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Commentary by Michael Barone

Most Recent Releases

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June 21, 2019

Yes, AOC, Your Generation Has Seen American Prosperity By Michael Barone

"An entire generation, which is now becoming one of the largest electorates in America," says Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-N.Y., whose visibility as a spokesperson for this generation has been boosted by political friend and foe, "came of age and never saw American prosperity."

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June 14, 2019

The Not-Inevitable Candidate and His Not-Feasible Pet Project By Michael Barone

Will Joe Biden inevitably win the Democratic nomination for president? A month ago, many psephologists thought so, as national polls within two weeks of his April 25 announcement showed the former vice president with 41 percent of Democratic primary votes.

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June 7, 2019

Barr Asking Questions the Media Don't Want Asked By Michael Barone

"I'm amused," Attorney General William Barr told CBS News' Jan Crawford, "by these people who make a living by disclosing classified information, including the names of intelligence operatives, wringing their hands about whether I'm going to be responsible in protecting intelligence sources and methods."

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May 31, 2019

Sometimes Parties Have to Change to Thrive -- or Even Survive By Michael Barone

Political parties generally go unappreciated, even among those inclined to celebrate representative democracy. The Founding Fathers famously didn't like them yet found themselves forming them, not long after the First Congress assembled.

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May 24, 2019

Using the Big Lie to Delegitimize Election Results By Michael Barone

The Big Lie is back in style. Wikipedia tells us that the term was invented by Adolf Hitler to describe what others did -- though he was the biggest liar of all. "The broad masses of a nation," he wrote in "Mein Kampf," "more readily fall victims to the big lie than the small lie."

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May 17, 2019

Will 'Whiteshift' Save America From Ethnic Strife? By Michael Barone

If you've been paying any attention at all to journalism in recent years -- maybe not a good idea, but if you have -- you surely have noticed those stories predicting, often with a certain relish, that the United States is about to become a majority-minority country.

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May 10, 2019

For Joe Biden, on China It's Still the 1990s By Michael Barone

Once upon a time, May 1 -- May Day -- was a day for working-class parades in factory towns. This year, it was a day for Joe Biden, to set off on his third presidential campaign in 32 years, to make news on the stump, not in a working-class venue but in the university town of Iowa City, now the state's Democratic stronghold.

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May 3, 2019

Will Joe Biden's Long Career Help or Hurt? By Michael Barone

Joe Biden has been around a long time. He was first elected to the U.S. Senate in 1972, at age 29 (he reached the Constitution's required age of 30 before taking office in January 1973). No one in the current Senate was there then; the current senior-most House member only arrived there after a special election two months later. Few other Americans have had such long-lasting prominent political careers: John Quincy Adams, Andrew Jackson and Henry Clay in the 19th century, arguably; Claude Pepper and Strom Thurmond in the 20th.

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April 26, 2019

The Most Successful Presidents Keep to Themselves -- Not Twitter By Michael Barone

"The Mueller report makes Trump look vain, ignorant, inept, and astonishingly dishonest." So writes my Washington Examiner colleague Quin Hillyer, never an enthusiast of President Donald Trump.

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April 19, 2019

Stopping the Campusfication of American Life By Michael Barone

Many people, years after they graduate from high school and college, have nightmares about taking exams for a course for which they have done none of the reading and are totally unprepared. They wake up full of anxiety and relax only when they realize they left school years ago.

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April 12, 2019

What Does History Tell Us About 2020? Not Very Much By Michael Barone

What does history tell us about the 2020 presidential election? Not as much as we'd like to know. We're an old republic and our two political parties are the oldest and third oldest in the world. But we've only had a limited number of presidential elections.

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April 5, 2019

Will Black Voters Keep Democrats From Going Too Far to the Left? By Michael Barone

Which of the two dozen or so Democratic presidential candidates is going to carry black voters next year? The answer to that question is likely to be identical to the answer to the question "Which candidate is going to be the Democratic nominee, and maybe the president?"

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March 29, 2019

R.I.P. Collusiongate By Michael Barone

Collusiongate is now history. The late-Friday afternoon announcement that special counsel Robert Mueller had completed his investigation and Attorney General William Barr's four-page letter released Sunday made it clear. "The investigation did not establish that members of the Trump Campaign conspired or coordinated with the Russian government in its election interference activities," Barr wrote.

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March 22, 2019

Old Rules of Thumb Yield to Even Older Ones By Michael Barone

Success in politics -- and in political predictions -- depends on the ability to distinguish between old rules of thumb that don't apply any more and old rules of thumb that do.

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March 15, 2019

Chicago's Clues for the 2020 Democrats By Michael Barone

There was a record-sized field of candidates containing as many women as men. Their surnames ranged from the long familiar to the novel and exotic; they had multiple racial and ethnic backgrounds, and at least one gay candidate was in the running. This sounds like the ever-expanding list of candidates for the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination, but it's also a description of the field in last month's primary election for mayor of Chicago.

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March 8, 2019

Impeachment Quest Lets AOC Types Set Democrats' Agenda By Michael Barone

Has the Democratic Party reduced its chances of denying President Trump a second term by continuing to concentrate on throwing him out before the end of his first? You can make a good case that it has.

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March 6, 2019

Vaccine Skeptics Under Siege By Michelle Malkin

Watch out. Capitol Hill and Silicon Valley have locked their sights on the next targets of a frightening free speech-squelching purge: independent citizens who dare to raise questions online about the safety and efficacy of vaccines.

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March 1, 2019

Democrats Are Getting out on a Dangerously Left-Wing Limb By Michael Barone

There's an old political saying that presidential candidates appeal to their parties' wings -- left for Democrats, right for Republicans -- in the race for the nomination and then appeal to the center in the general election campaign. It was put in canonical form by Richard Nixon, one of only two Americans our major parties nominated for national office five times (the other was Franklin Roosevelt).

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February 22, 2019

Despite Short-Term Ruckus, Long-Term Progress on Border By Michael Barone

Compromise reached. Donald Trump is going to build -- his administration is said to be building already, with appropriated funds -- the wall, er, barrier. Congressional Democrats have reportedly inserted provisions that make it easier for purported asylum seekers arriving with children to disappear and augment the illegal population.

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February 15, 2019

Why Are Leading Democratic Presidential Candidates Endorsing 'the Green Dream, or Whatever They Call It'? By Michael Barone

There's an old joke about an egotistical politician whose disgruntled speechwriter, just before quitting, prepares a draft that promises the moon, and specifics for how to pay for it, on the first two pages, and leaves the third page blank except for the words "You're on your own now."