
The “Toxic” Truth About TARP By Howard Rich
As the infamous Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) winds down this week, Republicans and Democrats in Washington, D.C. are patting themselves on the back for a job well done. Not only are they claiming to have saved the nation from a “Second Great Depression,” this so-called economic miracle was apparently purchased at a bargain basement price.
October 9, 2010
Behind the Meltdown of the Climate-Change Bill By Debra J. Saunders
President Obama killed the climate change bill. That's the brunt of the article "As the World Burns, How the Senate and the White House missed their best chance to deal with climate change" by Ryan Lizza in the New Yorker. Lizza tells the tale of how Washington's erstwhile "Three Amigos" -- also known as K.G.L., for Sens. John Kerry, D-Mass., Lindsey Graham, R-S.C., and Joe Lieberman, I-Conn. -- cobbled together a cap-and-trade climate-change bill that had "the support both of the major green groups and the biggest polluters" -- until the deal fell apart.
October 8, 2010
House Ratings Changes By Isaac Wood
With the Crystal Ball shifting 21 House race ratings in their direction last week, the national picture looks bright for Republicans, both from a birds-eye view and also from a race-by-race perspective. This week we nudge three more Democratic-held House seats into more competitive categories, as we hone in on where exactly the GOP gains we have long projected will come from.
October 8, 2010
THE ONES THAT GOT AWAY by Larry J. Sabato
In every election cycle there are contests that one party “should” win but does not, usually because its partisans have chosen unwisely in the party primary.
October 8, 2010
Stocks Gallup Higher By Lawrence Kudlow
Could it have been the new Gallup poll that drove stocks up almost 200 points on Tuesday? That blockbuster survey, regarded by many as the blue-chip gold standard for election forecasting, pointed to an unprecedented Republican landslide tsunami in the generic congressional race.
October 7, 2010
Latinos Should Darn Well Vote by Froma Harrop
The Hispanic activist grew defensive as we discussed Latinos' low turnouts in recent elections.
October 7, 2010
The Ideologies Behind the Ideologues By Joe Conason
Let nobody accuse the tea party enthusiasts of lacking intellectual sophistication, no matter what their favorite candidates might say about evolution, civil rights, masturbation or alcohol prohibition.
October 7, 2010
Dems Turn on Obama Over Iraq, Afghanistan, Gitmo By Michael Barone
It's pretty clear that Democrats are less enthusiastic about voting this year than Republicans. The latest evidence comes from Gallup, which reports that Republicans' 3 percent edge in congressional voting among registered voters increases to 13 and 18 points when you include just those likely and very likely to actually vote.
October 6, 2010
2011's Uncharted Political Waters by Tony Blankley
The New York Times has written, in explaining why the political parties have lost the confidence of the public: "Their machinery of intrigue, their shuffling evasions, the dodges, the chicanery and the deception of their leaders have excited universal disgust, and have created a general readiness in the public mind for any new organization that shall promise to shun their vices."
October 5, 2010
Terrorism of a Personal Kind by Froma Harrop
The schoolyard bully used to work his fists.
October 5, 2010
An Ex-CNN Anchor's Definition of Bigotry by Debra J. Saunders
Last week, CNN fired anchor Rick Sanchez after he called Jon Stewart a bigot in a radio interview during which he also questioned whether Jews face discrimination.
