Republicans are Going to Win Big in November – Here’s Why by Brian C. Joondeph
If you get your news from Twitter, the New York Times or the Washington Post, or virtually any cable or TV news network...
Political Commentary
Most Recent Releases
October 28, 2022
October 28, 2022
This Campaign's Missing Issues: Foreign Policy and Economic Redistribution by Michael Barone
What issues are the candidates and the parties not talking about? It's worth asking, because sometimes these issues turn out to be important.
October 26, 2022
Betting on 2022 By John Stossel
Some pundits say that Democrats will win the midterms.
October 25, 2022
Biden's Destroying the Economy. Is It Intentional? By Stephen Moore
Everywhere I go, people are mystified about President Joe Biden's economic agenda. So few of the policies comport with basic common sense that I'm asked the same question over and over: Is Biden intentionally trying to take a wrecking ball to the economy?
October 21, 2022
Fundamentals, from COVID to Crime, Favor Republicans By Michael Barone
If Democrats take a drubbing in the off-year elections -- and it seems increasingly likely, but not certain, that they will -- it will be because they lost their moorings when the country seemed to go crazy with excessive COVID closedowns and irrational obsessions about systemic racism.
October 20, 2022
The (Updated) Battle for the Statehouses By Louis Jacobson
Chambers in key swing states like Michigan and Nevada get more competitive.
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE
— In what we expect to be our final pre-election look at the nation’s legislatures, we are shifting our ratings for 7 chambers. We are moving 5 chambers in the Democrats’ direction, while 2 move in the Republicans’ direction.
— It’s important not to read too much into the imbalance in these shifts favoring the Democrats. The shifts reflect 2 major changes in the political environment since our last handicapping, which was published in May: the Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Roe vs. Wade, and GOP primaries that anointed polarizing candidates aligned with former President Donald Trump for key top-of-the-ballot contests.
— Overall, the landscape for competitive state legislative chambers this year is fairly neutral, with Republicans playing defense in 7 of the 15 chambers we see as competitive and Democrats playing defense in 8. The Toss-up category includes 7 chambers, 3 currently held by Republicans and 4 held by Democrats.
— Several of the key battleground states with high-profile statewide races also have competitive legislative chambers, such as Arizona, Michigan, and Nevada.
October 19, 2022
Obama Propaganda by John Stossel
Netflix is paying Barack and Michelle Obama millions of dollars to produce shows for them.
October 18, 2022
The Left Is Using Science 'Consensus' To Shut Down Free Speech in America By Stephen Moore
It was about eight to 10 years ago that the Left made a unilateral decision to shut down all opposition and any skepticism about climate change by pronouncing that the debate was over.
October 18, 2022
Where US and Ukrainian War Aims Collide By Patrick J. Buchanan
To President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Ukraine, Crimea and the Donbas are national territories whose retrieval justifies all-out war to expel the invading armies of Vladimir Putin's Russia.
October 14, 2022
The Democratic Party's Risk Aversion Is Harming Us All By Michael Barone
Human beings differ in how much risk they will accept. Thus, as an analyst I quoted in a recent column concluded, Russian President Vladimir Putin "was too risk-acceptant" in invading Ukraine and Chinese leader Xi Jinping "has been too risk-averse" in imposing "zero-COVID" lockdowns.
October 13, 2022
2022’s Ballot Measures By Louis Jacobson
States are set to vote on a range of measures dealing with abortion, elections, marijuana, and more.
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE
— As happens every 2 years, voters across the country find a variety of ballot measures to vote on in 2022.
— The most closely watched issues will include abortion, with 3 states voting on protecting abortion rights and 2 others considering whether to impose limitations on abortion; election administration, including efforts to both expand and tighten voting rules; policy toward immigrants; and further expansion of legalized recreational marijuana.
October 11, 2022
The Mother of All Debt Bombs is Approaching By Brian C. Joondeph
America is facing formidable challenges as we approach the midterm elections when voters can exercise their choice to make a course correction in current leadership and the direction of the country.
October 11, 2022
The New Global Virus Is Runaway Government Spending and Debt By Stephen Moore
When new British Prime Minister Liz Truss suggested lowering the United Kingdom's highest tax rate from 45% to 40%, along with a 1% reduction in the income tax rate for all taxpayers, the bond markets and the central bankers around the world went stark raving mad.
October 7, 2022
It's a Hinge Year in History -- for Russia and China By Michael Barone
Will 2022 turn out be a hinge year, as a moment when long-standing trends in geopolitics suddenly shifted in a different direction? This week, two important writers, one a long-established and prolific historian, the other a provocative presence on the internet, have argued persuasively that the answer is yes. But there's one other interesting point in common: Neither sees the United States as having played a decisive role in the sudden shift.
October 6, 2022
The 2022 Ad Wars By Kyle Kondik
What we learned watching more than 300 campaign ads released in the second half of September.
KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE
— To get a flavor of the 2022 ad messages from both sides, we watched nearly 350 campaign ads that came out in the second half of September.
— Abortion dominates Democratic messaging, while Republicans are much less likely to mention it. Crime has become a huge focus for Republicans, with Democrats trying to inoculate themselves by featuring law enforcement officers in their ads.
— Joe Biden and Nancy Pelosi are frequently cited in Republican attack ads, but other politicians make cameos in ads not directly related to their states/districts.
October 5, 2022
Hurricane Myths By John Stossel
Hurricane Ian is gone, but the media's myths about hurricanes live on.
October 4, 2022
Who Are the Neofascists? By Stephen Moore
In just the last few weeks, Liz Truss, Britain's new prime minister, has been denounced by critics as a "fascist." So has Giorgia Meloni, Italy's newly elected prime minister. Along with all Republicans in Congress, Texas and Florida GOP Govs. Greg Abbott and Ron DeSantis and, of course, former President Donald Trump. Every one of the tens of thousands of "MAGA Republicans" who attend Trump rallies, too.
October 4, 2022
Putin, Holding a Weak Hand, Raises the Stakes By Patrick J. Buchanan
In a Kremlin speech last week, President Vladimir Putin identified Russia's real "enemy" in Ukraine as "the ruling circles of the so-called West" whose "hegemony has a pronounced character of totalitarianism, despotism and apartheid."
September 30, 2022
Are Polls Understating Republicans' Support? By Michael Barone
Over the last three months, political journalists have been reporting a trend toward Democrats. The Supreme Court's reversal of Roe v. Wade, they have reported, has provided increased motivation for Democrats to turn out and vote. The easing of gas prices from their springtime peak has reduced concern about out-of-control inflation. Biden administration legislative victories have raised Democrats' morale.
