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Commentary by Michael Barone

Most Recent Releases

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December 8, 2017

Real Target of Republican Tax Bills: Feds, Eds and Meds Bloat By Michael Barone

Are the current Republican tax bills, passed by the House and Senate and being reconciled in conference committee, an attack on "feds, eds and meds"? That's a reference to the government, health care and education jobs that local Democrats in Dayton, Ohio, told Sen. Sherrod Brown have been fueling the area's comeback.

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December 1, 2017

'Hurtling' Republican Tax Bill Actually Serious By Michael Barone

"The Republican tax bill hurtling through Congress is increasingly tilting the United States tax code to benefit wealthy Americans." That's the beginning of a 37-word first sentence in a stage-setting front-page story in The New York Times on the tax bill under consideration in the Senate this week.

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November 24, 2017

Merkel -- and Davos -- Rebuked in Germany By Michael Barone

It's been a tough era for Davos Man, the personification of the great and the good who meet in the World Economic Forum in that Swiss ski resort every January. The rebukes just keep coming. The European debt crisis. Brexit. Donald Trump. And now, and once again unexpectedly, Angela Merkel's failure to form a German government.  

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November 17, 2017

Will Political Setbacks Unite the Republican Party? By Michael Barone

The inexorable workings of the political marketplace seem to be enforcing some discipline over hitherto fissiparous Republican politicians. The question is whether this is happening too late to save the party's declining prospects in the 2018 midterm elections.

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November 10, 2017

2016 Is Looking Like the New Normal By Michael Barone

If you wanted to predict the results of Tuesday's gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey, you would have been wise to ignore the flurry of polls and campaign events. You would have paid no heed to the conventional wisdom that Republican Ed Gillespie had a solid chance to beat Ralph Northam in Virginia.

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November 3, 2017

Keep Calm and Carry On By Michael Barone

Keep calm and carry on. Those words, though not appearing as extensively on posters in wartime Britain as often supposed, are good advice for Americans now appalled by the presidency of Donald Trump.   

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October 27, 2017

Both Parties Trying Even Harder to Defeat Themselves By Michael Barone

Three weeks ago, I wrote a column about how both parties seem determined to lose the next elections. Since then, the pace has accelerated.

The clamor is more visible -- and more assiduously reported by mainstream media -- among the Republicans.

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October 20, 2017

Democrats Yelp as Trump Upholds Constitution By Michael Barone

Donald Trump is criticized, often justly, for misstatements of facts and failure to understand the details of public policy. But in two of his most recent controversial actions, he has taken stands upholding the rule of law and undoing the lawless behavior of his most recent predecessor.

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October 13, 2017

Today's Turn-of-the-Century Problems By Michael Barone

Is America in a new Gilded Age? That's the contention of Republican political consultant Bruce Mehlman, and in a series of 35 slides, he makes a strong case.

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October 6, 2017

Both Parties' Extremists Seem Determined to Lose the Next Elections By Michael Barone

Almost no one disagrees that our two major political parties, the oldest and third-oldest in the world, have become increasingly extreme and estranged over the past decade. It's a startling contrast with the state of political conflict in the dozen or so years after the fall of the Soviet empire.   

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September 29, 2017

To Limit Gerrymandering, Supreme Court Needs Just to Reaffirm Equal Population Requirement By Michael Barone

Next week, the Supreme Court will hear oral argument in Gill v. Whitford, a case challenging Wisconsin's legislative district lines as an unconstitutional Republican gerrymander. It's attracted attention because many high-minded commentators have blamed partisan gerrymandering for today's highly polarized politics -- and for the fact that Republicans have won majorities in 67 of the 98 houses of state legislatures and in 10 of the past 12 elections in the U.S. House of Representatives.

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September 22, 2017

Tension Between President and Congress Is Politics as Usual By Michael Barone

For the first time in nearly 20 years, the president seems out of alignment, on policy and political goals, with his party in Congress. This strikes many as an anomalous, even alarming, situation. But if you look back at history, it's more like the norm -- even if Donald Trump isn't.

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September 15, 2017

House Republicans' Frustrations May Doom Their Majority By Michael Barone

The Founding Fathers didn't expect that serving in Congress would be a lifetime career. And for a century, it mostly wasn't. The first election in which more than half the incumbent members of the House of Representatives were re-elected was in 1898. Since then, the majority of House members have been returned in every election except the one in 1932.

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September 8, 2017

Can Trump and Democrats Make a Deal on Immigration? By Michael Barone

Can President Donald Trump and the Republican-majority Congress make a deal? That's a question raised by the announcement that the Trump administration will end the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program in six months. DACA, put in place by the Obama administration, provided protection from deportation to immigrants who entered the United States illegally as children and who didn't have serious criminal records and were working or in school or the military.

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September 1, 2017

Time to Drop Colleges' Racial Quotas and Preferences By Michael Barone

When a policy has been vigorously followed by venerable institutions for more than a generation without getting any closer to producing the desired results, perhaps there is some problem with the goal.   

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August 25, 2017

Trump's Palmerstonian Policy By Michael Barone

President Donald Trump's Afghanistan speech Monday night was disciplined, measured and sometimes verging on eloquence. It was presidential. Evidently, his vision wasn't impaired when he looked at the eclipse without the proper eyewear earlier in the day.

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August 18, 2017

What Identity Politics Hath Wrought By Michael Barone

There's a whiff of Weimar in the air. During the years of the Weimar Republic (1919-33), Germany was threatened by Communist revolutionaries and Nazi uprisings. Foreign Minister Walter Rathenau was assassinated, and violent street fighting was commonplace. Then Adolf Hitler took power in 1933.

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August 11, 2017

Google's 'Tolerance' Requires Repression By Michael Barone

Would a fair society have exactly the same percentage of men and women, of whites and blacks and Latinos and Asians, in every line of work and occupational category? If your answer is yes, and that any divergence from these percentages must necessarily result from oppression, then you qualify for a job at Google.If not, forget about it.

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August 4, 2017

Ignoring the Lessons of Effective Presidents by Michael Barone

Who have been the most successful presidents in the past 80 years? Most successful, that is, in framing issues and advancing their policies, achieving foreign policy success, winning re-election and maintaining high job approval.

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July 27, 2017

Democrats and Trump: Both Behaving Irrationally By Michael Barone

What is it about Russia -- some vestige of all those Cold War spy films, perhaps -- that makes so many people, on all political sides, behave so irrationally when it's mentioned?